UNLV at New Mexico Game Matchup

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -10 (61.0) (-675) Open: -11.5
UNLV 56 - New Mexico: 14 (Mountain West)

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV 2nd straight Road Game
UNM is playing their 4th straight game
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -8.5 (SP+ UNLV -19)
Projected Score: UNLV: 35 - UNM: 27 (64)
UNLV Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UNLV Travel: 484 miles, 1 hrs behind

Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44	O	N
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+37.5	48.5	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/9	New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech	-16.0	51.5	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-2.5	52.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/23	New Mexico at Massachusetts	+3.5	48.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico at Wyoming	+14.5	40.5	L 26 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	New Mexico vs San José State	+6.5	55.0	L 24 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	New Mexico vs Hawai'i	+1.5	60.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	New Mexico at Nevada	-1.0	50.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico vs UNLV	+10.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	58.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	New Mexico at Fresno State	+22.5	58.5	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	New Mexico vs Utah State	+4.5	58.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.18	40%	35.4	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	21.3	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1
UNM	-.06	33%	33.5	39%	2.97	121	25%	106	3.04	.17	43%	38	47%	40%	3.55	51.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	35.4	28.8	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18
UNM Defense	12	38	38.8	43.2%	3.55	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	40%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	21.3	21.7	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2
UNM Offense	12	33.5	37.4	33%	3.04	1.2	13	227	121	106	3.3	57%	41%	39%	25%	24%	-.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1
New Mexico	12	28:57	13.1	22%	29%	6.1	51.2	1.2	1.9	5.2	2.1	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07
UNM Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.17	77%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8
UNM Offense	12	57%	39%	36.5	121.3	3.3	12	.06	2.97	56%	17%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1
UNM Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	27%	23%	.1	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.5	21.3	105.5	5	9.2	3	9	-.15	1.2	35%	18%	.01	6%	1.9

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.91 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.91 New Mexico: -8.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 2.0 New Mexico: -16.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -8.65 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 35
New Mexico 27

Projected Total Points: 64

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	New Mexico	14	UNLV	56	UNLV	UNLV -10	UNLV	61.0	Over
2022	09/30	UNLV	31	New Mexico	20	UNLV	UNLV -14	New Mexico	44.0	Over
2021	11/06	New Mexico	17	UNLV	31	UNLV	New Mexico -1.5	UNLV	45.0	Over
2018	10/06	UNLV	14	New Mexico	50	New Mexico	UNLV -8	New Mexico	62.5	Over
2017	11/17	New Mexico	35	UNLV	38	UNLV	New Mexico -3	UNLV	55.5	Over
2014	11/01	UNLV	28	New Mexico	31	New Mexico	UNLV -1	New Mexico	62.0	Under
2013	09/28	New Mexico	42	UNLV	56	UNLV	New Mexico -1	UNLV	0
2012	11/03	UNLV	35	New Mexico	7	UNLV
2011	11/12	New Mexico	21	UNLV	14	New Mexico
2010	09/25	UNLV	45	New Mexico	10	UNLV
2009	10/24	New Mexico	17	UNLV	34	UNLV
2008	11/08	UNLV	27	New Mexico	20	UNLV
2007	11/24	New Mexico	27	UNLV	6	New Mexico
2006	10/14	UNLV	36	New Mexico	39	New Mexico
2005	09/05	New Mexico	24	UNLV	22	New Mexico
2004	10/16	UNLV	20	New Mexico	24	New Mexico
2003	11/01	New Mexico	35	UNLV	37	UNLV
2002	10/12	UNLV	16	New Mexico	25	New Mexico
2001	11/10	New Mexico	27	UNLV	17	New Mexico
2000	11/10	UNLV	18	New Mexico	14	UNLV

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	9	3	5 Overs
UNLV	11	4	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 11	0 - 7	0 - 6	0 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 9	7 - 0	1 - 0	6 - 0

(#76) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.91 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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UNLV Ratings Matchup New Mexico

Power #76

#94

Off #52

#12

Def #73

#130

Talent #106

#100

SP+ #60

#124

SP+ Off #35

#88

SP+ Def #98

#128

Rematch from Week 10
UNLV 10.0 (61.0)
UNLV won at New Mexico this year (56-14)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2023 (56-14)
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2022 (31-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 73° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | UNM
Depth Chart: UNLV | UNM
Rosters: UNLV | UNM

(#94) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.65 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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UNLV's OC Brennan Marion

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	101	169	60%	1201	11	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Maiava	20	45	4	2.3	13
Ricky White	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	79	1041	11	13.2	55
Senika McKie	24	319	4	13.3	41
Zyell Griffin	6	151	1	25.2	89
Cameron Oliver	1	52	0	52.0	52

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10
Naki Fahina	29	1	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Keith Conley Jr.	13	3	2	1	0
Tatuo Martinson	24	2	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10

New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	102	188	54%	1294	9	10	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Washington	102	537	5	5.3	68
Jacory Merritt	13	106	1	8.2	36
Aidan Armenta	47	57	1	1.2	43
Jacob Godfrey	1	22	0	22.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Davis	54	747	3	13.8	55
Jacob Godfrey	24	265	2	11.0	57
D.J. Washington	4	51	0	12.8	16
Christian Washington	4	36	0	9.0	24

View New Mexico's Full Roster

New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Noa Pola-Gates (Tr)	50	0	0	7
Jer'Marius Lewis	28	1	0	2
Bryce Santana	28	2	1	0
Kyler Drake	18	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Rapolla	6	1	1	0	0
Noa Pola-Gates (Tr)	50	0	0	0	7
Jer'Marius Lewis	28	1	0	0	2
Bryce Santana	28	2	0	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Noa Pola-Gates (Tr)	50	0	7
Jer'Marius Lewis	28	1	2
Tyler Kiehne	6	1	1