Arkansas at Missouri - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Missouri Tigers(#23)Missouri logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Missouri -3.5 (51.5) (-145)  Open: -3.5 | 54.5
Missouri 28 - Arkansas: 21  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
MIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -5   (SP+ MIZ -3)

Projected Score: ARK: 24 - MIZ: 29 (52)
MIZ Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 222 miles
Tigers (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (28 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-50.560.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Arkansas at Oklahoma State+10.560.5L 31 - 39OY
Sat 9/14 Arkansas vs UAB-23.560.5W 37 - 27ON
Sat 9/21 Arkansas at Auburn+2.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.550.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Arkansas vs Tennessee+14.057.5W 19 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Arkansas vs LSU+3.057.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arkansas at Mississippi State-7.555.0W 58 - 25OY
Sat 11/2 Arkansas vs Ole Miss+8.054.0L 31 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Arkansas vs Texas+13.057.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech-23.548.5W 35 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Arkansas at Missouri+3.551.5L 21 - 28UN
Fri 12/27 Arkansas vs Texas Tech+3.552.5W 39 - 26OY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Missouri's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Missouri vs Murray State-50.562.5W 51 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs Buffalo-34.553.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Missouri vs Boston College-14.551.5W 27 - 21UN
Sat 9/21 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-17.552.0W 30 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Missouri at Texas A&M+3.047.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 10/12 Missouri at Massachusetts-27.054.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Missouri vs Auburn-3.549.5W 21 - 17UY
Sat 10/26 Missouri at Alabama+16.051.5L 0 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Missouri vs Oklahoma+3.541.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 11/16 Missouri at South Carolina+10.542.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Missouri at Mississippi State-9.558.0W 39 - 20OY
Sat 11/30 Missouri vs Arkansas-3.551.5W 28 - 21UY
Mon 12/30 Missouri vs Iowa-1.041.0W 27 - 24OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)30.952% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)2539% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)28.947% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)20.442% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1330.933.548.2%3.951.7234161682484.951%48%52%44%19%.25
MIZ Defense1320.415.640.6%3.381.2 - - - - - 53%47%42%39%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense132526.541.5%3.311 - - - - - 50%50%39%44%14%.13
MIZ Offense1328.932.144%3.910.7193611592024.353%47%47%41%11%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1328:0722.643%59%6.456.31.714.41.9027.3
Missouri1330:2819.547%53%5.2460.71.251.9231
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1351% (64)52% (5)34.4167.94.932 (14).21 (29)3.23 (38)82% (13)12% (109)0.97 (67)
MIZ Defense1353% (91)42% (57) - - - - .01 (18)2.75 (29)73% (64)12% (22)0.92 (43)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1350% (64)39% (32) - - - - -.01 (11)2.84 (42)79% (104)8% (123)0.82 (8)
MIZ Offense1353% (48)47% (28)37.1158.74.325 (41).12 (73)3.04 (67)79% (26)8% (31)0.9 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1348% (71)44% (41)18.830.2248.48.213.214 (108)9 (48).3 (46)1.6 (42)32% (72)37% (17).43 (25)7% (106)2.2 (25)
MIZ Defense1347% (47)39% (56) - - - - - - 6 (109).23 (65)1.6 (70)32% (61)27% (20).2 (27)6% (54)2 (65)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1350% (70)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (93).28 (92)1.5 (43)33% (48)27% (23).2 (25)7% (45)1.9 (37)
MIZ Offense1347% (85)41% (80)17.828.5202.27.111.412 (118)5 (6).26 (66)1.6 (69)30% (49)33% (52).39 (44)4% (10)2.1 (49)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 10.16 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 10.16   Missouri: 15.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 11.0   Missouri: 14.0




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 15.405 #26
Missouri's Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Missouri's Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Missouri's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Missouri's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 29
Arkansas 24


