UAB at Arkansas - 2024 Matchup Preview

UAB Blazers at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (4:15 PM EDT)
Arkansas -23.5 (60.5) (-2000) Open: -21.0 | 58.5
Arkansas 37 - UAB: 27

Blazers (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UAB 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Arkansas -25 (SP+ ARK -22)
Projected Score: UAB: 19 - ARK: 44 (63)
ARK Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
UAB Travel: 454 miles

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UAB vs Alcorn State	-29.5	55.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UAB at UL Monroe	-10.5	55.5	L 6 - 32	U	N
Sat 9/14	UAB at Arkansas	+23.5	60.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	UAB vs Navy	+4.5	56.5	L 18 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	UAB vs Tulane	+19.5	52.0	L 20 - 71	O	N
Sat 10/12	UAB at Army	+27.0	55.5	L 10 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/19	UAB at South Florida	+14.0	55.5	L 25 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UAB vs Tulsa	-2.5	57.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	UAB vs UConn	+7.5	54.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/16	UAB at Memphis	+16.0	62.0	L 18 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/23	UAB vs Rice	+7.0	52.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UAB at Charlotte	+1.5	59.5	L 27 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	60.5	W 70 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Arkansas at Oklahoma State	+10.5	60.5	L 31 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas vs UAB	-23.5	60.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas at Auburn	+2.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	50.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas vs Tennessee	+14.0	57.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Arkansas vs LSU	+3.0	57.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas at Mississippi State	-7.5	55.0	W 58 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+8.0	54.0	L 31 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas vs Texas	+13.0	57.5	L 10 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech	-23.5	48.5	W 35 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Arkansas at Missouri	+3.5	51.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/27	Arkansas vs Texas Tech	+3.5	52.5	W 39 - 26	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	#12 (.32)	49% (10)	26.4	51% (11)	3.7 (3)	161	48% (18)	289	3.84 (76)	#119 (.28)	48% (129)	38.3	53% (132)	43% (89)	4.45 (122)	56.3	1.7	1.7
ARK	#75 (.18)	39% (105)	32.9	43% (74)	3.3 (34)	139	36% (112)	188	4.22 (35)	#42 (.14)	39% (40)	33.8	41% (48)	39% (29)	3.93 (79)	55.4	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	12	26.4	24.7	48.5%	3.84	1.7	24	450	161	289	4.5	47%	51%	51%	48%	18%	.32
ARK Defense	12	33.8	35	39.5%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	39%	18%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	12	38.3	38.8	47.8%	4.45	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	53%	43%	16%	.28
ARK Offense	12	32.9	30.5	39.3%	4.22	1.5	17	327	139	188	3.5	52%	47%	43%	36%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	12	29:14	23.7	40%	48%	6.7	56.3	1.7	1.7	4.1	2.3	1	27.7
Arkansas	12	30:43	17.3	38%	63%	6.3	55.4	1.5	1.5	6.3	2.4	5	27.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	12	47% (91)	51% (11)	35.5	161.1	4.5	24 (41)	.32 (4)	3.7 (3)	77% (42)	13% (124)	1.06 (34)
ARK Defense	12	53% (108)	41% (48)	-	-	-	-	.07 (27)	2.95 (41)	70% (45)	11% (29)	0.9 (29)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	12	50% (73)	53% (132)	-	-	-	-	.36 (133)	3.55 (131)	83% (116)	9% (107)	1.09 (109)
ARK Offense	12	52% (48)	43% (74)	39.3	139	3.5	9 (128)	.15 (70)	3.3 (34)	84% (5)	15% (130)	0.89 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	12	51% (47)	48% (18)	25.5	35.6	288.9	8.1	11.3	22 (61)	13 (97)	.37 (34)	1.5 (103)	28% (13)	33% (48)	.48 (21)	5% (43)	2.1 (43)
ARK Defense	12	46% (29)	39% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.27 (65)	1.9 (130)	32% (62)	27% (27)	.3 (61)	7% (42)	2.3 (129)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	12	49% (64)	43% (89)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.26 (58)	1.5 (46)	30% (109)	36% (124)	.46 (121)	7% (30)	2 (67)
ARK Offense	12	47% (86)	36% (112)	17.3	26.9	187.5	7	10.9	22 (61)	8 (30)	.24 (80)	1.8 (14)	34% (97)	27% (98)	.39 (49)	5% (32)	2.4 (3)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -12.62 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
2024 Talent Rating: 263.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UAB's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UAB's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -12.62 Arkansas: 13.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -11.3 Arkansas: 11.0

