Louisiana at South Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview
Louisiana logo   Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at South Alabama Jaguars  South Alabama logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
South Alabama -11.5 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisiana 33 - South Alabama: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: South Alabama -7.5  (SP+ USA -3)
Projected Score: ULL: 24 - USA: 32 (56)
USA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
ULL Travel: 732 miles
Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Louisiana vs Northwestern State-35.054.5W 38 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana at Old Dominion-6.051.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 Louisiana at UAB+2.060.0W 41 - 21OY
Sat 9/23 Louisiana vs Buffalo-10.557.5W 45 - 38ON
Sat 9/30 Louisiana at Minnesota+9.549.0L 24 - 35ON
Sat 10/7 Louisiana vs Texas State-1.067.5W 34 - 30UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Louisiana vs Georgia State-3.062.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Louisiana at South Alabama+11.555.0W 33 - 20UY
Sat 11/4 Louisiana at Arkansas State-9.060.0L 17 - 37UN
Thu 11/9 Louisiana vs Southern Miss-8.551.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana at Troy+17.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Louisiana vs UL Monroe-12.553.0W 52 - 21OY
Sat 12/16 Louisiana vs Jacksonville State+3.558.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule
South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Alabama at Tulane+6.051.0L 17 - 37ON
Sat 9/9 South Alabama vs SE Louisiana-24.059.5W 35 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 South Alabama at Oklahoma State+7.049.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 South Alabama vs Central Michigan-16.546.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 South Alabama at James Madison+1.048.5L 23 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 South Alabama at UL Monroe-11.051.5W 55 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-18.551.0W 55 - 3OY
Sat 10/28 South Alabama vs Louisiana-11.555.0L 20 - 33UN
Thu 11/2 South Alabama at Troy+5.544.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-14.554.5W 21 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 South Alabama vs Marshall-10.544.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 South Alabama at Texas State-6.557.0L 44 - 52ON
Sat 12/23 South Alabama at Eastern Michigan-18.043.0W 59 - 10OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL.1340%2643%3.214438%2203.61.1741%29.244%38%3.6255.71.32.2
USA.2242%26.540%3.0615545%2694.14.1138%30.440%37%3.1670.41.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ULL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Offense132623.840.1%3.611.3203641442204.148%51%43%38%15%.13
USA Defense1330.428.837.7%3.161.8 - - - - - 41%58%40%37%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ULL Defense1329.232.840.5%3.622.2 - - - - - 49%50%44%38%15%.17
USA Offense1326.527.842%4.141.222424155269451%48%40%45%13%.22

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana1329:3019.639%52%6.555.71.32.24.52.1331.1
South Alabama1332:4222.243%59%7.770.41.21.86.22.2329.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Offense1348%43%35.2144.44.110.13.261%8%0.97
USA Defense1341%40% - - - - .072.9878%11%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ULL Defense1349%44% - - - - .183.1268%8%1
USA Offense1351%40%38.8155.3419.163.0678%7%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Offense1351%38%19.433.9219.96.511.4279.191.531%31%.337%2
USA Defense1358%37% - - - - - - 13.181.636%22%.146%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ULL Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 15.191.630%33%.437%2
USA Offense1348%45%22.434.4268.97.8122812.331.631%30%.35%2

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -3.82  #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41  #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49  #107
2023 Talent Rating: 475.45  #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3  #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -3.82   South Alabama: 5.975

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 0.3   South Alabama: 3.0




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 5.975  #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51  #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19  #32
2023 Talent Rating: 545.68  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0  #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 32
Louisiana 24

Projected Total Points: 56
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01South Alabama22Louisiana31South Alabama -3.5Louisiana52.5Over
202411/16Louisiana22South Alabama24Louisiana -6.5South Alabama60.0Under
202310/28South Alabama20Louisiana33South Alabama -11.5Louisiana55.0Under
202210/01Louisiana17South Alabama20South Alabama -8.5Louisiana47.0Under
202110/02South Alabama18Louisiana20Louisiana -12South Alabama52.5Under
202011/14Louisiana38South Alabama10Louisiana -14Louisiana53.0Under
201911/16South Alabama27Louisiana37Louisiana -27.5South Alabama52.5Over
201811/17Louisiana48South Alabama38Louisiana -19South Alabama66.0Over
201711/04South Alabama14Louisiana19South Alabama -6Louisiana51.5Under
201609/17Louisiana28South Alabama23Louisiana -3.5Louisiana53.0Under
201511/12South Alabama32Louisiana25Louisiana -1.5South Alabama57.0Push
201411/01Louisiana19South Alabama9Louisiana -7Louisiana57.0Under
201312/07South Alabama30Louisiana8South Alabama -1.5South Alabama0
201211/24Louisiana52South Alabama30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama463 Overs
Louisiana1078 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 78 - 54 - 54 - 0
Road Teams7 - 75 - 80 - 45 - 4

(#86) ULL at (#41) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatULLUSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #86 #41
SP+SP+ #64 #55
Perf GradeGrade #42 #34
OffenseOff #29 #39
DefenseDef #82 #30
Spec TeamsST #41 #86
TalentTal #96 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Louisiana on Offense
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #41 #32
SP+SP+ #37 #68
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Run Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSA Def
Run GameRun #55 #25
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #108
Louisiana Pass Game
CategoryCat
ULL OffUSA Def
Pass GamePass #54 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #26 #69
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatUSA OffULL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #39 #82
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #39 #107
SP+SP+ #50 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffULL Def
Run GameRun #5 #107
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatUSA OffULL Def
Pass GamePass #83 #53
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #110 #48
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
South Alabama -11.5 (55.0)
Louisiana won at South Alabama this year (33-20)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat South Alabama last year (31-22)
South Alabama beat Louisiana in 2024 (24-22)
Louisiana beat South Alabama in 2023 (33-20)

  
ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zeon Chriss10215367%12221158.0
Chandler Fields9614367%1069737.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Kibodi12972975.769
Dre'Lyn Washington9251525.662
Zeon Chriss7349266.780
Zylan Perry5421323.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Bernard39476112.243
Peter Leblanc30468415.687
Robert Williams31385412.460
Neal Johnson30383512.840

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K.C. Ossai955130
Jasper Williams785200
Tyrone Lewis741103
Kendre' Gant6412633
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Whitfield449830
Jordan Lawson439740
Kendre' Gant6412633
Tyler Guidry268520
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyon Martin531007
Caleb Anderson231005
Shadwell Nkuba II130005

USA's OC Major Applewhite (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carter Bradley22132668%26601978.2
Giovanni Lopez416167%475427.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
La'Damian Webb1861007165.465
Kentrel Bullock (Tr)8344845.434
Braylon McReynolds4623205.035
Marco Lee5322024.213
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caullin Lacy911316714.584
Jamaal Pritchett57883815.551
Damarcus Thomas2723558.733
Javon Ivory (Tr)20234111.739

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quentin Wilfawn8316651
Trey Kiser6710412
James Miller674010
Jaden Voisin662006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quentin Wilfawn8316651
Trey Kiser6710412
Jamie Sheriff4593120
Brock Higdon184351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rickey Fletcher3810111
Jaden Voisin662006
Yamarus Banks456133