UNLV at New Mexico - 2023 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -10 (61.0) (-675)  Open: -11.5
UNLV 56 - New Mexico: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNLV 2nd straight Road Game
UNM is playing their 4th straight game
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -8.5   (SP+ UNLV -19)

Projected Score: UNLV: 36 - UNM: 27 (63)
UNLV Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UNLV Travel: 484 miles, 1 hrs behind
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (32 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UNLV vs Bryant-16.566.0W 44 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UNLV at Michigan+38.057.5L 7 - 35UY
Sat 9/16 UNLV vs Vanderbilt+4.556.5W 40 - 37OY
Sat 9/23 UNLV at UTEP+1.049.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10.558.5W 44 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 UNLV at Nevada-7.551.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 10/21 UNLV vs Colorado State-6.560.0W 25 - 23UN
Sat 10/28 UNLV at Fresno State+10.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/4 UNLV at New Mexico-10.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Fri 11/10 UNLV vs Wyoming-2.548.5W 34 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 UNLV at Air Force+2.546.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 UNLV vs San José State-3.558.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 12/2 UNLV vs Boise State+2.558.0L 20 - 44ON
Tue 12/26 UNLV vs Kansas+8.064.5L 36 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#38 (.27)43% (58)34.440% (101)3.17 (58)17446% (28)2394.19 (40)#115 (.26)42% (65)28.641% (52)43% (93)4.08 (94)61.81.41.9
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)27.350% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)35.150% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1434.434.742.5%4.191.4204131742394.554%45%40%46%13%.27
UNM Defense1235.13548.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1428.62741.7%4.081.9 - - - - - 53%46%41%43%13%.26
UNM Offense1227.332.348.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1428:0620.349%45%6.961.81.41.941.4133.1
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1454% (36)40% (101)38.4173.54.539 (2).2 (40)3.17 (58)76% (43)8% (29)1.18 (3)
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1453% (109)41% (52) - - - - .11 (50)3.1 (69)78% (101)8% (113)0.95 (42)
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1445% (96)46% (28)17.928.9239.28.313.317 (85)12 (85).37 (30)1.6 (56)32% (81)33% (43).4 (44)5% (42)2.1 (59)
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1446% (24)43% (93) - - - - - - 17 (3).48 (133)1.9 (133)33% (52)29% (55).32 (72)4% (128)2.1 (69)
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.91 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.91   New Mexico: -8.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 2.0   New Mexico: -16.8




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -8.65 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 36
New Mexico 27


Total Points: 63

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04New Mexico14UNLV56UNLVUNLV -10UNLV61.0Over
202209/30UNLV31New Mexico20UNLVUNLV -14New Mexico44.0Over
202111/06New Mexico17UNLV31UNLVNew Mexico -1.5UNLV45.0Over
201810/06UNLV14New Mexico50New MexicoUNLV -8New Mexico62.5Over
201711/17New Mexico35UNLV38UNLVNew Mexico -3UNLV55.5Over
201411/01UNLV28New Mexico31New MexicoUNLV -1New Mexico62.0Under
201309/28New Mexico42UNLV56UNLVNew Mexico -1UNLV0
201211/03UNLV35New Mexico7UNLV
201111/12New Mexico21UNLV14New Mexico
201009/25UNLV45New Mexico10UNLV
200910/24New Mexico17UNLV34UNLV
200811/08UNLV27New Mexico20UNLV
200711/24New Mexico27UNLV6New Mexico
200610/14UNLV36New Mexico39New Mexico
200509/05New Mexico24UNLV22New Mexico
200410/16UNLV20New Mexico24New Mexico
200311/01New Mexico35UNLV37UNLV
200210/12UNLV16New Mexico25New Mexico
200111/10New Mexico27UNLV17New Mexico
200011/10UNLV18New Mexico14UNLV
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico935 Overs
UNLV1141 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 110 - 70 - 60 - 1
Road Teams11 - 97 - 01 - 06 - 0

(#76) UNLV Info
Power Rating: -1.91 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30


UNLV has lost 1 straight
UNLV has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (6 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

UNLV Highlights
UNLV has Really Good Running Game (#34)
UNLV offense is explosive (#84)
UNLV offense is good on 3rd downs
UNLV does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#58)

UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

UNLV Deficiencies
UNLV Commits a Lot of Penalties (#132)
UNLV run game is really bad (#52)
UNLV does not Sack the QB (#47)
UNLV gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#88)
UNLV Does Not Stuff Runs (#40)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNMUNLV
OverallOver#100#63
OffenseOff#27#56
DefenseDef#109#83
Special TeamsST#109#78
PassingPass#65#83
RushingRush#16#50
Run BlockRBLK#10#62
Pass BlockPBLK#26#38
Route RunningWR Rt#39#18
TacklingTkl#117#53
Run DefenseR Def#117#75
Pass Rush DefPRush#101#33
Coverage DefCov#108#103

Rematch from Week 10
UNLV 10.0 (61.0)
UNLV won at New Mexico this year (56-14)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2023 (56-14)
UNLV beat New Mexico in 2022 (31-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | UNM
Depth Chart: UNLV | UNM
Rosters: UNLV | UNM
(#94) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -8.65 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


New Mexico has lost 1 straight
New Mexico has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico Secondary is very good (#131)

New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
New Mexico does not Sack the QB (#122)
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)


  
UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava22435364%308517108.7
Doug Brumfield265052%252025.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Vincent Davis (Tr)14576075.269
Jai'Den Thomas108503124.746
Donavyn Lester9545594.866
Jayden Maiava7327733.834
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White881483816.982
Jacob De Jesus60606210.148
Senika McKie23342114.950
Kaleo Ballungay18314217.484

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)979322
Marsel McDuffie782102
Johnathan Baldwin653104
Fred Thompkins544110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Whitmore306330
Jackson Woodard (Tr)979322
Cooper Webb264210
Cameron Oliver506213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricky Johnson333007
Johnathan Baldwin653104
Jett Elad523004

New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Hopkins (Tr)15728256%20741197.4
Devon Dampier406463%525608.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacory Merritt1891185176.355
Andrew Henry (Tr)5235036.764
Devon Dampier5933345.637
Sherod White3715514.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Medford (Tr)30551218.459
Jeremiah Hixon39482512.459
D.J. Washington29336311.635
Andrew Erickson20263113.252

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alec Marenco644123
Christian Ellis580004
Dereck Moore510000
Syaire Riley484120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyler Drake256410
Gabriel Lopez (Tr)274210
Hunter Rapolla194211
Mihalis Santorineos203200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Morris332007
Donte Martin232006
Christian Ellis580004