Arkansas at Texas A&M - 2024 Matchup Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas A&M Aggies(#9)

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -6.5 (50.5) (-230) Open: -10.5
Texas A&M 21 - Arkansas: 17 (SEC)

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK 2nd straight Road Game
TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
TA&M is playing their 5th straight game
ARK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -4 (SP+ TA&M -6)
Projected Score: ARK: 24 - TA&M: 28 (53)
TA&M Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ARK Travel: 397 miles

Aggies (8 - 5) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARK Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	60.5	W 70 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Arkansas at Oklahoma State	+10.5	60.5	L 31 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas vs UAB	-23.5	60.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas at Auburn	+2.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	50.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas vs Tennessee	+14.0	57.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Arkansas vs LSU	+3.0	57.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas at Mississippi State	-7.5	55.0	W 58 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+8.0	54.0	L 31 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas vs Texas	+13.0	57.5	L 10 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech	-23.5	48.5	W 35 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Arkansas at Missouri	+3.5	51.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/27	Arkansas vs Texas Tech	+3.5	52.5	W 39 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Texas A&M vs Notre Dame	-3.0	47.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/7	Texas A&M vs McNeese	-48.5	56.5	W 52 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/14	Texas A&M at Florida	-4.5	47.0	W 33 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas A&M vs Bowling Green	-21.0	50.5	W 26 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/28	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-6.5	50.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	Texas A&M vs Missouri	-3.0	47.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Texas A&M at Mississippi State	-21.0	55.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/26	Texas A&M vs LSU	-2.0	54.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Texas A&M at South Carolina	-3.0	43.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Texas A&M vs New Mexico State	-38.5	54.5	W 38 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/23	Texas A&M at Auburn	-2.5	47.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/30	Texas A&M vs Texas	+4.5	49.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/27	Texas A&M vs USC	-3.5	56.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)	30.9	52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)	25	39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)	30.4	46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)	22.2	40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	13	30.9	33.5	48.2%	3.95	1.7	23	416	168	248	4.9	51%	48%	52%	44%	19%	.25
TA&M Defense	13	22.2	15.1	38.1%	3.03	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	40%	37%	20%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	13	25	26.5	41.5%	3.31	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	44%	14%	.13
TA&M Offense	13	30.4	30.7	44.8%	3.63	1	20	372	185	188	4.9	57%	43%	46%	43%	12%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	13	28:07	22.6	43%	59%	6.4	56.3	1.7	1	4.4	1.9	0	27.3
Texas A&M	13	29:13	19.6	45%	41%	6.9	60.7	1	1.3	6.6	1.8	2	38.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	13	51% (64)	52% (5)	34.4	167.9	4.9	32 (14)	.21 (29)	3.23 (38)	82% (13)	12% (109)	0.97 (67)
TA&M Defense	13	47% (35)	40% (38)	-	-	-	-	.1 (60)	2.55 (10)	77% (89)	11% (46)	1.11 (117)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	13	50% (64)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (11)	2.84 (42)	79% (104)	8% (123)	0.82 (8)
TA&M Offense	13	57% (21)	46% (38)	37.8	184.5	4.9	26 (36)	.19 (37)	3.29 (27)	73% (68)	7% (12)	0.97 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	13	48% (71)	44% (41)	18.8	30.2	248.4	8.2	13.2	14 (108)	9 (48)	.3 (46)	1.6 (42)	32% (72)	37% (17)	.43 (25)	7% (106)	2.2 (25)
TA&M Defense	13	53% (105)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.22 (62)	1.8 (131)	36% (11)	30% (69)	.37 (94)	8% (2)	2.3 (131)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	13	50% (70)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.28 (92)	1.5 (43)	33% (48)	27% (23)	.2 (25)	7% (45)	1.9 (37)
TA&M Offense	13	43% (112)	43% (58)	14.6	24.5	187.8	7.7	12.9	16 (87)	9 (48)	.25 (70)	1.6 (72)	30% (48)	34% (43)	.35 (61)	5% (28)	1.9 (112)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 10.16 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 800.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 10.16 Texas A&M: 14.52

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 11.0 Texas A&M: 17.0

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.52 #24
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
2024 Talent Rating: 812.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 59 #5
Texas A&M's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas A&M's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 28
Arkansas 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas A&M 32
Arkansas 24

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Texas A&M 28
Arkansas 26

Total Points: 54

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Texas A&M	21	Arkansas	17	Texas A&M -6.5	Arkansas	50.5	Under
2023	09/30	Arkansas	22	Texas A&M	34	Texas A&M -6.5	Texas A&M	53.5	Over
2022	09/24	Texas A&M	23	Arkansas	21	Texas A&M -1.5	Texas A&M	51.0	Under
2021	09/25	Arkansas	20	Texas A&M	10	Texas A&M -4.5	Arkansas	47.0	Under
2020	10/31	Texas A&M	42	Arkansas	31	Texas A&M -10.5	Texas A&M	0
2019	09/28	Arkansas	27	Texas A&M	31	Texas A&M -23	Arkansas	59.5	Under
2018	09/29	Texas A&M	24	Arkansas	17	Texas A&M -20	Arkansas	56.5	Under
2017	09/23	Arkansas	43	Texas A&M	50	Arkansas -2.5	Texas A&M	58.5	Over
2016	09/24	Texas A&M	45	Arkansas	24	Texas A&M -3	Texas A&M	52.0	Over
2015	09/26	Arkansas	21	Texas A&M	28	Texas A&M -3.5	Texas A&M	61.5	Under
2014	09/27	Texas A&M	35	Arkansas	28	Texas A&M -12.5	Arkansas	0
2013	09/28	Arkansas	33	Texas A&M	45	Texas A&M -3	Texas A&M	0
2012	09/29	Texas A&M	58	Arkansas	10
2011	10/01	Arkansas	42	Texas A&M	38
2010	10/09	Texas A&M	17	Arkansas	24
2009	10/03	Arkansas	47	Texas A&M	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	12	7	3 Overs
Arkansas	4	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 6	5 - 7	3 - 4	2 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 10	7 - 5	3 - 2	4 - 3

