Louisiana at South Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at South Alabama Jaguars

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -11.5 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisiana 33 - South Alabama: 20 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 32 - 29 (28 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: South Alabama -7.5 (SP+ USA -3)
Projected Score: ULL: 25 - USA: 32 (57)
USA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
ULL Travel: 240 miles

Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Alabama at Tulane	+6.0	51.0	L 17 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	South Alabama vs SE Louisiana	-24.0	59.5	W 35 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Alabama at Oklahoma State	+7.0	49.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Alabama vs Central Michigan	-16.5	46.5	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	South Alabama at James Madison	+1.0	48.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-11.0	51.5	W 55 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-18.5	51.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/28	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-11.5	55.0	L 20 - 33	U	N
Thu 11/2	South Alabama at Troy	+5.5	44.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-14.5	54.5	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	South Alabama vs Marshall	-10.5	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	South Alabama at Texas State	-6.5	57.0	L 44 - 52	O	N
Sat 12/23	South Alabama at Eastern Michigan	-18.0	43.0	W 59 - 10	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#48 (.22)	45% (35)	32.2	46% (42)	3.23 (46)	177	46% (29)	217	4.16 (42)	#71 (.18)	45% (110)	28.6	47% (112)	43% (87)	4.38 (117)	49.8	1.5	1.8
USA	#31 (.28)	43% (57)	33.1	42% (80)	3.24 (44)	172	45% (35)	268	4.67 (15)	#34 (.14)	37% (17)	21	35% (8)	40% (44)	3.32 (21)	57.7	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	32.2	28.3	45.2%	4.16	1.5	20	393	177	217	4.9	52%	47%	46%	46%	17%	.22
USA Defense	13	21	16.8	36.6%	3.32	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	35%	40%	16%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	28.6	30.3	45%	4.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	47%	43%	16%	.18
USA Offense	13	33.1	31.5	43%	4.67	1.5	23	440	172	268	4.8	48%	51%	42%	45%	15%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:05	20.4	41%	55%	6.1	49.8	1.5	1.8	5.6	2.6	4	30.3
South Alabama	13	30:30	22.6	43%	63%	6.7	57.7	1.5	1.7	5.8	2	0	31.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	52% (50)	46% (42)	36.1	176.8	4.9	25 (37)	.16 (61)	3.23 (46)	77% (38)	12% (99)	1.04 (45)
USA Defense	13	54% (116)	35% (8)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (12)	2.69 (14)	74% (74)	11% (33)	0.9 (27)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	57% (129)	47% (112)	-	-	-	-	.17 (90)	3.31 (111)	86% (125)	10% (86)	0.86 (15)
USA Offense	13	48% (81)	42% (80)	36	171.9	4.8	28 (25)	.18 (49)	3.24 (44)	74% (71)	10% (76)	1.18 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	47% (89)	46% (29)	18.3	28.2	216.7	7.7	11.8	23 (51)	9 (40)	.34 (49)	1.5 (107)	30% (38)	27% (97)	.23 (100)	5% (30)	2 (81)
USA Defense	13	45% (19)	40% (44)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.36 (109)	1.8 (124)	36% (12)	27% (29)	.28 (47)	5% (106)	2.2 (104)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.26 (63)	1.6 (63)	26% (131)	32% (96)	.31 (69)	6% (74)	2 (38)
USA Offense	13	51% (55)	45% (35)	22.4	32.9	268.2	8.1	12	28 (23)	11 (68)	.41 (26)	1.7 (34)	34% (104)	39% (8)	.59 (7)	5% (27)	2.2 (34)

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -3.82 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -3.82 South Alabama: 5.975

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 0.3 South Alabama: 3.0

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 5.975 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.3
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 32
Louisiana 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
South Alabama 37
Louisiana 23

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
South Alabama 31
Louisiana 25

