Idaho State at Oregon State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Idaho State Bengals at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (6:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -29.5 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon State 38 - Idaho State: 15

Bengals (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (15 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ ORST -7)
ORST Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%

Beavers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IDST Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Idaho State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Idaho State at Oregon State	+29.5	57.5	L 15 - 38	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Idaho State's Schedule

Oregon State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Oregon State vs Idaho State	-29.5	57.5	W 38 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/7	Oregon State at San Diego State	-5.5	54.5	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Oregon State vs Oregon	+16.0	50.0	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/21	Oregon State vs Purdue	-1.5	51.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Oregon State vs Colorado State	-10.0	47.0	W 39 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/12	Oregon State at Nevada	-3.0	47.0	L 37 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/19	Oregon State vs UNLV	+6.5	61.0	L 25 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/26	Oregon State at California	+13.0	51.0	L 7 - 44	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Oregon State vs San José State	-3.0	58.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/16	Oregon State at Air Force	-3.0	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Oregon State vs Washington State	+11.0	57.0	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Oregon State at Boise State	+17.5	58.5	L 18 - 34	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IDST		0%	15	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)	24.3	47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)	29.9	50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IDST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IDST Offense	1	15	15	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ORST Defense	12	29.9	30.1	48%	4.35	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	50%	45%	13%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IDST Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ORST Offense	12	24.3	29.7	43.6%	3.87	1.3	22	391	189	201	4.7	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Idaho State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Oregon State	12	33:09	22.3	44%	52%	5.1	45.7	1.3	1	3.8	0.6	1	24.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IDST Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ORST Defense	12	56% (125)	50% (126)	-	-	-	-	.23 (120)	3.39 (123)	81% (114)	8% (122)	0.96 (55)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IDST Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ORST Offense	12	55% (33)	47% (25)	40.3	189.2	4.7	29 (18)	.22 (25)	3.34 (20)	76% (46)	9% (50)	0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IDST Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ORST Defense	12	44% (13)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.31 (104)	1.5 (41)	27% (126)	33% (102)	.46 (121)	6% (75)	2.1 (70)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IDST Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ORST Offense	12	45% (101)	39% (100)	18	30	201.4	6.7	11.2	7 (130)	11 (72)	.09 (125)	1.4 (123)	28% (20)	31% (78)	.16 (123)	6% (84)	1.8 (124)

Idaho State's Power Ratings
Idaho State's Power Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Idaho State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Idaho State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Idaho State: Oregon State: -8.345

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Idaho State: Oregon State: -6.7

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -8.345 #113
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Oregon State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Oregon State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Idaho State Scoring
Offense: 15 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Idaho State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 37
Idaho State 22

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 43
Idaho State 21

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Oregon State 32
Idaho State 23

Total Points: 55

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1

Oregon State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Oregon State	38	Idaho State	15	Oregon State -29.5	Idaho State	57.5	Under
2016	09/17	Oregon State	37	Idaho State	7	Oregon State -35	Idaho State	0
2007	09/15	Oregon State	61	Idaho State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	3	0	0 Overs
Idaho State	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#NR) IDST at (#113) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IDST	ORST
Power RatePwr	NR	#113
SP+SP+	NR	#97
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#98
OffenseOff	NR	#55
DefenseDef	NR	#131
Spec TeamsST	NR	#28
TalentTal	NR	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#74

Idaho State Injury Report

Oregon State Notes(12/19) Signed QB Maalik Murphy (Duke)
(11/29) Def torched by Boise, Off meh, 3-13 on 3rd
(11/29) 1-6 finish in '24 to miss bowl. 25 goal is ?
(11/18) QB Johnson awful, Rgame worse, shutout by AFA?
(11/18) Complete identity crisis. No idea what they want
(10/31) QB McCoy may have lost job to Gulbranson
(10/27) Pass Def abused by Cal. 3 straight L's, going down
(10/12) Run Def abused by Nevada 353 yds, 8.4ypc in L
(10/11) RB Griffin likely out vs Nevada
(10/10) Rgame good vs CSU, 251yds (5.3 ypc), McCoy meh
(9/23) Killed Purdue, rushed for 341 (6 ypc), pass D good
(9/14) Outclassed by OU. Gave up 500 yds McCoy meh
Oregon State Injury Report

Idaho State on Offense


CategoryCat	IDST Off	ORST Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	#125
ExplosiveExp	NR	#31
PPAPPA	NR	#117
PowerPwr	NR	#129
SP+SP+	NR	#107
Pts POPPO	NR	#117
HavocHav	NR	#115

Idaho State Run Game


CategoryCat	IDST Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	#130
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#126
Run ExplRExp	NR	#55
PPAExp	NR	#120
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#123
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#108
TackleTak	-	#84

Idaho State Pass Game


CategoryCat	IDST Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#112
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#41
PPAExp	NR	#104
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	#122
DB HavocDB	NR	#75

Oregon State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	IDST Def
Perf GradePerf	#55	NR
SuccessSuc	#59	NR
ExplosiveExp	#124	NR
PPAPPA	#87	NR
PowerPwr	#79	NR
SP+SP+	#73	NR
Pts POPPO	#75	NR
HavocHav	#56	NR

Oregon State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	IDST Def
Run GameRun	#50	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#25	NR
Run ExplRExp	#65	NR
PPAExp	#25	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	#20	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#11	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	IDST Def
Pass GamePass	#78	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#123	NR
PPAExp	#125	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	NR
F7 HavocF7	#50	NR
DB HavocDB	#84	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

IDST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75°

Rematch from Week 1
Oregon State -29.5 (57.5)
Oregon State won vs Idaho State this year (38-15)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Idaho State last year (38-15)

IDST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Idaho State's Full Roster

IDST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Janari Boone	9	0	0
Kris Sanchez	8	1	1
Cortland Horton	8	0	0
Teilor Tuioti	8	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Kris Sanchez	8	1	1
Logan George	3	1	1
Janari Boone	9	0	0
Jaylon Brown	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jayden Davis (Tr)	6	1	1
Janari Boone	9	0	0
Jaylon Brown	3	0	0

ORST's OC Ryan Gunderson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gevani McCoy (Tr)	123	202	61%	1300	3	6	6.4
Ben Gulbranson	78	128	61%	943	4	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson (Tr)	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Jamious Griffin	73	450	4	6.2	33
Gevani McCoy (Tr)	59	328	5	5.6	71
Salahadin Allah	55	258	1	4.7	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trent Walker	81	901	2	11.1	43
Jermaine Terry II	23	375	1	16.3	43
Darrius Clemons (Tr)	25	292	2	11.7	44
Jeremiah Noga	23	266	0	11.6	30

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Keith Heyward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Skyler Thomas	81	0	0	0	9
Isaiah Chisom	75	5	0	2	0
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3
Melvin Jordan IV	45	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3
Zakaih Saez	24	3	1	2	0
Dexter Foster	43	2	1	2	0
Semisi Saluni	34	5	1	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Skyler Thomas	81	0	9
Andre Jordan	27	2	4
Sailasa Vadrawale	30	1	4