(#30) ARK at (#24) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARK	TA&M
Power RatePwr	#30	#24
SP+SP+	#24	#13
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#57
OffenseOff	#29	#67
DefenseDef	#71	#58
Spec TeamsST	#75	#100
TalentTal	#29	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	#26	#5

Texas A&M Notes
(12/28) 0-3 finish. Elko didn't change a thing in yr 1
(11/30) Off pitiful vs Tex, Rgame awful, Run Def mauled
(11/30) Beat LSU and NOTHING else to finish 8-4
(11/24) Def mauled by Aub, comeback fell in 4 OT
(11/5) Lead RB Moss (765 yds) out for season (leg)
(10/27) QB Reed 3 TD rush over LSU, DL was diff in game
(10/19) Off bad vs MSU. Def just OK this week
(10/7) Weigman/Rgame/Def great in rout of Mizzu.
(9/28) Def/Reed just good enough vs Hogs. Run D great
(9/26) Rgame 237 (5.6 ypc) in fight w/ BG. Reed better QB
(9/16) Rgame 310 (5.6 ypc) @ UF. QB Reed adds mobility

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
Perf GradePerf	#29	#58
SuccessSuc	#13	#23
ExplosiveExp	#80	#131
PPAPPA	#27	#67
PowerPwr	#22	#35
SP+SP+	#40	#19
Pts POPPO	#64	#9
HavocHav	#114	#17

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#15	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	#5	#38
Run ExplRExp	#67	#117
PPAExp	#29	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#10
Stuff RateStuff	#83	#8
TackleTak	-	#115

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#42	#131
PPAExp	#46	#62
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#81	#29
F7 HavocF7	#109	#46
DB HavocDB	#106	#2

Texas A&M on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
Perf GradePerf	#67	#71
SuccessSuc	#41	#66
ExplosiveExp	#106	#29
PPAPPA	#54	#45
PowerPwr	#83	#60
SP+SP+	#21	#33
Pts POPPO	#93	#22
HavocHav	#13	#101

Texas A&M Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#56	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	#38	#32
Run ExplRExp	#66	#8
PPAExp	#37	#11
Run BlockR Blk	#49	-
OL YdsOLY	#27	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#29	#112
TackleTak	-	#50

Texas A&M Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	#58	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#72	#43
PPAExp	#70	#92
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#47	#74
F7 HavocF7	#12	#123
DB HavocDB	#28	#45

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 86° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Texas A&M -6.5 (50.5)
Texas A&M won vs Arkansas this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Arkansas last year (21-17)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-22)
Texas A&M beat Arkansas in 2022 (23-21)

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green (Tr)	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3
Malachi Singleton	21	28	75%	358	1	0	12.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)	149	790	15	5.3	46
Taylen Green (Tr)	156	602	8	3.9	41
Braylen Russell	67	354	3	5.3	75
Rashod Dubinion	56	335	2	6.0	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa	28	545	3	19.5	75
Isaiah Sategna	37	490	1	13.2	58
Luke Hasz	26	324	4	12.5	43

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)	99	10	2	3	1
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)	78	3	1	0	6
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	70	3	2	3	1
TJ Metcalf	56	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Brad Spence	55	6	5	1	1
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)	99	10	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
TJ Metcalf	56	1	0	7
Marquise Robinson (Tr)	35	0	0	7
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)	78	3	1	6

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcel Reed	147	240	61%	1864	15	6	7.8
Conner Weigman	64	114	56%	819	3	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Le'Veon Moss	121	765	10	6.3	75
Amari Daniels	139	661	8	4.8	71
Marcel Reed	116	547	7	4.7	31
E.J. Smith (Tr)	54	207	0	3.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Thomas	39	574	8	14.7	73
Jabre Barber (Tr)	38	381	2	10.0	58
Jahdae Walker	29	345	2	11.9	40
Tre Watson (Tr)	21	280	1	13.3	33

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taurean York	83	10	3	2	4
Dalton Brooks	59	6	1	3	2
Marcus Ratcliffe (Tr)	48	4	0	1	0
Scooby Williams (Tr)	43	8	0	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Cashius Howell (Tr)	40	9	4	8	7
Taurean York	83	10	3	2	4
Malick Sylla	6	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Lee III (Tr)	42	1	0	0	10
Cashius Howell (Tr)	40	9	4	8	7
Albert Regis	36	3	1	2	6