Arkansas at Auburn - 2024 Matchup Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers(#22)

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Auburn -2.5 (53.5) (-142) Open: 0.0
Arkansas 24 - Auburn: 14 (SEC)

Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB 4th straight Home Game
AUB is playing their 4th straight game
ARK is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -2 (SP+ ARK -1.5)
Projected Score: ARK: 27 - AUB: 29 (56)
AUB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ARK Travel: 550 miles

Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARK Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	60.5	W 70 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Arkansas at Oklahoma State	+10.5	60.5	L 31 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Arkansas vs UAB	-23.5	60.5	W 37 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/21	Arkansas at Auburn	+2.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	50.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Arkansas vs Tennessee	+14.0	57.5	W 19 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Arkansas vs LSU	+3.0	57.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arkansas at Mississippi State	-7.5	55.0	W 58 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Arkansas vs Ole Miss	+8.0	54.0	L 31 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Arkansas vs Texas	+13.0	57.5	L 10 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech	-23.5	48.5	W 35 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Arkansas at Missouri	+3.5	51.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Fri 12/27	Arkansas vs Texas Tech	+3.5	52.5	W 39 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Auburn's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Auburn vs Alabama A&M	-48.5	58.5	W 73 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Auburn vs California	-11.5	52.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/14	Auburn vs New Mexico	-25.5	58.5	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Auburn vs Arkansas	-2.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/28	Auburn vs Oklahoma	-2.0	43.0	L 21 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/5	Auburn at Georgia	+21.0	50.0	L 13 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Auburn at Missouri	+3.5	49.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Auburn at Kentucky	+2.0	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Auburn vs Vanderbilt	-7.5	48.0	L 7 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Auburn vs UL Monroe	-24.5	46.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Auburn vs Texas A&M	+2.5	47.0	W 43 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Auburn at Alabama	+10.5	50.5	L 14 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)	30.9	52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)	25	39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)	27.8	48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)	21.3	38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	#27 (.25)	48% (13)		52% (5)	3.23 (38)	168	44% (41)	248	3.95 (64)	#45 (.13)	42% (66)		39% (32)	44% (100)	3.31 (22)	56.3	1.7	1
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)		48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)		38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	13	30.9	33.5	48.2%	3.95	1.7	23	416	168	248	4.9	51%	48%	52%	44%	19%	.25
AUB Defense	12	21.3	20.8	37.8%	3.35	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	38%	38%	15%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	13	25	26.5	41.5%	3.31	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	44%	14%	.13
AUB Offense	12	27.8	33.1	44.9%	3.42	1.8	21	430	166	264	5	48%	52%	48%	42%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	13	28:07	22.6	43%	59%	6.4	56.3	1.7	1	4.4	1.9	0	27.3
Auburn	12	27:13	20.9	41%	47%	5.8	49.3	1.8	1.1	5.7	2.3	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	13	51% (64)	52% (5)	34.4	167.9	4.9	32 (14)	.21 (29)	3.23 (38)	82% (13)	12% (109)	0.97 (67)
AUB Defense	12	53% (98)	38% (19)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (7)	2.49 (6)	80% (108)	10% (81)	0.93 (44)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	13	50% (64)	39% (32)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (11)	2.84 (42)	79% (104)	8% (123)	0.82 (8)
AUB Offense	12	48% (85)	48% (21)	33.4	165.7	5	13 (105)	.16 (55)	3.32 (23)	69% (95)	10% (67)	0.92 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	13	48% (71)	44% (41)	18.8	30.2	248.4	8.2	13.2	14 (108)	9 (48)	.3 (46)	1.6 (42)	32% (72)	37% (17)	.43 (25)	7% (106)	2.2 (25)
AUB Defense	12	47% (42)	38% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.22 (63)	1.7 (104)	35% (19)	28% (34)	.21 (31)	6% (77)	2.1 (85)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	13	50% (70)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.28 (92)	1.5 (43)	33% (48)	27% (23)	.2 (25)	7% (45)	1.9 (37)
AUB Offense	12	52% (47)	42% (67)	19.2	30.8	263.9	8.6	13.8	27 (20)	13 (103)	.31 (45)	1.6 (39)	31% (55)	32% (69)	.41 (34)	7% (113)	1.9 (101)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 10.16 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 10.16 Auburn: 12.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 11.0 Auburn: 9.5

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 12.735 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40 #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 29
Arkansas 27