Total Points: 56

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	South Alabama	22	Louisiana	31	South Alabama -3.5	Louisiana	52.5	Over
2024	11/16	Louisiana	22	South Alabama	24	Louisiana -6.5	South Alabama	60.0	Under
2023	10/28	South Alabama	20	Louisiana	33	South Alabama -11.5	Louisiana	55.0	Under
2022	10/01	Louisiana	17	South Alabama	20	South Alabama -8.5	Louisiana	47.0	Under
2021	10/02	South Alabama	18	Louisiana	20	Louisiana -12	South Alabama	52.5	Under
2020	11/14	Louisiana	38	South Alabama	10	Louisiana -14	Louisiana	53.0	Under
2019	11/16	South Alabama	27	Louisiana	37	Louisiana -27.5	South Alabama	52.5	Over
2018	11/17	Louisiana	48	South Alabama	38	Louisiana -19	South Alabama	66.0	Over
2017	11/04	South Alabama	14	Louisiana	19	South Alabama -6	Louisiana	51.5	Under
2016	09/17	Louisiana	28	South Alabama	23	Louisiana -3.5	Louisiana	53.0	Under
2015	11/12	South Alabama	32	Louisiana	25	Louisiana -1.5	South Alabama	57.0	Push
2014	11/01	Louisiana	19	South Alabama	9	Louisiana -7	Louisiana	57.0	Under
2013	12/07	South Alabama	30	Louisiana	8	South Alabama -1.5	South Alabama	0
2012	11/24	Louisiana	52	South Alabama	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	4	6	3 Overs
Louisiana	10	7	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 7	8 - 5	4 - 5	4 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 7	5 - 8	0 - 4	5 - 4

(#86) ULL at (#41) USA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	USA
Power RatePwr	#86	#41
SP+SP+	#64	#55
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#34
OffenseOff	#29	#39
DefenseDef	#82	#30
Spec TeamsST	#41	#86
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Louisiana Injury Report

South Alabama Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
Perf GradePerf	#29	#30
SuccessSuc	#35	#17
ExplosiveExp	#92	#98
PPAPPA	#48	#34
PowerPwr	#41	#32
SP+SP+	#37	#68
Pts POPPO	#42	#21
HavocHav	#82	#65

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#55	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#8
Run ExplRExp	#45	#27
PPAExp	#61	#12
Run BlockR Blk	#16	-
OL YdsOLY	#46	#14
Stuff RateStuff	#62	#52
TackleTak	-	#108

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	#29	#44
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#124
PPAExp	#49	#109
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#26	#69
F7 HavocF7	#99	#33
DB HavocDB	#30	#106

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
Perf GradePerf	#39	#82
SuccessSuc	#57	#110
ExplosiveExp	#6	#9
PPAPPA	#31	#71
PowerPwr	#39	#107
SP+SP+	#50	#102
Pts POPPO	#15	#117
HavocHav	#61	#84

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#5	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	#80	#112
Run ExplRExp	#6	#15
PPAExp	#49	#90
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	#44	#111
Stuff RateStuff	#14	#126
TackleTak	-	#85

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#83	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#34	#63
PPAExp	#26	#63
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#110	#48
F7 HavocF7	#76	#86
DB HavocDB	#27	#74

Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 9
South Alabama -11.5 (55.0)
Louisiana won at South Alabama this year (33-20)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Louisiana last year (24-22)
Louisiana beat South Alabama in 2023 (33-20)
South Alabama beat Louisiana in 2022 (20-17)

ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zeon Chriss	102	153	67%	1222	11	5	8.0
Chandler Fields	96	143	67%	1069	7	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Kibodi	129	729	7	5.7	69
Dre'Lyn Washington	92	515	2	5.6	62
Zeon Chriss	73	492	6	6.7	80
Zylan Perry	54	213	2	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Bernard	39	476	1	12.2	43
Peter Leblanc	30	468	4	15.6	87
Robert Williams	31	385	4	12.4	60
Neal Johnson	30	383	5	12.8	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	95	5	1	3	0
Jasper Williams	78	5	2	0	0
Tyrone Lewis	74	1	1	0	3
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	44	9	8	3	0
Jordan Lawson	43	9	7	4	0
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3
Tyler Guidry	26	8	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keyon Martin	53	1	7
Caleb Anderson	23	1	5
Shadwell Nkuba II	13	0	5

USA's OC Major Applewhite (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carter Bradley	221	326	68%	2660	19	7	8.2
Giovanni Lopez	41	61	67%	475	4	2	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
La'Damian Webb	186	1007	16	5.4	65
Kentrel Bullock (Tr)	83	448	4	5.4	34
Braylon McReynolds	46	232	0	5.0	35
Marco Lee	53	220	2	4.2	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caullin Lacy	91	1316	7	14.5	84
Jamaal Pritchett	57	883	8	15.5	51
Damarcus Thomas	27	235	5	8.7	33
Javon Ivory (Tr)	20	234	1	11.7	39

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quentin Wilfawn	83	16	6	5	1
Trey Kiser	67	10	4	1	2
James Miller	67	4	0	1	0
Jaden Voisin	66	2	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quentin Wilfawn	83	16	6	5	1
Trey Kiser	67	10	4	1	2
Jamie Sheriff	45	9	3	12	0
Brock Higdon	18	4	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rickey Fletcher	38	1	0	1	11
Jaden Voisin	66	2	0	0	6
Yamarus Banks	45	6	1	3	3