Hawai'i at UNLV Game Matchup
Hawai Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at UNLV RebelsUNLV logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -10.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
UNLV 44 - Hawai'i: 20  (Mountain West)

 
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNLV is playing their 5th straight game
HAW is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -17.5   (SP+ UNLV -19)

Projected Score: HAW: 20 - UNLV: 38 (53)
UNLV Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
HAW Travel: 2756 miles, 3 hrs behind
Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (46 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Hawai'i at Vanderbilt+17.054.5L 28 - 35OY
Fri 9/1 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.054.0L 24 - 37ON
Sat 9/9 Hawai'i vs UAlbany-10.558.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Hawai'i at Oregon+38.567.5L 10 - 55UN
Sat 9/23 Hawai'i vs New Mexico State-4.054.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/30 Hawai'i at UNLV+10.558.5L 20 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+6.051.5L 34 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 Hawai'i at New Mexico-1.560.0L 21 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Hawai'i vs San José State+10.557.0L 0 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 Hawai'i at Nevada+3.550.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 11/11 Hawai'i vs Air Force+22.547.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Hawai'i at Wyoming+13.545.5L 9 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Hawai'i vs Colorado State+6.054.0W 27 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
UNLV's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UNLV vs Bryant-16.566.0W 44 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UNLV at Michigan+38.057.5L 7 - 35UY
Sat 9/16 UNLV vs Vanderbilt+4.556.5W 40 - 37OY
Sat 9/23 UNLV at UTEP+1.049.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10.558.5W 44 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 UNLV at Nevada-7.551.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 10/21 UNLV vs Colorado State-6.560.0W 25 - 23UN
Sat 10/28 UNLV at Fresno State+10.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/4 UNLV at New Mexico-10.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Fri 11/10 UNLV vs Wyoming-2.548.5W 34 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 UNLV at Air Force+2.546.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 UNLV vs San José State-3.558.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 12/2 UNLV vs Boise State+2.558.0L 20 - 44ON
Tue 12/26 UNLV vs Kansas+8.064.5L 36 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW.0840%22.349%3.413734%2063.03.2846%2648%45%4.2450.21.50.9
UNLV.1840%35.445%3.3413737%2153.57.246%21.351%41%3.6257.31.32.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense1322.315.639.8%3.031.5193431372064.443%56%49%34%16%.08
UNLV Defense1221.322.546%3.622.1 - - - - - 53%46%51%41%16%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense13263546%4.240.9 - - - - - 53%46%48%45%12%.28
UNLV Offense1235.445.840.4%3.571.3183521372154.147%51%45%37%20%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1328:1618.835%53%5.650.21.50.94.21.4128.1
UNLV1228:4917.633%53%5.857.31.32.14.62.3227.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1343%49%31.2137.24.416.143.478%9%0.91
UNLV Defense1253%51% - - - - .173.5577%10%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1353%48% - - - - .233.5173%7%0.96
UNLV Offense1247%45%33.6137.34.118.273.3484%14%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1356%34%20.137.7205.55.510.21312.061.532%22%.047%2.1
UNLV Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 15.331.728%34%.376%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1346%45% - - - - - - 10.41.630%39%.445%1.7
UNLV Offense1251%37%18.930.12157.211.4157.171.533%26%.256%2.1

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 272.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -12.94   UNLV: 2.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -16.7   UNLV: 2.0




UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 2.545 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 38
Hawai'i 20


Projected Total Points: 53
UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Hawai'i27UNLV29UNLVUNLV -12.0Hawai'i51.5Over
202309/30UNLV44Hawai'i20UNLVUNLV -10.5UNLV58.5Over
202211/19Hawai'i31UNLV25Hawai'iUNLV -11Hawai'i56.5Under
202111/13UNLV27Hawai'i13UNLVHawai'i -3.5UNLV55.5Under
202012/12Hawai'i38UNLV21Hawai'iHawai'i -19.5UNLV60.0Under
201911/16UNLV7Hawai'i21Hawai'iHawai'i -6.5Hawai'i72.5Under
201811/17Hawai'i35UNLV28Hawai'iHawai'i -6Hawai'i71.0Under
201711/04UNLV31Hawai'i23UNLVUNLV -7UNLV59.5Under
201610/15Hawai'i38UNLV41UNLVHawai'i -10UNLV54.0Over
201511/07UNLV41Hawai'i21UNLVUNLV -6UNLV53.5Over
201411/22Hawai'i37UNLV35Hawai'iHawai'i -8UNLV0
201310/12UNLV39Hawai'i37UNLVUNLV -7Hawai'i0
201211/24Hawai'i48UNLV10Hawai'i
201109/17UNLV40Hawai'i20UNLV
201012/04Hawai'i59UNLV21Hawai'i
200909/19UNLV34Hawai'i33UNLV
200709/15UNLV14Hawai'i49Hawai'i
200609/16Hawai'i42UNLV13Hawai'i
200309/19UNLV33Hawai'i22UNLV
200012/01Hawai'i32UNLV34UNLV
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UNLV1174 Overs
Hawai'i956 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 57 - 54 - 43 - 1
Road Teams5 - 155 - 71 - 34 - 4

(#127) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121
Talent Rating: 272.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60

Team Profile






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Hawai'i     Ratings Matchup     UNLV
Power #127
#76
Off #103
#52
Def #118
#73
Talent #126
#106
SP+ #123
#60
SP+ Off #111
#35
SP+ Def #121
#98

Rematch from Week 5
UNLV -10.5 (58.5)
UNLV won vs Hawai'i this year (44-20)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Hawai'i last year (29-27)
UNLV beat Hawai'i in 2023 (44-20)
Hawai'i beat UNLV in 2022 (31-25)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HAW | UNLV
Depth Chart: HAW | UNLV
Rosters: HAW | UNLV
(#76) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.545 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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Hawai'i's OC Roman Sapolu
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Schager23340458%259119136.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brayden Schager13526762.046
Kamalu DeBlake41804.58
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Walthall7811861415.271
Dekel Crowdus16402425.174
Jonah Panoke33387311.749
Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala129137.619

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Jacob Yoro
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Sinclair411000
Cameron Stone (Tr)383008
Nalu Emerson385201
Meki Pei220001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nalu Emerson385201
Daniel Williams193120
Anthony Sagapolutele92100
Justin Sinclair411000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Stone (Tr)383008
Nalu Emerson385201
Meki Pei220001

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Maiava204542.313
Ricky White1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White7910411113.255
Senika McKie24319413.341
Zyell Griffin6151125.289
Cameron Oliver152052.052

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010
Naki Fahina291020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Keith Conley Jr.133210
Tatuo Martinson242212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010