San Diego State at San José State - 2023 Matchup Preview

San Diego State Aztecs at San José State Spartans

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (10:30 PM EST)
San José State -16.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 24 - San Diego State: 13 (Mountain West)

Aztecs (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (18 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU 2nd straight Road Game
SJSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: San José State -10 (SP+ SJSU -9)
Projected Score: SDSU: 19 - SJSU: 29 (48)
SJSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
SDSU Travel: 412 miles

Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SDSU Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San Diego State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San Diego State vs Ohio	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/2	San Diego State vs Idaho State	-34.5	51.0	W 36 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/9	San Diego State vs UCLA	+13.0	49.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	San Diego State at Oregon State	+24.5	48.5	L 9 - 26	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San Diego State vs Boise State	+6.5	46.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	San Diego State at Air Force	+10.5	43.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-6.0	51.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San Diego State vs Nevada	-11.0	48.5	L 0 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	+2.0	56.5	L 24 - 32	U	N
Sat 11/11	San Diego State at Colorado State	+3.5	46.5	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/18	San Diego State at San José State	+16.5	48.5	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+5.5	47.0	W 33 - 18	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule

San José State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San José State at USC	+31.5	66.0	L 28 - 56	O	Y
Sun 9/3	San José State vs Oregon State	+14.0	56.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	San José State vs Cal Poly	-23.5	60.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	San José State at Toledo	+9.0	56.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San José State vs Air Force	+6.0	45.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	San José State at Boise State	+8.0	57.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	San José State at New Mexico	-6.5	55.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San José State vs Utah State	-4.0	65.0	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	San José State at Hawai'i	-10.5	57.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	San José State vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/18	San José State vs San Diego State	-16.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/25	San José State at UNLV	+3.5	58.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/23	San José State vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU	.14	39%	26.4	38%	2.81	143	41%	181	2.92	.06	38%	15.4	36%	40%	3.15	59.4	1.8	1.9
SJSU	.18	45%	21.4	48%	3.16	96	43%	272	4.25	.15	40%	32.5	40%	41%	3.42	48.5	0.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Offense	13	26.4	18.2	38.8%	2.92	1.8	16	324	143	181	4	53%	46%	38%	41%	20%	.14
SJSU Defense	12	32.5	29.5	39.7%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	41%	19%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SDSU Defense	13	15.4	18.3	37.5%	3.15	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	36%	40%	19%	.06
SJSU Offense	12	21.4	25.8	45%	4.25	0.8	20	368	96	272	3.4	38%	61%	48%	43%	19%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San Diego State	13	30:56	15.8	29%	75%	7.4	59.4	1.8	1.9	6.5	2.8	4	30.3
San José State	12	28:36	20.4	37%	47%	5.8	48.5	0.8	1.8	7	3.3	0	31.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Offense	13	53%	38%	36.2	143.2	4	11	.08	2.81	58%	14%	1.01
SJSU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	68%	13%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SDSU Defense	13	44%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.84	62%	13%	0.9
SJSU Offense	12	38%	48%	28.6	96.2	3.4	19	.14	3.16	67%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Offense	13	46%	41%	14.2	26.3	180.6	6.9	12.7	15	14	.31	1.6	34%	31%	.37	6%	2.2
SJSU Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.37	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SDSU Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	34%	28%	.18	6%	1.9
SJSU Offense	12	61%	43%	21.7	35.8	271.8	7.6	12.5	23	7	.25	1.5	30%	36%	.36	8%	1.8

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -7.49 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 440.15 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -7.49 San José State: 0.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San Diego State: -10.5 San José State: -1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 0.835 #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
2023 Talent Rating: 513.83 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 29
San Diego State 19