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 13.08 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 416.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas 44
UAB 19

Projected Total Points: 63

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Arkansas	37	UAB	27	Arkansas -23.5	UAB	60.5	Over
2014	10/25	Arkansas	45	UAB	17	Arkansas -21	Arkansas	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	2	1	1 Overs
UAB	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#107) UAB at (#30) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#107	#30
SP+SP+	#108	#24
Perf GradeGrade	#124	#40
OffenseOff	#109	#29
DefenseDef	#126	#71
Spec TeamsST	#105	#75
TalentTal	#89	#30
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#26

UAB Notes(11/25) Upset Rice, Def 4 TOs, Off was OK but enough
(11/18) Tulsa was dead cat bounce, L's to UConn/Memphis
(11/3) Killed Tulsa, 400+ pass yds. Still 10 flags
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#129) into week 9
(10/20) Fought w/ S Fla but gagged. Kitna 384 yds
(10/13) Def all 400+ yds rush (Army). Dilfer needs 2 go
(10/7) Dilfer is done. Concerning rumors, team quit
(10/6) Team has quit. Tulane 70 pts, 300+ yds rushing
(9/29) Mauled by Navy, though stats even. Dilfer a clown
(9/14) Lost to #130 ULM by 26 as a 10+ pt fav. Woof
(8/13) OC Mortensen Dink & Dunk Off worked LY
(8/13) 4/5 OL starters back, RB losses big, now ?
UAB Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

UAB on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#109	#71
SuccessSuc	#10	#40
ExplosiveExp	#72	#95
PPAPPA	#12	#42
PowerPwr	#51	#60
SP+SP+	#75	#33
Pts POPPO	#76	#79
HavocHav	#105	#28

UAB Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#113	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	#11	#48
Run ExplRExp	#34	#29
PPAExp	#4	#27
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	#3	#41
Stuff RateStuff	#13	#53
TackleTak	-	#50

UAB Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	#18	#29
Pass ExplPExl	#103	#130
PPAExp	#34	#65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#45	#74
F7 HavocF7	#124	#29
DB HavocDB	#43	#42

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	UAB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#29	#126
SuccessSuc	#105	#129
ExplosiveExp	#80	#67
PPAPPA	#75	#119
PowerPwr	#22	#120
SP+SP+	#40	#126
Pts POPPO	#35	#122
HavocHav	#120	#78

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#15	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	#132
Run ExplRExp	#115	#109
PPAExp	#70	#133
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	#34	#131
Stuff RateStuff	#11	#131
TackleTak	-	#91

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#63
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	#89
Pass ExplPExl	#14	#46
PPAExp	#80	#58
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#81	#58
F7 HavocF7	#130	#107
DB HavocDB	#32	#30

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Arkansas -23.5 (60.5)
Arkansas won vs UAB this year (37-27)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat UAB in 2024 (37-27)

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	196	316	62%	2209	17	11	7.0
Jacob Zeno	82	118	70%	819	6	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lee Beebe	166	885	7	5.3	61
Lee Witherspoon	35	166	0	4.7	15
Isaiah Jacobs	41	162	0	4.0	12
Jacob Zeno	37	97	0	2.6	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	62	670	8	10.8	73
Kameran Shanks	62	656	6	10.6	67
Corri Milliner	24	416	3	17.3	45
Malachi Holt-Bennett	16	241	1	15.1	71

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Moore	92	3	0	1	2
Everett Roussaw Jr.	75	8	3	4	1
Tyjon Jones (Tr)	59	0	0	1	4
Sirad Bryant (Tr)	59	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	40	10	6	7	3
Everett Roussaw Jr.	75	8	3	4	1
James Smyre	9	2	2	0	0
Kendall Johnson	18	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Colby Dempsey	22	2	0	11
Adrian Maddox (Tr)	44	2	1	7
Kelvin Hill	42	0	0	5

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green (Tr)	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3
Malachi Singleton	21	28	75%	358	1	0	12.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)	149	790	15	5.3	46
Taylen Green (Tr)	156	602	8	3.9	41
Braylen Russell	67	354	3	5.3	75
Rashod Dubinion	56	335	2	6.0	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa	28	545	3	19.5	75
Isaiah Sategna	37	490	1	13.2	58
Luke Hasz	26	324	4	12.5	43

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)	99	10	2	3	1
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)	78	3	1	0	6
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	70	3	2	3	1
TJ Metcalf	56	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Brad Spence	55	6	5	1	1
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)	99	10	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
TJ Metcalf	56	1	0	7
Marquise Robinson (Tr)	35	0	0	7
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)	78	3	1	6