Texas at Arkansas - 2024 Matchup Preview
Texas logo Texas Longhorns at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas -13 (57.5) (-625)  Open: -16.5
Texas 20 - Arkansas: 10  (SEC)

 
Longhorns (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
ARK coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas -11.5   (SP+ TEX -13)
Projected Score: TEX: 32 - ARK: 21 (52)
TEX Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
TEX Travel: 449 miles
Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas vs Colorado State-35.559.0W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Texas at Michigan-7.042.0W 31 - 12OY
Sat 9/14 Texas vs UTSA-36.556.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Texas vs UL Monroe-43.554.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/28 Texas vs Mississippi State-37.058.5W 35 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Texas vs Oklahoma-16.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Texas vs Georgia-4.057.0L 15 - 30UN
Sat 10/26 Texas at Vanderbilt-17.050.5W 27 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Texas vs Florida-24.548.5W 49 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas at Arkansas-13.057.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/23 Texas vs Kentucky-18.547.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/30 Texas at Texas A&M-4.549.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 12/7 Texas vs Georgia-2.550.5L 19 - 22UN
Sat 12/21 Texas vs Clemson-13.549.5W 38 - 24OY
Wed 1/1 Texas vs Arizona State-13.552.5W 39 - 31ON
Fri 1/10 Texas vs Ohio State+6.551.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-50.560.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Arkansas at Oklahoma State+10.560.5L 31 - 39OY
Sat 9/14 Arkansas vs UAB-23.560.5W 37 - 27ON
Sat 9/21 Arkansas at Auburn+2.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.550.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Arkansas vs Tennessee+14.057.5W 19 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Arkansas vs LSU+3.057.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arkansas at Mississippi State-7.555.0W 58 - 25OY
Sat 11/2 Arkansas vs Ole Miss+8.054.0L 31 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Arkansas vs Texas+13.057.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech-23.548.5W 35 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Arkansas at Missouri+3.551.5L 21 - 28UN
Fri 12/27 Arkansas vs Texas Tech+3.552.5W 39 - 26OY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#33 (.28)45% (43)3342% (81)3.19 (54)17648% (16)2663.84 (75)#15 (.1)36% (14)15.333% (5)38% (26)3.43 (38)47.51.11.6
ARK#75 (.18)39% (105)30.943% (74)3.3 (34)13936% (112)1884.22 (35)#42 (.14)39% (40)2541% (48)39% (29)3.93 (79)55.41.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense143323.844.7%3.841.1214421762664.949%51%42%48%14%.28
ARK Defense122528.739.5%3.931.5 - - - - - 53%46%41%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1415.313.335.9%3.431.6 - - - - - 41%58%33%38%19%.1
ARK Offense1230.923.739.3%4.221.5173271391883.552%47%43%36%20%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1429:3121.439%63%5.947.51.11.65.42.1531
Arkansas1230:4317.338%63%6.355.41.51.56.32.4527.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1449% (80)42% (81)35.6175.64.926 (30).21 (35)3.19 (54)64% (121)8% (33)1.13 (14)
ARK Defense1253% (108)41% (48) - - - - .07 (27)2.95 (41)70% (45)11% (29)0.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1441% (4)33% (5) - - - - -.06 (4)2.45 (5)54% (2)11% (37)0.79 (5)
ARK Offense1252% (48)43% (74)39.31393.59 (128).15 (70)3.3 (34)84% (5)15% (130)0.89 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1451% (50)48% (16)20.930.9266.48.612.724 (41)9 (40).35 (38)1.5 (102)30% (32)34% (32).45 (32)5% (46)2.1 (52)
ARK Defense1246% (29)39% (29) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (65)1.9 (130)32% (62)27% (27).3 (61)7% (42)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1458% (131)38% (26) - - - - - - 16 (9).24 (52)1.7 (92)36% (20)28% (31).27 (42)8% (15)2.1 (87)
ARK Offense1247% (86)36% (112)17.326.9187.5710.922 (61)8 (30).24 (80)1.8 (14)34% (97)27% (98).39 (49)5% (32)2.4 (3)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Texas's Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
2024 Talent Rating: 1014.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 25.36   Arkansas: 13.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.1   Arkansas: 11.0




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 13.08 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 800.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 32
Arkansas 21

Projected Total Points: 52
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Arkansas10Texas20TexasTexas -13Arkansas57.5Under
202109/11Arkansas40Texas21ArkansasTexas -6Arkansas57.5Over
201412/29Texas7Arkansas31ArkansasArkansas -7Arkansas42.5Under
200809/27Texas52Arkansas10Texas
200409/11Arkansas20Texas22Texas
200309/13Texas28Arkansas38Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas331 Overs
Texas302 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1
Road Teams4 - 21 - 21 - 20 - 0

(#3) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2
Talent Rating: 1014.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Texas     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas
Power #3
#30
Off #31
#22
Def #3
#60
Talent #6
#29
SP+ #7
#24
SP+ Off #13
#40
SP+ Def #2
#33

Rematch from Week 12
Texas 13.0 (57.5)
Texas won at Arkansas this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Arkansas last year (20-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 64° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TEX | ARK
Depth Chart: TEX | ARK
Rosters: TEX | ARK
(#30) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.08 #30
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 800.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position



  
Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Arch Manning619068%9389210.4
Trey Owens2450%19004.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner226106454.743
Jerrick Gibson7837744.825
Arch Manning2510844.367
Ryan Wingo5100020.055
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Golden (Tr)58987917.054
Isaiah Bond (Tr)34540515.956
DeAndre Moore Jr.39455711.749
Ryan Wingo27423215.775

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Michael Taaffe7862110
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)694016
Liona Lefau635202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons4814992
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Trey Moore (Tr)3611761
Michael Taaffe7862110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Taaffe7862110
Malik Muhammad361008
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)694016

Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green (Tr)23038160%31531598.3
Malachi Singleton212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)149790155.346
Taylen Green (Tr)15660283.941
Braylen Russell6735435.375
Rashod Dubinion5633526.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna37490113.258
Luke Hasz26324412.543
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)13139010.726
Dazmin James3137145.794

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)703231
TJ Metcalf561007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brad Spence556511
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)703231
Cameron Ball464220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Metcalf561007
Marquise Robinson (Tr)350007
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106