Texas at Arkansas - 2024 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#8)Texas Longhorns at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Texas -13 (57.5) (-625)  Open: -16.5
Texas 20 - Arkansas: 10  (SEC)

 
Longhorns (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
ARK coming off BYE
Our Line: Texas -11.5   (SP+ TEX -13)

Projected Score: TEX: 32 - ARK: 21 (53)
TEX Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
TEX Travel: 449 miles
Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas vs Colorado State-35.559.0W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Texas at Michigan-7.042.0W 31 - 12OY
Sat 9/14 Texas vs UTSA-36.556.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Texas vs UL Monroe-43.554.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/28 Texas vs Mississippi State-37.058.5W 35 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Texas vs Oklahoma-16.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Texas vs Georgia-4.057.0L 15 - 30UN
Sat 10/26 Texas at Vanderbilt-17.050.5W 27 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Texas vs Florida-24.548.5W 49 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas at Arkansas-13.057.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/23 Texas vs Kentucky-18.547.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/30 Texas at Texas A&M-4.549.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 12/7 Texas vs Georgia-2.550.5L 19 - 22UN
Sat 12/21 Texas vs Clemson-13.549.5W 38 - 24OY
Wed 1/1 Texas vs Arizona State-13.552.5W 39 - 31ON
Fri 1/10 Texas vs Ohio State+6.551.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-50.560.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Arkansas at Oklahoma State+10.560.5L 31 - 39OY
Sat 9/14 Arkansas vs UAB-23.560.5W 37 - 27ON
Sat 9/21 Arkansas at Auburn+2.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.550.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Arkansas vs Tennessee+14.057.5W 19 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Arkansas vs LSU+3.057.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arkansas at Mississippi State-7.555.0W 58 - 25OY
Sat 11/2 Arkansas vs Ole Miss+8.054.0L 31 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Arkansas vs Texas+13.057.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech-23.548.5W 35 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Arkansas at Missouri+3.551.5L 21 - 28UN
Fri 12/27 Arkansas vs Texas Tech+3.552.5W 39 - 26OY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)3349% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)15.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)30.952% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)2539% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense163323.846.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24
ARK Defense132528.741.5%3.311 - - - - - 50%50%39%44%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1615.313.338%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
ARK Offense1330.923.748.2%3.951.7234161682484.951%48%52%44%19%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Arkansas1328:0722.643%59%6.456.31.714.41.9027.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)
ARK Defense1350% (64)39% (32) - - - - -.01 (11)2.84 (42)79% (104)8% (123)0.82 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
ARK Offense1351% (64)52% (5)34.4167.94.932 (14).21 (29)3.23 (38)82% (13)12% (109)0.97 (67)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)
ARK Defense1350% (70)44% (100) - - - - - - 8 (93).28 (92)1.5 (43)33% (48)27% (23).2 (25)7% (45)1.9 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
ARK Offense1348% (71)44% (41)18.830.2248.48.213.214 (108)9 (48).3 (46)1.6 (42)32% (72)37% (17).43 (25)7% (106)2.2 (25)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Texas's Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 25.36   Arkansas: 13.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.1   Arkansas: 11.0




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 13.08 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 32
Arkansas 21


Total Points: 53

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Arkansas10Texas20TexasTexas -13Arkansas57.5Under
202109/11Arkansas40Texas21ArkansasTexas -6Arkansas57.5Over
201412/29Texas7Arkansas31ArkansasArkansas -7Arkansas42.5Under
200809/27Texas52Arkansas10Texas
200409/11Arkansas20Texas22Texas
200309/13Texas28Arkansas38Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas331 Overs
Texas302 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1
Road Teams4 - 21 - 21 - 20 - 0

(#3) Texas Info
Power Rating: 25.36 #3
Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66% #4
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Texas has won 2 straight
Texas has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Highlights
Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas offense is efficent (#86)
Texas Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas defense is really good in red zone (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Front 7 is disruptive (#110)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies
Texas has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#44)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARKTEX
OverallOver#31#5
OffenseOff#25#17
DefenseDef#53#1
Special TeamsST#63#29
PassingPass#23#48
RushingRush#13#18
Run BlockRBLK#50#27
Pass BlockPBLK#71#1
Route RunningWR Rt#19#18
TacklingTkl#45#32
Run DefenseR Def#6#14
Pass Rush DefPRush#65#5
Coverage DefCov#100#1

Rematch from Week 12
Texas 13.0 (57.5)
Texas won at Arkansas this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Arkansas last year (20-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | ARK
Depth Chart: TEX | ARK
Rosters: TEX | ARK
(#30) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 13.08 #30
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arkansas has lost 1 straight
Arkansas has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas offense is efficent (#12)
Arkansas defense does not give up big plays (#43)
Arkansas defense is really good in red zone (#86)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas has a bad TO Margin (#54)
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Arkansas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
Arkansas Does Not Stuff Runs (#54)


  
Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers29344566%347231127.8
Arch Manning619068%9389210.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner226106454.743
Jaydon Blue13473085.477
Jerrick Gibson7837744.825
Arch Manning2510844.367
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Golden (Tr)58987917.054
Gunnar Helm60786713.149
Isaiah Bond (Tr)34540515.956
DeAndre Moore Jr.39455711.749

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Michael Taaffe7862110
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)694016
Jahdae Barron6731210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons4814992
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Trey Moore (Tr)3611761
Barryn Sorrell43116121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahdae Barron6731210
Michael Taaffe7862110
Malik Muhammad361008

Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green (Tr)23038160%31531598.3
Malachi Singleton212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)149790155.346
Taylen Green (Tr)15660283.941
Braylen Russell6735435.375
Rashod Dubinion5633526.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong781140114.643
Isaac Teslaa28545319.575
Isaiah Sategna37490113.258
Luke Hasz26324412.543

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)703231
TJ Metcalf561007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4910793
Brad Spence556511
Eric Gregory435351
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Metcalf561007
Marquise Robinson (Tr)350007
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106