Total Points: 52

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Missouri28Arkansas21MissouriMissouri -3.5Missouri51.5Under
202311/24Arkansas14Missouri48MissouriMissouri -9.5Missouri53.5Over
202211/25Missouri29Arkansas27MissouriArkansas -3.0Missouri55.5Over
202111/26Arkansas34Missouri17ArkansasArkansas -14.5Arkansas63.0Under
202012/05Missouri50Arkansas48MissouriMissouri -2Push55.5Over
201911/29Arkansas14Missouri24MissouriMissouri -15Arkansas53.0Under
201811/23Missouri38Arkansas0MissouriMissouri -24Missouri59.0Under
201711/24Arkansas45Missouri48MissouriMissouri -9.5Arkansas68.5Over
201611/25Missouri28Arkansas24MissouriArkansas -7.5Missouri72.0Under
201511/27Arkansas28Missouri3ArkansasArkansas -14Arkansas44.0Under
201411/28Missouri21Arkansas14MissouriArkansas -1.5Missouri0
200701/01Arkansas7Missouri38Missouri
200312/31Arkansas27Missouri14Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri1064 Overs
Arkansas346 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 49 - 14 - 05 - 1
Road Teams4 - 91 - 91 - 50 - 4

(#30) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 10.16 #30
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arkansas has won 1 straight
Arkansas has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas offense is efficent (#12)
Arkansas defense does not give up big plays (#43)
Arkansas defense is really good in red zone (#86)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Arkansas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
Arkansas Does Not Stuff Runs (#54)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMIZARK
OverallOver#18#31
OffenseOff#24#25
DefenseDef#27#53
Special TeamsST#11#63
PassingPass#61#23
RushingRush#37#13
Run BlockRBLK#5#50
Pass BlockPBLK#29#71
Route RunningWR Rt#54#19
TacklingTkl#47#45
Run DefenseR Def#31#6
Pass Rush DefPRush#31#65
Coverage DefCov#65#100

Rematch from Week 14
Missouri -3.5 (51.5)
Missouri won vs Arkansas this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Arkansas last year (28-21)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-14)
Missouri beat Arkansas in 2022 (29-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | MIZ
Depth Chart: ARK | MIZ
Rosters: ARK | MIZ
(#26) Missouri Info
Power Rating: 15.405 #26
Offense Rating: 21.28 #55
Defense Rating: 6.00 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #20
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Missouri has won 1 straight
Missouri has won 6 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Missouri Notes
(11/24) Off OK vs Miss St, Def held 2-10 on 3rd downs
(11/18) Cook nearly beat SC, Run Def great, Pass D WTF?
(11/13) Off bad, Def good, great Pyne drive beat OU
(11/12) C Tollison (top in CFB) out for season
(10/27) Off is broken, all stats < '23. Cook/Rgame bad
(10/23) QB Brady Cook doubtful for Bama game (ankle)
(10/23) RB Noel doubtful for Bama game
(10/22) Def stop rate is 72% (#20) into Bama game
(10/19) Rallied (Aub), Off was bad but clutch. Def held
(10/18) 2ndary getting cooked, repeatedly & big plays

Missouri Highlights
Missouri is Undefeated at Home

Missouri offense is good on 3rd downs
Missouri does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#27)

Missouri defense is really good in red zone (#84)
Missouri Defensive Line is very good (#34)
Missouri Front 7 is disruptive (#4)
Missouri has a great TO Margin (#28)

Missouri Deficiencies
Missouri offense is not Explosive (#63)


  
Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green (Tr)23038160%31531598.3
Malachi Singleton212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)149790155.346
Taylen Green (Tr)15660283.941
Braylen Russell6735435.375
Rashod Dubinion5633526.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong781140114.643
Isaac Teslaa28545319.575
Isaiah Sategna37490113.258
Luke Hasz26324412.543

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)703231
TJ Metcalf561007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4910793
Brad Spence556511
Eric Gregory435351
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Metcalf561007
Marquise Robinson (Tr)350007
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Drew Pyne (Tr)498260%391334.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Noel (Tr)16381835.064
Marcus Carroll (Tr)140595124.335
Brady Cook8722352.631
Jamal Roberts5321634.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Marquis Johnson25352114.149
Brett Norfleet2623529.036

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Flagg Jr.815110
Triston Newson727241
Marvin Burks Jr.662002
Daylan Carnell515006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Zion Young (Tr)416353
Chris McClellan (Tr)396332
Khalil Jacobs (Tr)123220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daylan Carnell515006
Joseph Charleston442004
Nicholas Deloach Jr.231004