Colorado State at UNLV - 2023 Matchup Preview
Colorado State logo Colorado State Rams at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -6.5 (60.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
UNLV 25 - Colorado State: 23  (Mountain West)

 
Rams (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (3 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (25 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -9  (SP+ UNLV -11)
Projected Score: CSU: 26 - UNLV: 35 (62)
UNLV Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CSU Travel: 624 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Colorado State vs Washington State+9.554.0L 24 - 50ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Colorado State at Colorado+23.063.0L 35 - 43OY
Sat 9/23 Colorado State at Middle Tennessee+3.550.0W 31 - 23OY
Sat 9/30 Colorado State vs Utah Tech-19
Sat 10/7 Colorado State at Utah State-3.062.0L 24 - 44ON
Sat 10/14 Colorado State vs Boise State+7.560.0W 31 - 30OY
Sat 10/21 Colorado State at UNLV+6.560.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 10/28 Colorado State vs Air Force+14.547.0L 13 - 30UN
Fri 11/3 Colorado State at Wyoming+6.041.0L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/11 Colorado State vs San Diego State-3.546.5W 22 - 19UN
Sat 11/18 Colorado State vs Nevada-12.545.5W 30 - 20ON
Sat 11/25 Colorado State at Hawai'i-6.054.0L 24 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
UNLV's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UNLV vs Bryant-16.566.0W 44 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UNLV at Michigan+38.057.5L 7 - 35UY
Sat 9/16 UNLV vs Vanderbilt+4.556.5W 40 - 37OY
Sat 9/23 UNLV at UTEP+1.049.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10.558.5W 44 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 UNLV at Nevada-7.551.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 10/21 UNLV vs Colorado State-6.560.0W 25 - 23UN
Sat 10/28 UNLV at Fresno State+10.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/4 UNLV at New Mexico-10.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Fri 11/10 UNLV vs Wyoming-2.548.5W 34 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 UNLV at Air Force+2.546.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 UNLV vs San José State-3.558.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 12/2 UNLV vs Boise State+2.558.0L 20 - 44ON
Tue 12/26 UNLV vs Kansas+8.064.5L 36 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#81 (.17)42% (74)26.139% (118)2.7 (124)9345% (38)3073.66 (86)#65 (.18)43% (80)29.642% (61)44% (107)3.4 (31)69.82.11.6
UNLV#38 (.27)43% (58)34.440% (101)3.17 (58)17446% (28)2394.19 (40)#115 (.26)42% (65)28.641% (52)43% (93)4.08 (94)61.81.41.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)43% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)42% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1226.125.341.6%3.662.121399933073.439%59%39%45%16%.17
UNLV Defense1428.62741.7%4.081.9 - - - - - 53%46%41%43%13%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1229.63142.9%3.41.6 - - - - - 52%47%42%44%16%.18
UNLV Offense1434.43442.5%4.191.4204131742394.554%45%40%46%13%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1226:3420.641%42%7.669.82.11.67.22.8226.1
UNLV1428:0620.349%45%6.961.81.41.941.4133.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1239% (126)39% (118)27.792.83.410 (124)-.02 (130)2.7 (124)69% (102)7% (15)0.72 (133)
UNLV Defense1453% (109)41% (52) - - - - .11 (50)3.1 (69)78% (101)8% (113)0.95 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1252% (102)42% (61) - - - - .11 (47)3.05 (55)75% (82)12% (24)1.04 (90)
UNLV Offense1454% (36)40% (101)38.4173.54.539 (2).2 (40)3.17 (58)76% (43)8% (29)1.18 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1259% (9)45% (38)25.941.8306.57.311.824 (41)18 (128).35 (43)1.5 (100)33% (86)29% (81).31 (74)8% (124)2 (105)
UNLV Defense1446% (24)43% (93) - - - - - - 17 (3).48 (133)1.9 (133)33% (52)29% (55).32 (72)4% (128)2.1 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1247% (31)44% (107) - - - - - - 9 (87).29 (87)1.4 (10)32% (69)30% (69).3 (60)4% (126)2.1 (79)
UNLV Offense1445% (96)46% (28)17.928.9239.28.313.317 (85)12 (85).37 (30)1.6 (56)32% (81)33% (43).4 (44)5% (42)2.1 (59)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -3.44  #83
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 15.50  #78
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.05  #62
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1  #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -3.44   UNLV: 2.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -9.1   UNLV: 2.0




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 2.545  #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43  #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09  #73
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0  #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4  #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 35
Colorado State 26

