Louisiana Tech at Arkansas - 2024 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Arkansas -23.5 (48.5) (-1800) Open: -23.5
Arkansas 35 - Louisiana Tech: 14

Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (19 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LT 2nd straight Road Game
ARK 3rd straight Home Game
LT is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Arkansas -28 (SP+ ARK -23)
Projected Score: LT: 12 - ARK: 40 (52)
ARK Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
LT Travel: 259 miles

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls	-17.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+20.5	47.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa	-3.0	56.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-2.0	49.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-5.0	48.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Tue 10/15	Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State	-12.5	49.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Tue 10/22	Louisiana Tech vs UTEP	-6.5	49.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Tue 10/29	Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston	+10.5	45.5	L 3 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State	+10.0	55.5	L 37 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky	+11.5	52.5	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Louisiana Tech at Arkansas	+23.5	48.5	L 14 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State	-13.5	41.5	W 33 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Louisiana Tech vs Army	+15.0	44.5	L 6 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	60.5	W 70 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Arkansas at Oklahoma State	+10.5	60.5	L 31 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas vs UAB	-23.5	60.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas at Auburn	+2.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	50.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas vs Tennessee	+14.0	57.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Arkansas vs LSU	+3.0	57.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas at Mississippi State	-7.5	55.0	W 58 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+8.0	54.0	L 31 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas vs Texas	+13.0	57.5	L 10 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech	-23.5	48.5	W 35 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Arkansas at Missouri	+3.5	51.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/27	Arkansas vs Texas Tech	+3.5	52.5	W 39 - 26	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#91 (.15)	42% (64)	27.3	43% (66)	2.74 (122)	125	42% (63)	261	3.91 (67)	#111 (.25)	43% (78)	20.8	48% (117)	36% (15)	4.63 (128)	62.8	1.5	0.8
ARK	#75 (.18)	39% (105)	32.9	43% (74)	3.3 (34)	139	36% (112)	188	4.22 (35)	#42 (.14)	39% (40)	33.8	41% (48)	39% (29)	3.93 (79)	55.4	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	12	27.3	18.8	42.3%	3.91	1.5	20	384	125	261	3.9	45%	54%	43%	42%	18%	.15
ARK Defense	12	33.8	35	39.5%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	39%	18%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	12	20.8	25.3	42.8%	4.63	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	48%	36%	15%	.25
ARK Offense	12	32.9	30.5	39.3%	4.22	1.5	17	327	139	188	3.5	52%	47%	43%	36%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	12	29:44	20.1	30%	50%	6.8	62.8	1.5	0.8	5.5	1.3	3	29.3
Arkansas	12	30:43	17.3	38%	63%	6.3	55.4	1.5	1.5	6.3	2.4	5	27.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	12	45% (102)	43% (66)	31.8	124.6	3.9	20 (61)	.11 (90)	2.74 (122)	74% (73)	12% (107)	0.97 (88)
ARK Defense	12	53% (108)	41% (48)	-	-	-	-	.07 (27)	2.95 (41)	70% (45)	11% (29)	0.9 (29)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	12	58% (132)	48% (117)	-	-	-	-	.29 (129)	3.29 (109)	84% (121)	10% (83)	1.15 (119)
ARK Offense	12	52% (48)	43% (74)	39.3	139	3.5	9 (128)	.15 (70)	3.3 (34)	84% (5)	15% (130)	0.89 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	12	54% (32)	42% (63)	22.4	35.2	260.9	7.4	11.6	16 (92)	11 (68)	.23 (87)	1.6 (78)	32% (70)	25% (113)	.22 (103)	6% (76)	2.3 (13)
ARK Defense	12	46% (29)	39% (29)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.27 (65)	1.9 (130)	32% (62)	27% (27)	.3 (61)	7% (42)	2.3 (129)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	12	41% (2)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.23 (43)	1.9 (132)	32% (71)	31% (83)	.36 (94)	6% (79)	2.3 (125)
ARK Offense	12	47% (86)	36% (112)	17.3	26.9	187.5	7	10.9	22 (61)	8 (30)	.24 (80)	1.8 (14)	34% (97)	27% (98)	.39 (49)	5% (32)	2.4 (3)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -18.16 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 255.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -18.16 Arkansas: 13.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -11.6 Arkansas: 11.0