Projected Total Points: 48

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	San Diego State	25	San José State	3	San Diego State -10	San Diego State	50.5	Under
2023	11/18	San José State	24	San Diego State	13	San José State -16.5	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2022	11/12	San Diego State	43	San José State	27	San José State -2.5	San Diego State	41.0	Over
2021	10/15	San José State	13	San Diego State	19	San Diego State -10	San José State	41.0	Under
2020	11/06	San Diego State	17	San José State	28	San Diego State -10	San José State	49.5	Under
2019	10/19	San José State	17	San Diego State	27	San Diego State -7.5	San Diego State	45.5	Under
2018	10/20	San Diego State	16	San José State	13	San Diego State -25.5	San José State	44.5	Under
2017	11/04	San José State	7	San Diego State	52	San Diego State -24	San Diego State	50.5	Over
2016	10/21	San Diego State	42	San José State	3	San Diego State -22.5	San Diego State	48.0	Under
2015	10/17	San José State	7	San Diego State	30	San José State -2	San Diego State	48.0	Under
2014	11/29	San Diego State	38	San José State	7	San Diego State -13.5	San Diego State	0
2013	11/09	San José State	30	San Diego State	34	San José State -6.5	San Diego State	0
2012	09/22	San Diego State	34	San José State	38
2008	09/13	San José State	35	San Diego State	10
2006	09/30	San José State	31	San Diego State	10
2005	09/24	San Diego State	52	San José State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	5	3	2 Overs
San Diego State	11	9	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 7	5 - 7	3 - 5	2 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 9	7 - 5	2 - 2	5 - 3

(#104) SDSU at (#71) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SDSU	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#104	#71
SP+SP+	#107	#73
Perf GradeGrade	#126	#62
OffenseOff	#104	#33
DefenseDef	#133	#105
Spec TeamsST	#52	#35
TalentTal	#103	#86
Blue ChipsBC%	#69	#75

San Diego State Injury Report

San José State Injury Report

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#106	#79
SP+SP+	#110	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#81	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#31	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SDSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#33	#133
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#42	#86
SP+SP+	#48	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#15	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#133

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#113
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#52	#134
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
San José State -16.5 (48.5)
San José State won vs San Diego State this year (24-13)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat San José State last year (25-3)
San José State beat San Diego State in 2023 (24-13)

SDSU's OC Ryan Lindley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Mayden	199	314	63%	2031	10	9	6.5
Tobin O'Dell	1	2	50%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Mayden	128	528	5	4.1	70
Jaylon Armstead	103	448	8	4.3	48
Kenan Christon	96	378	0	3.9	39
Cam Davis	52	225	0	4.3	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Redman	38	408	3	10.7	29
Mekhi Shaw	27	375	2	13.9	69
Brionne Penny	25	290	1	11.6	36
Baylin Brooks	15	261	1	17.4	37

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zyrus Fiaseu	64	12	6	5	5
Cody Moon	58	0	0	9	2
Cedarious Barfield	51	2	0	0	3
Marcus Ratcliffe	51	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zyrus Fiaseu	64	12	6	5	5
Tupu Alualu	27	4	3	4	0
Daniel Okpoko	25	5	2	5	3
Cooper McDonald	39	5	2	8	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Noah Tumblin	35	0	0	0	12
Dezjhon Malone	46	2	1	0	7
Zyrus Fiaseu	64	12	6	5	5

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chevan Cordeiro	223	363	61%	2773	20	4	7.6
Jay Butterfield (Tr)	7	11	64%	80	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kairee Robinson	169	1191	18	7.0	52
Quali Conley (Tr)	131	842	9	6.4	68
Chevan Cordeiro	81	272	3	3.4	28
Isaac Jernigan	12	86	0	7.2	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	48	728	8	15.2	58
Charles Ross	26	347	1	13.3	35
Dominick Mazotti	23	322	2	14.0	44
Sam Olson	22	310	3	14.1	56

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham	106	5	2	4	2
Jordan Pollard	79	4	0	0	0
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	0	4
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4
Soane Toia	35	6	4	0
Noah Lavulo	49	7	4	5
Jay Kakiva	43	7	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jay'Vion Cole	38	2	1	10
D.J. Harvey (Tr)	28	2	0	5
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	4