Southern Miss at South Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama logo
Tuesday, October 17th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
South Alabama -18.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Alabama 55 - Southern Miss: 3  (Sun Belt)

 
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (24 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM coming off BYE
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: South Alabama -18.5   (SP+ USA -18)

Projected Score: USM: 18 - USA: 37 (55)
USA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
USM Travel: 88 miles
Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (32 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Southern Miss vs Alcorn State-24.047.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Southern Miss at Florida State+31.054.0L 13 - 66ON
Sat 9/16 Southern Miss vs Tulane+8.047.5L 3 - 21UN
Sat 9/23 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-7.046.5L 37 - 44ON
Sat 9/30 Southern Miss vs Texas State+6.560.0L 36 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Southern Miss vs Old Dominion-3.056.5L 13 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 Southern Miss at South Alabama+18.551.0L 3 - 55ON
Sat 10/28 Southern Miss at App State+16.055.5L 38 - 48OY
Sat 11/4 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-3.056.0W 24 - 7UY
Thu 11/9 Southern Miss at Louisiana+8.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Southern Miss at Mississippi State+18.547.5L 20 - 41ON
Sat 11/25 Southern Miss vs Troy+16.548.5L 17 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Alabama at Tulane+6.051.0L 17 - 37ON
Sat 9/9 South Alabama vs SE Louisiana-24.059.5W 35 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 South Alabama at Oklahoma State+7.049.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 South Alabama vs Central Michigan-16.546.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 South Alabama at James Madison+1.048.5L 23 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 South Alabama at UL Monroe-11.051.5W 55 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-18.551.0W 55 - 3OY
Sat 10/28 South Alabama vs Louisiana-11.555.0L 20 - 33UN
Thu 11/2 South Alabama at Troy+5.544.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-14.554.5W 21 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 South Alabama vs Marshall-10.544.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 South Alabama at Texas State-6.557.0L 44 - 52ON
Sat 12/23 South Alabama at Eastern Michigan-18.043.0W 59 - 10OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#109 (.12)37% (121)23.240% (106)2.89 (107)16334% (126)1913.07 (121)#105 (.24)42% (69)35.841% (49)45% (109)4.15 (103)48.21.31.4
USA#31 (.28)43% (57)33.142% (80)3.24 (44)17245% (35)2684.67 (15)#34 (.14)37% (17)2135% (8)40% (44)3.32 (21)57.71.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1223.224.236.7%3.071.320354163191453%46%40%34%20%.12
USA Defense132116.836.6%3.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%35%40%16%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1235.847.542.2%4.151.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%45%16%.24
USA Offense1333.131.543%4.671.5234401722684.848%51%42%45%15%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1233:1520.338%44%6.348.21.31.44.52.1228
South Alabama1330:3022.643%63%6.757.71.51.75.82031.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1253% (41)40% (106)40.5163.4416 (89).13 (80)2.89 (107)67% (109)12% (109)1.11 (19)
USA Defense1354% (116)35% (8) - - - - -.01 (12)2.69 (14)74% (74)11% (33)0.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1253% (106)41% (49) - - - - .22 (109)3.21 (94)67% (30)10% (76)1.24 (129)
USA Offense1348% (81)42% (80)36171.94.828 (25).18 (49)3.24 (44)74% (71)10% (76)1.18 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1246% (92)34% (126)15.730.4190.76.312.215 (96)8 (30).14 (114)1.7 (26)36% (126)28% (87).34 (67)8% (117)2.1 (49)
USA Defense1345% (19)40% (44) - - - - - - 13 (26).36 (109)1.8 (124)36% (12)27% (29).28 (47)5% (106)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1246% (27)45% (109) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (101)1.7 (101)31% (93)33% (103).4 (106)6% (63)2.3 (123)
USA Offense1351% (55)45% (35)22.432.9268.28.11228 (23)11 (68).41 (26)1.7 (34)34% (104)39% (8).59 (7)5% (27)2.2 (34)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -10.22   South Alabama: 5.975

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -15.2   South Alabama: 3.0




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 5.975 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 47.5

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 37
Southern Miss 18


Total Points: 55

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Southern Miss14South Alabama35South AlabamaSouth Alabama -24Southern Miss54.0Under
202310/17South Alabama55Southern Miss3South AlabamaSouth Alabama -18.5South Alabama51.0Over
202211/19Southern Miss20South Alabama27South AlabamaSouth Alabama -7.5Southern Miss45.0Over
202109/04South Alabama31Southern Miss7South AlabamaSouth Alabama -2South Alabama56.5Under
202009/03Southern Miss21South Alabama32South AlabamaSouthern Mississippi -12.5South Alabama55.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama532 Overs
Southern Miss023 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 34 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams3 - 21 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#119) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90


Southern Miss has lost 5 straight
Southern Miss has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is explosive (#57)

Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss offense is really bad (#78)
Southern Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#90)
Southern Miss offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#81)
Southern Miss run game is really bad (#99)
Southern Miss pass game is really bad (#56)
Southern Miss Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Southern Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#78)
Southern Miss has a bad red zone defense (#64)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSAUSM
OverallOver#28#102
OffenseOff#36#102
DefenseDef#26#81
Special TeamsST#68#86
PassingPass#69#103
RushingRush#5#39
Run BlockRBLK#45#89
Pass BlockPBLK#94#101
Route RunningWR Rt#21#94
TacklingTkl#92#107
Run DefenseR Def#22#41
Pass Rush DefPRush#53#45
Coverage DefCov#52#114

Rematch from Week 8
South Alabama -18.5 (51.0)
South Alabama won vs Southern Miss this year (55-3)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Southern Miss last year (35-14)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2023 (55-3)
South Alabama beat Southern Miss in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USM | USA
Depth Chart: USM | USA
Rosters: USM | USA
(#41) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: 5.975 #41
Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70


South Alabama has won 1 straight
South Alabama has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama offense is explosive (#86)
South Alabama offense is good in red zone (#52)
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)

South Alabama has a really good defense (#117)
South Alabama defense is really good in red zone (#130)
South Alabama has a good run defense (#122)
South Alabama Defensive Line is very good (#105)
South Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)


  
Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Wiles (Tr)15829055%19161176.6
Ethan Crawford193850%246306.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Frank Gore Jr.2311131104.975
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)7642925.659
Kenyon Clay4017914.528
Ethan Crawford429612.316
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakarius Caston33621618.880
Latreal Jones36498313.843
Tiaquelin Mims39445211.437
Frank Gore Jr.2722138.233

View Southern Miss's Full Roster
Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)721101
Jay Stanley552005
Hayes Maples511130
Swayze Bozeman514103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalil Clemons2610661
Josh Ratcliff284400
Averie Habas133310
Ja'Len Sims283220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Stanley552005
Markel McLaurin313205
MJ Daniels (Tr)260004

South Alabama's OC Major Applewhite
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carter Bradley22132668%26601978.2
Giovanni Lopez416167%475427.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
La'Damian Webb1861007165.465
Kentrel Bullock (Tr)8344845.434
Braylon McReynolds4623205.035
Marco Lee5322024.213
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caullin Lacy911316714.584
Jamaal Pritchett57883815.551
Damarcus Thomas2723558.733
Javon Ivory (Tr)20234111.739

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quentin Wilfawn8316651
Trey Kiser6710412
James Miller674010
Jaden Voisin662006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quentin Wilfawn8316651
Trey Kiser6710412
Jamie Sheriff4593120
Brock Higdon184351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rickey Fletcher3810111
Jaden Voisin662006
Yamarus Banks456133