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 37
Colorado State 29

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 32
Colorado State 27

Total Points: 59
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Colorado State10UNLV42UNLV -5.5UNLV60.5Under
202310/21UNLV25Colorado State23UNLV -6.5Colorado State60.0Under
201911/02Colorado State37UNLV17Colorado State -7.5Colorado State63.5Under
201610/22UNLV23Colorado State42UNLV -1.5Colorado State56.5Over
201511/14Colorado State49UNLV35Colorado State -6.5Colorado State58.0Over
201211/10Colorado State33UNLV11
201110/29UNLV38Colorado State35
201010/16Colorado State43UNLV10
200911/07UNLV35Colorado State16
200810/04Colorado State41UNLV28
200710/20UNLV23Colorado State48
200610/07Colorado State28UNLV7
200511/19UNLV27Colorado State31
200411/13Colorado State45UNLV10
200311/22UNLV23Colorado State24
200110/20UNLV24Colorado State26
200010/13Colorado State20UNLV19
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV412 Overs
Colorado State1343 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 62 - 32 - 20 - 1
Road Teams6 - 113 - 21 - 02 - 2

(#83) CSU at (#76) UNLV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCSUUNLV
Power RatePwr #83 #76
SP+SP+ #99 #60
Perf GradeGrade #84 #78
OffenseOff #84 #60
DefenseDef #78 #110
Spec TeamsST #114 #99
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Colorado State on Offense
CategoryCat
CSU OffUNLV Def
Perf GradePerf #84 #110
SuccessSuc #74 #65
ExplosiveExp #99 #119
PPAPPA #81 #115
PowerPwr #78 #73
SP+SP+ #93 #98
Pts POPPO #86 #94
HavocHav #65 #125
Colorado State Run Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffUNLV Def
Run GameRun #129 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #118 #52
Run ExplRExp #133 #42
PPAExp #130 #50
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLY #124 #69
Stuff RateStuff #114 #115
TackleTak -  #61
Colorado State Pass Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffUNLV Def
Pass GamePass #101 #124
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #93
Pass ExplPExl #100 #133
PPAExp #43 #133
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #39
F7 HavocF7 #15 #113
DB HavocDB #124 #128
UNLV on Offense
CategoryCatUNLV OffCSU Def
Perf GradePerf #60 #78
SuccessSuc #58 #80
ExplosiveExp #10 #31
PPAPPA #38 #65
PowerPwr #52 #62
SP+SP+ #35 #101
Pts POPPO #40 #31
HavocHav #25 #70
UNLV Run Game
CategoryCat
UNLV OffCSU Def
Run GameRun #72 #99
Run SuccessRSuc #101 #61
Run ExplRExp #3 #90
PPAExp #40 #47
Run BlockR Blk #80 -
OL YdsOLY #58 #55
Stuff RateStuff #26 #47
TackleTak -  #58
UNLV Pass Game
CategoryCatUNLV OffCSU Def
Pass GamePass #98 #72
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #107
Pass ExplPExl #56 #10
PPAExp #30 #87
Pass Block/RushP Blk #43 #23
F7 HavocF7 #29 #24
DB HavocDB #42 #126
Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
UNLV -6.5 (60.0)
UNLV won vs Colorado State this year (25-23)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Colorado State in 2023 (25-23)

  
CSU's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi29247062%346022167.4
Clay Millen152463%110014.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Vann Schield9038934.352
Justin Marshall5731125.521
Avery Morrow8126223.213
Kobe Johnson4412812.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Horton961136811.876
Dallin Holker (Tr)64767612.042
Justus Ross-Simmons45724316.175
Louis Brown47481510.246

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Howell1141033
Chase Wilson1079413
Justin Sanchez874123
Henry Blackburn757310
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Kamara551612101
Marshon Oxley266410
Chase Wilson1079413
Tony Pierce Jr.315320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Howell1141033
Dom Jones320003
Justin Sanchez874123

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava22435364%308517108.7
Doug Brumfield265052%252025.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Vincent Davis (Tr)14576075.269
Jai'Den Thomas108503124.746
Donavyn Lester9545594.866
Jayden Maiava7327733.834
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White881483816.982
Jacob De Jesus60606210.148
Senika McKie23342114.950
Kaleo Ballungay18314217.484

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)979322
Marsel McDuffie782102
Johnathan Baldwin653104
Fred Thompkins544110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Whitmore306330
Jackson Woodard (Tr)979322
Cooper Webb264210
Cameron Oliver506213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricky Johnson333007
Johnathan Baldwin653104
Jett Elad523004