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 35
Arkansas 28

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 28
Arkansas 27

Total Points: 55

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Arkansas	24	Auburn	33	Arkansas -2.5	Auburn	55.5	Over
2024	09/21	Auburn	14	Arkansas	24	Auburn -2.5	Arkansas	53.5	Under
2023	11/11	Arkansas	10	Auburn	48	Arkansas -2.5	Auburn	46.5	Over
2022	10/29	Auburn	27	Arkansas	41	Arkansas -4	Arkansas	60.0	Over
2021	10/16	Arkansas	23	Auburn	38	Arkansas -4.5	Auburn	54.0	Over
2020	10/10	Auburn	30	Arkansas	28	Auburn -13.5	Arkansas	46.0	Over
2019	10/19	Arkansas	10	Auburn	51	Auburn -20.5	Auburn	56.0	Over
2018	09/22	Auburn	34	Arkansas	3	Auburn -30	Auburn	57.5	Under
2017	10/21	Arkansas	20	Auburn	52	Auburn -17	Auburn	51.0	Over
2016	10/22	Auburn	56	Arkansas	3	Auburn -17	Auburn	53.0	Over
2015	10/24	Arkansas	54	Auburn	46	Arkansas -4	Arkansas	55.0	Over
2014	08/30	Auburn	45	Arkansas	21	Auburn -21	Auburn	0
2013	11/02	Arkansas	17	Auburn	35	Auburn -8	Auburn	0
2012	10/06	Auburn	7	Arkansas	24
2011	10/08	Arkansas	38	Auburn	14
2010	10/16	Auburn	65	Arkansas	43
2009	10/10	Arkansas	44	Auburn	23
2008	10/11	Auburn	22	Arkansas	25
2007	10/13	Arkansas	7	Auburn	9
2006	10/07	Auburn	10	Arkansas	27
2005	10/15	Arkansas	17	Auburn	34
2004	10/16	Auburn	38	Arkansas	20
2003	10/11	Arkansas	3	Auburn	10
2002	10/12	Auburn	17	Arkansas	38
2001	10/27	Arkansas	42	Auburn	17
2000	10/27	Auburn	21	Arkansas	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	16	9	9 Overs
Arkansas	10	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 15	4 - 9	4 - 5	0 - 4
Road Teams	15 - 11	9 - 4	4 - 0	5 - 4

(#30) ARK at (#27) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARK	AUB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#30	#27
SP+SP+	#24	#33
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#28
OffenseOff	#29	#48
DefenseDef	#71	#20
Spec TeamsST	#75	#55
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#26	#18

Arkansas Injury Report

Auburn Injury Report

Arkansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	AUB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#29	#20
SuccessSuc	#13	#20
ExplosiveExp	#80	#74
PPAPPA	#27	#21
PowerPwr	#22	#32
SP+SP+	#40	#17
Pts POPPO	#64	#25
HavocHav	#114	#79

Arkansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#15	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	#5	#19
Run ExplRExp	#67	#44
PPAExp	#29	#7
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#83	#20
TackleTak	-	#43

Arkansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ARK Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	#41	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#42	#104
PPAExp	#46	#63
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#81	#29
F7 HavocF7	#109	#81
DB HavocDB	#106	#77

Auburn on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	ARK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#71
SuccessSuc	#40	#66
ExplosiveExp	#71	#29
PPAPPA	#42	#45
PowerPwr	#40	#60
SP+SP+	#63	#33
Pts POPPO	#110	#22
HavocHav	#94	#101

Auburn Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#73	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	#21	#32
Run ExplRExp	#89	#8
PPAExp	#55	#11
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#23	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#60	#112
TackleTak	-	#50

Auburn Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	AUB Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	#67	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#43
PPAExp	#45	#92
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#61	#74
F7 HavocF7	#67	#123
DB HavocDB	#113	#45

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 88°

Rematch from Week 4
Auburn -2.5 (53.5)
Arkansas won at Auburn this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Auburn last year (24-14)
Auburn beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-10)
Arkansas beat Auburn in 2022 (41-27)

ARK's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taylen Green (Tr)	230	381	60%	3153	15	9	8.3
Malachi Singleton	21	28	75%	358	1	0	12.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)	149	790	15	5.3	46
Taylen Green (Tr)	156	602	8	3.9	41
Braylen Russell	67	354	3	5.3	75
Rashod Dubinion	56	335	2	6.0	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa	28	545	3	19.5	75
Isaiah Sategna	37	490	1	13.2	58
Luke Hasz	26	324	4	12.5	43

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Travis Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)	99	10	2	3	1
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)	78	3	1	0	6
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	70	3	2	3	1
TJ Metcalf	56	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Brad Spence	55	6	5	1	1
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)	99	10	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
TJ Metcalf	56	1	0	7
Marquise Robinson (Tr)	35	0	0	7
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)	78	3	1	6

AUB's OC Derrick Nix (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne	199	317	63%	2713	21	9	8.6
Hank Brown	27	43	63%	403	6	3	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	187	1201	8	6.4	50
Payton Thorne	112	283	2	2.5	31
Damari Alston	52	276	3	5.3	36
Jeremiah Cobb	29	142	0	4.9	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keandre Lambert	50	981	8	19.6	67
Cam Coleman	37	598	8	16.2	63
Malcolm Simmons	40	451	3	11.3	57
Rivaldo Fairweather	31	372	2	12.0	43

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)	65	2	1	0	5
Jalen McLeod	56	14	8	2	1
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen McLeod	56	14	8	2	1
Keldric Faulk	45	11	7	7	1
Demarcus Riddick	27	5	3	2	1
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kayin Lee	32	0	0	7
Jay Crawford	15	0	0	7
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)	65	2	1	5