Southern Miss at South Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at South Alabama Jaguars

Tuesday, October 17th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -18.5 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
South Alabama 55 - Southern Miss: 3 (Sun Belt)

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM coming off BYE
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -18.5 (SP+ USA -18)
Projected Score: USM: 19 - USA: 37 (56)
USA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
USM Travel: 88 miles

Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (44 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
USA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Alcorn State	-24.0	47.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss at Florida State	+31.0	54.0	L 13 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+8.0	47.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/23	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	-7.0	46.5	L 37 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+6.5	60.0	L 36 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-3.0	56.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+18.5	51.0	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss at App State	+16.0	55.5	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-3.0	56.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+8.5	51.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss at Mississippi State	+18.5	47.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss vs Troy	+16.5	48.5	L 17 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Alabama at Tulane	+6.0	51.0	L 17 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	South Alabama vs SE Louisiana	-24.0	59.5	W 35 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Alabama at Oklahoma State	+7.0	49.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Alabama vs Central Michigan	-16.5	46.5	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	South Alabama at James Madison	+1.0	48.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-11.0	51.5	W 55 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-18.5	51.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/28	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-11.5	55.0	L 20 - 33	U	N
Thu 11/2	South Alabama at Troy	+5.5	44.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-14.5	54.5	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	South Alabama vs Marshall	-10.5	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	South Alabama at Texas State	-6.5	57.0	L 44 - 52	O	N
Sat 12/23	South Alabama at Eastern Michigan	-18.0	43.0	W 59 - 10	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.11	39%	15.3	40%	2.8	142	39%	208	3.69	.1	36%	37.8	37%	37%	3.86	59.5	2	1.8
USA	.22	42%	34.4	40%	3.06	155	45%	269	4.14	.11	38%	25.2	40%	37%	3.16	70.4	1.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	15.3	11	38.6%	3.69	2	18	349	142	208	3.9	53%	45%	40%	39%	19%	.11
USA Defense	13	25.2	27.8	37.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	37%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	37.8	42.5	36.4%	3.86	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	37%	18%	.1
USA Offense	13	34.4	44	42%	4.14	1.2	22	424	155	269	4	51%	48%	40%	45%	13%	.22

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	28:38	17.9	34%	63%	6.7	59.5	2	1.8	7.8	3	3	32.3
South Alabama	13	32:42	22.2	43%	59%	7.7	70.4	1.2	1.8	6.2	2.2	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	53%	40%	36.6	141.7	3.9	15	.06	2.8	60%	13%	0.97
USA Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.98	78%	11%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.79	74%	13%	1.03
USA Offense	13	51%	40%	38.8	155.3	4	19	.16	3.06	78%	7%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	45%	39%	14.7	26.6	207.5	7.8	14.1	20	14	.25	1.7	33%	26%	.26	6%	2.2
USA Defense	13	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.6	36%	22%	.14	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.18	1.7	36%	27%	.21	6%	2.1
USA Offense	13	48%	45%	22.4	34.4	268.9	7.8	12	28	12	.33	1.6	31%	30%	.3	5%	2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -10.22 South Alabama: 5.975

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -15.2 South Alabama: 3.0

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 5.975 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
South Alabama 37
Southern Miss 19

Projected Total Points: 56

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Southern Miss	14	South Alabama	35	South Alabama	South Alabama -24	Southern Miss	54.0	Under
2023	10/17	South Alabama	55	Southern Miss	3	South Alabama	South Alabama -18.5	South Alabama	51.0	Over
2022	11/19	Southern Miss	20	South Alabama	27	South Alabama	South Alabama -7.5	Southern Miss	45.0	Over
2021	09/04	South Alabama	31	Southern Miss	7	South Alabama	South Alabama -2	South Alabama	56.5	Under
2020	09/03	Southern Miss	21	South Alabama	32	South Alabama	Southern Mississippi -12.5	South Alabama	55.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Alabama	5	3	2 Overs
Southern Miss	0	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 3	4 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 2	1 - 4	0 - 2	1 - 2

(#119) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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Southern Miss Ratings Matchup South Alabama

Power #119

#41

Off #116

#39

Def #102

#32

Talent #111

#120

SP+ #118

#55

SP+ Off #85

#50

SP+ Def #125

#68

Rematch from Week 8
South Alabama -18.5 (51.0)
South Alabama won vs Southern Miss this year (55-3)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Southern Miss last year (35-14)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2023 (55-3)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62°

Team Information
Injuries: USM | USA
Depth Chart: USM | USA
Rosters: USM | USA

(#41) South Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.975 #41
Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68
Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70

Team Profile

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Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Pittman	1	1	100%	25	0	0	25.0
Holman Edwards (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)	124	604	1	4.9	54
Chandler Pittman	2	7	0	3.5	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)	13	51	0	3.9	19
Chandler Pittman	8	51	0	6.4	25

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0
Kristin Booth	10	3	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0
Kristin Booth	10	3	2	2	0
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0

South Alabama's OC Major Applewhite

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caullin Lacy	5	21	1	4.2	9
Jeremiah Webb	1	18	0	18.0	18
Jarvis Durr	5	16	1	3.2	4
Jamaal Pritchett	1	3	0	3.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamaal Pritchett	91	1126	9	12.4	75
Jeremiah Webb	36	649	5	18.0	52
Shamar Sandgren	19	208	1	10.9	21
Caullin Lacy	18	196	1	10.9	34

View South Alabama's Full Roster

South Alabama's DC Corey Batoon

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Voisin	84	4	0	3	5
Wy'Kevious Thomas	41	1	0	0	1
Marquise Robinson	35	0	0	0	7
Maurice Strong Jr.	35	5	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khalil Jacobs	12	3	2	2	0
Maurice Strong Jr.	35	5	1	1	1
Carlos Johnson	19	3	1	3	0
Jaden Voisin	84	4	0	3	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Marquise Robinson	35	0	0	7
Jaden Voisin	84	4	3	5
Yamarus Banks	21	2	0	3