Colorado State at UNLV Game Matchup

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -6.5 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
UNLV 25 - Colorado State: 23 (Mountain West)

Rams (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (3 - 11)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -9 (SP+ UNLV -11)
Projected Score: CSU: 25 - UNLV: 34 (54)
UNLV Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CSU Travel: 624 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado State vs Washington State	+9.5	54.0	L 24 - 50	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16	Colorado State at Colorado	+23.0	63.0	L 35 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Colorado State at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	50.0	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Colorado State vs Utah Tech	-19
Sat 10/7	Colorado State at Utah State	-3.0	62.0	L 24 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/14	Colorado State vs Boise State	+7.5	60.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Colorado State at UNLV	+6.5	60.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Colorado State vs Air Force	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 30	U	N
Fri 11/3	Colorado State at Wyoming	+6.0	41.0	L 15 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Colorado State vs San Diego State	-3.5	46.5	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/18	Colorado State vs Nevada	-12.5	45.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado State at Hawai'i	-6.0	54.0	L 24 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44	O	N
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	.05	34%	24.4	36%	2.91	89	32%	197	1.96	.16	43%	25.8	44%	43%	4.24	60.4	1.6	1.7
UNLV	.18	40%	35.4	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	21.3	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	12	24.4	22.4	33.7%	1.96	1.6	15	286	89	197	2.8	46%	54%	36%	32%	24%	.05
UNLV Defense	12	21.3	22.5	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	12	25.8	30.6	43.1%	4.24	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	44%	43%	17%	.16
UNLV Offense	12	35.4	45.8	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	12	29:28	14.7	23%	39%	6.9	60.4	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.8	2	28.7
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	12	46%	36%	32.1	89	2.8	4	.04	2.91	61%	18%	1.01
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.1	77%	10%	1.02
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	12	54%	32%	16.9	26.8	196.8	7.3	11.6	12	11	.08	1.8	39%	23%	.21	6%	2.4
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.4	31%	30%	.25	7%	2
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -3.44 #83
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
2023 Talent Rating: 602.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -3.44 UNLV: 2.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -9.1 UNLV: 2.0

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 2.545 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 34
Colorado State 25

Projected Total Points: 54

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	UNLV	25	Colorado State	23	UNLV	UNLV -6.5	Colorado State	60.0	Under
2019	11/02	Colorado State	37	UNLV	17	Colorado State	Colorado State -7.5	Colorado State	63.5	Under
2016	10/22	UNLV	23	Colorado State	42	Colorado State	UNLV -1.5	Colorado State	56.5	Over
2015	11/14	Colorado State	49	UNLV	35	Colorado State	Colorado State -6.5	Colorado State	58.0	Over
2012	11/10	Colorado State	33	UNLV	11	Colorado State
2011	10/29	UNLV	38	Colorado State	35	UNLV
2010	10/16	Colorado State	43	UNLV	10	Colorado State
2009	11/07	UNLV	35	Colorado State	16	UNLV
2008	10/04	Colorado State	41	UNLV	28	Colorado State
2007	10/20	UNLV	23	Colorado State	48	Colorado State
2006	10/07	Colorado State	28	UNLV	7	Colorado State
2005	11/19	UNLV	27	Colorado State	31	Colorado State
2004	11/13	Colorado State	45	UNLV	10	Colorado State
2003	11/22	UNLV	23	Colorado State	24	Colorado State
2001	10/20	UNLV	24	Colorado State	26	Colorado State
2000	10/13	Colorado State	20	UNLV	19	Colorado State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	3	0	2 Overs
Colorado State	13	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 11	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#83) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.44 #83
Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101
Talent Rating: 602.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30

Team Profile

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Colorado State Ratings Matchup UNLV

Power #83

#76

Off #78

#52

Def #62

#73

Talent #72

#106

SP+ #99

#60

SP+ Off #93

#35

SP+ Def #101

#98

Rematch from Week 8
UNLV -6.5 (60.0)
UNLV won vs Colorado State this year (25-23)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Colorado State in 2023 (25-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CSU | UNLV
Depth Chart: CSU | UNLV
Rosters: CSU | UNLV

(#76) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.545 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Stratton	21	35	60%	219	1	0	6.3
Dane Olson	1	2	50%	6	1	0	3.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Avery Morrow	184	1006	9	5.5	73
Tory Horton	1	22	0	22.0	22
Dane Olson	2	9	0	4.5	7
Jackson Stratton	6	4	0	0.7	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Horton	25	331	1	13.2	52
Dane Olson	17	314	1	18.5	41
Justus Ross-Simmons	9	202	2	22.4	55
Avery Morrow	16	102	0	6.4	17

View Colorado State's Full Roster

Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Howell	86	1	0	0	5
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3
Dom Jones	60	2	0	0	8
Dominic Morris (Tr)	54	2	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Mitchell	38	6	2	5	1
Grady Kelly	15	3	1	0	1
Cameron Bariteau	30	3	1	6	0
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dom Jones	60	2	8
Dominic Morris (Tr)	54	2	8
Jack Howell	86	1	5

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	101	169	60%	1201	11	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Maiava	20	45	4	2.3	13
Ricky White	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	79	1041	11	13.2	55
Senika McKie	24	319	4	13.3	41
Zyell Griffin	6	151	1	25.2	89
Cameron Oliver	1	52	0	52.0	52

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10
Naki Fahina	29	1	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Keith Conley Jr.	13	3	2	1	0
Tatuo Martinson	24	2	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10