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 13.08 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 416.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas 40
Louisiana Tech 12

Projected Total Points: 52

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Arkansas	35	Louisiana Tech	14	Arkansas -23.5	Louisiana Tech	48.5	Over
2016	09/03	Arkansas	21	Louisiana Tech	20	Arkansas -20.5	Louisiana Tech	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	2	0	1 Overs
Louisiana Tech	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#119) LT at (#30) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#119	#30
SP+SP+	#110	#24
Perf GradeGrade	#113	#40
OffenseOff	#113	#29
DefenseDef	#94	#71
Spec TeamsST	#93	#75
TalentTal	#93	#30
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#26

Louisiana Tech Notes(11/18) Upset WKU, Rgame 200+, Run Def great.
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him
(8/3) This is a roster that gets coaches fired
Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#113	#71
SuccessSuc	#64	#40
ExplosiveExp	#69	#95
PPAPPA	#91	#42
PowerPwr	#133	#60
SP+SP+	#128	#33
Pts POPPO	#67	#79
HavocHav	#100	#28

Louisiana Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#107	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	#66	#48
Run ExplRExp	#88	#29
PPAExp	#90	#27
Run BlockR Blk	#129	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	#41
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#53
TackleTak	-	#50

Louisiana Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	#63	#29
Pass ExplPExl	#78	#130
PPAExp	#87	#65
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#53	#74
F7 HavocF7	#107	#29
DB HavocDB	#76	#42

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#29	#94
SuccessSuc	#105	#78
ExplosiveExp	#80	#118
PPAPPA	#75	#111
PowerPwr	#22	#49
SP+SP+	#40	#64
Pts POPPO	#35	#128
HavocHav	#120	#86

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#15	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	#117
Run ExplRExp	#115	#119
PPAExp	#70	#129
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	#34	#109
Stuff RateStuff	#11	#85
TackleTak	-	#96

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	#15
Pass ExplPExl	#14	#132
PPAExp	#80	#43
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#81	#118
F7 HavocF7	#130	#83
DB HavocDB	#32	#79

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Arkansas -23.5 (48.5)
Arkansas won vs Louisiana Tech this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Louisiana Tech in 2024 (35-14)

LT's OC Scott Parr (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Bullock	199	302	66%	2107	14	3	7.0
Jack Turner	40	76	53%	471	2	2	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omiri Wiggins	111	527	4	4.7	35
Amani Givens	75	319	2	4.3	20
Marquis Crosby	57	224	1	3.9	31
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	48	182	4	3.8	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tru Edwards	85	989	6	11.6	86
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	39	476	2	12.2	32
Eli Finley	25	314	2	12.6	53
Jay Wilkerson	13	262	2	20.2	55

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos	84	6	1	5	1
Kolbe Fields	71	9	2	3	1
Blake Thompson (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jacob Fields	54	6	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Blay	45	10	6	2	0
Sifa Leota (Tr)	42	6	4	1	1
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
J'Dan Burnett	21	3	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cedric Woods	30	0	5
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	5
Jacob Fields	54	6	4

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green (Tr)	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3
Malachi Singleton	21	28	75%	358	1	0	12.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)	149	790	15	5.3	46
Taylen Green (Tr)	156	602	8	3.9	41
Braylen Russell	67	354	3	5.3	75
Rashod Dubinion	56	335	2	6.0	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa	28	545	3	19.5	75
Isaiah Sategna	37	490	1	13.2	58
Luke Hasz	26	324	4	12.5	43

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)	99	10	2	3	1
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)	78	3	1	0	6
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	70	3	2	3	1
TJ Metcalf	56	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Brad Spence	55	6	5	1	1
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)	99	10	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
TJ Metcalf	56	1	0	7
Marquise Robinson (Tr)	35	0	0	7
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)	78	3	1	6