Eastern Michigan at Liberty - 2021 Matchup Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Liberty Flames

Saturday, December 18th 2021 (5:45 PM EST)
Liberty -9.5 (58.5) (-330) Open: -8.0 | 57.5
Liberty 56 - Eastern Michigan: 20 (LendingTree Bowl)

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (32 - 52)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (31 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -8 (SP+ LIB -16)
Projected Score: EMU: 27 - LIB: 38 (65)
LIB Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
EMU Travel: 302 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (21 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 22 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
EMU Players
LIB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-34.0	54.5	W 35 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/11	Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin	+26.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/18	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	-22.0	56.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/25	Eastern Michigan vs Texas State	-7.5	62.0	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+0.0	62.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/9	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	58.0	W 13 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	+1.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green	-4.5	49.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+9.0	54.5	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Tue 11/9	Eastern Michigan vs Ohio	-6.0	61.5	L 26 - 34	U	N
Tue 11/16	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+6.0	66.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+8.5	64.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/18	Eastern Michigan vs Liberty	+9.5	58.5	L 20 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Liberty's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Liberty vs Campbell	-35.0	65.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Liberty at Troy	-3.0	62.5	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-26.5	53.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Liberty at Syracuse	-6.5	54.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/2	Liberty at UAB	+3.0	49.0	W 36 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-20.0	59.0	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Liberty at UL Monroe	-32.5	57.0	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/23	Liberty at North Texas	-21.0	61.0	W 35 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-35.5	56.0	W 62 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Liberty at Ole Miss	+7.5	66.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Liberty vs Louisiana	-4.0	53.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/27	Liberty vs Army	-3.0	51.5	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/18	Liberty vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	58.5	W 56 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	.2	45%	30.2	42%	2.98	119	47%	263	4.23	.3	51%	30	53%	48%	4.1	34.5	1.1	1.5
LIB	.29	45%	33.6	52%	3.72	181	39%	255	4.57	.13	41%	21.5	44%	38%	3.62	66.5	1.7	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3
LIB	#24 (.26)	50% (7)		54% (2)	3.56 (7)	238	43% (60)	161	4.21 (43)	#24 (.1)	39% (39)		39% (30)	40% (66)	3.68 (58)	64.4	1.3	1.3

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Offense	13	30.2	31	44.9%	4.23	1.1	22	381	119	263	3.4	43%	57%	42%	47%	18%	.2
LIB Defense	13	21.5	21.2	41.1%	3.62	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
EMU Defense	13	30	32.2	50.8%	4.1	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	53%	48%	14%	.3
LIB Offense	13	33.6	37.7	45.4%	4.57	1.7	23	436	181	255	4.6	48%	51%	52%	39%	17%	.29

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Eastern Michigan	13	30:32	22.2	42%	48%	3.8	34.5	1.1	1.5	4	1.8	3	30.3
Liberty	13	30:19	22.6	43%	43%	7.1	66.5	1.7	0.8	7.5	2.8	2	28.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Offense	13	43%	42%	35	118.5	3.4	26	.13	2.98	73%	11%	0.97
LIB Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.17	75%	12%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
EMU Defense	13	54%	53%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.62	85%	8%	0.92
LIB Offense	13	48%	52%	39.1	180.8	4.6	26	.35	3.72	79%	11%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Offense	13	57%	47%	23.8	35	262.8	7.5	11.1	19	9	.28	1.4	30%	32%	.41	6%	2.1
LIB Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.5	31%	29%	.26	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
EMU Defense	13	46%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.35	1.5	28%	35%	.31	6%	1.9
LIB Offense	13	51%	39%	17.4	29.3	255	8.7	14.7	33	15	.25	1.7	30%	32%	.31	6%	2.1

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8 #101
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #81
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #123

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: Liberty: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Eastern Michigan: -7.8 Liberty: 8.4

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 4.2 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2021 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #49
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #47
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #38

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 38
Eastern Michigan 27

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 43
Eastern Michigan 28

Total Points: 71

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 34
Eastern Michigan 26

Total Points: 60

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Liberty's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/18	Liberty	56	Eastern Michigan	20	Liberty -9.5	Liberty	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Liberty	1	1	1 Overs
Eastern Michigan	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Eastern Michigan Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Lendingtree Bowl	Eastern Michigan vs Liberty	+9.5	58.5	L 20 - 56
2019	Lane Bowl	Eastern Michigan vs Pittsburgh	+12.5	51.0	L 30 - 34
2018	Camellia Bowl	Eastern Michigan vs Georgia Southern	+3.0	45.5	L 21 - 23
2016	Bahamas Bowl	Eastern Michigan vs Old Dominion	+4.0	63.0	L 20 - 24

Liberty Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Lendingtree Bowl	Liberty vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	58.5	W 56 - 20
2020	Cure Bowl	Liberty vs Coastal Carolina	+6.5	60.0	W 37 - 34
2019	Cure Bowl	Liberty vs Georgia Southern	+5.0	59.0	W 23 - 16

(#) EMU at (#) LIB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	EMU	LIB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#49
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#28
OffenseOff	#37	#27
DefenseDef	#119	#26
Spec TeamsST	#31	#44
TalentTal	#115	#135
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Liberty Injury Report

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	LIB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#26
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#38
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#68	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#23	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#59	#6
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	EMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#27	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#19	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#55	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#35	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#52	#22
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 67° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Liberty -9.5 (58.5)
Liberty won vs Eastern Michigan this year (56-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Neal Neathery (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD