Hawai'i at UNLV - 2023 Matchup Preview

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at UNLV Rebels

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -10.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UNLV 44 - Hawai'i: 20 (Mountain West)

Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (26 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV is playing their 5th straight game
HAW is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -17.5 (SP+ UNLV -19)
Projected Score: HAW: 21 - UNLV: 39 (60)
UNLV Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
HAW Travel: 5152 miles, 3 hrs behind

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HAW Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Hawai'i at Vanderbilt	+17.0	54.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Fri 9/1	Hawai'i vs Stanford	+2.0	54.0	L 24 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	Hawai'i vs UAlbany	-10.5	58.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Hawai'i at Oregon	+38.5	67.5	L 10 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/23	Hawai'i vs New Mexico State	-4.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/30	Hawai'i at UNLV	+10.5	58.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Hawai'i vs San Diego State	+6.0	51.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Hawai'i at New Mexico	-1.5	60.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/28	Hawai'i vs San José State	+10.5	57.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Hawai'i at Nevada	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Hawai'i vs Air Force	+22.5	47.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Hawai'i at Wyoming	+13.5	45.5	L 9 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Hawai'i vs Colorado State	+6.0	54.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44	O	N
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	.08	40%	29	49%	3.4	137	34%	206	3.03	.28	46%	24.1	48%	45%	4.24	50.2	1.5	0.9
UNLV	.18	40%	34.1	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	28	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Offense	13	29	25.8	39.8%	3.03	1.5	19	343	137	206	4.4	43%	56%	49%	34%	16%	.08
UNLV Defense	12	28	29.7	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Defense	13	24.1	35.4	46%	4.24	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	48%	45%	12%	.28
UNLV Offense	12	34.1	36.8	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Hawai'i	13	28:16	18.8	35%	53%	5.6	50.2	1.5	0.9	4.2	1.4	1	28.1
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Offense	13	43%	49%	31.2	137.2	4.4	16	.14	3.4	78%	9%	0.91
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Defense	13	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.51	73%	7%	0.96
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Offense	13	56%	34%	20.1	37.7	205.5	5.5	10.2	13	12	.06	1.5	32%	22%	.04	7%	2.1
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Defense	13	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.4	1.6	30%	39%	.44	5%	1.7
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 407.77 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -12.94 UNLV: 2.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -16.7 UNLV: 2.0

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 2.545 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 354.46 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 39
Hawai'i 21

Projected Total Points: 60

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/21	UNLV	38	Hawai'i	10	UNLV -2.5	UNLV	64.5	Under
2024	11/09	Hawai'i	27	UNLV	29	UNLV -12.0	Hawai'i	51.5	Over
2023	09/30	UNLV	44	Hawai'i	20	UNLV -10.5	UNLV	58.5	Over
2022	11/19	Hawai'i	31	UNLV	25	UNLV -11	Hawai'i	56.5	Under
2021	11/13	UNLV	27	Hawai'i	13	Hawai'i -3.5	UNLV	55.5	Under
2020	12/12	Hawai'i	38	UNLV	21	Hawai'i -19.5	UNLV	60.0	Under
2019	11/16	UNLV	7	Hawai'i	21	Hawai'i -6.5	Hawai'i	72.5	Under
2018	11/17	Hawai'i	35	UNLV	28	Hawai'i -6	Hawai'i	71.0	Under
2017	11/04	UNLV	31	Hawai'i	23	UNLV -7	UNLV	59.5	Under
2016	10/15	Hawai'i	38	UNLV	41	Hawai'i -10	UNLV	54.0	Over
2015	11/07	UNLV	41	Hawai'i	21	UNLV -6	UNLV	53.5	Over
2014	11/22	Hawai'i	37	UNLV	35	Hawai'i -8	UNLV	0
2013	10/12	UNLV	39	Hawai'i	37	UNLV -7	Hawai'i	0
2012	11/24	Hawai'i	48	UNLV	10
2011	09/17	UNLV	40	Hawai'i	20
2010	12/04	Hawai'i	59	UNLV	21
2009	09/19	UNLV	34	Hawai'i	33
2007	09/15	UNLV	14	Hawai'i	49
2006	09/16	Hawai'i	42	UNLV	13
2003	09/19	UNLV	33	Hawai'i	22
2000	12/01	Hawai'i	32	UNLV	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	12	8	4 Overs
Hawai'i	9	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 5	8 - 5	5 - 4	3 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 16	5 - 8	1 - 3	4 - 5

(#127) HAW at (#76) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HAW	UNLV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#127	#76
SP+SP+	#123	#60
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#78
OffenseOff	#76	#60
DefenseDef	#121	#110
Spec TeamsST	#118	#99
TalentTal	#110	#119
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Hawai'i Injury Report

UNLV Injury Report

Hawai'i on Offense


CategoryCat	HAW Off	UNLV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#103	#73
SP+SP+	#111	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Hawai'i Run Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#108	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

Hawai'i Pass Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#39
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	HAW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#60	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#52	#118
SP+SP+	#35	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	#72	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#127

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#43	#109
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
UNLV -10.5 (58.5)
UNLV won vs Hawai'i this year (44-20)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Hawai'i last year (38-10)
UNLV beat Hawai'i in 2024 (29-27)
UNLV beat Hawai'i in 2023 (44-20)

HAW's OC Roman Sapolu (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Schager	332	525	63%	3542	26	14	6.7
Jake Farrell	3	8	38%	14	0	1	1.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Sims	63	255	1	4.0	22
Jordan Johnson	34	198	0	5.8	28
David Cordero	32	138	0	4.3	36
Tylan Hines	27	93	0	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Steven McBride (Tr)	63	1024	9	16.3	65
Pofele Ashlock	83	832	9	10.0	53
Koali Nishigaya	39	322	1	8.3	29
Alex Perry	24	277	3	11.5	38

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Jacob Yoro (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Peter Manuma	88	6	0	0	1
Isaiah Tufaga	79	6	3	1	0
Jalen Smith	65	9	2	1	1
Meki Pei	43	3	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Evaimalo	23	6	4	1	1
Elijah Robinson (Tr)	24	3	3	0	1
Andrew Choi	36	8	3	0	0
Isaiah Tufaga	79	6	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Virdel Edwards	37	1	9
Jojo Forest	12	1	8
Caleb Brown	17	1	7

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	224	353	64%	3085	17	10	8.7
Doug Brumfield	26	50	52%	252	0	2	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vincent Davis (Tr)	145	760	7	5.2	69
Jai'Den Thomas	108	503	12	4.7	46
Donavyn Lester	95	455	9	4.8	66
Jayden Maiava	73	277	3	3.8	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	88	1483	8	16.9	82
Jacob De Jesus	60	606	2	10.1	48
Senika McKie	23	342	1	14.9	50
Kaleo Ballungay	18	314	2	17.4	84

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	97	9	3	2	2
Marsel McDuffie	78	2	1	0	2
Johnathan Baldwin	65	3	1	0	4
Fred Thompkins	54	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex Whitmore	30	6	3	3	0
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	97	9	3	2	2
Cooper Webb	26	4	2	1	0
Cameron Oliver	50	6	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ricky Johnson	33	3	0	7
Johnathan Baldwin	65	3	1	4
Jett Elad	52	3	0	4