San José State at New Mexico - 2023 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at New Mexico Lobos

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
San José State -6.5 (55.0) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 52 - New Mexico: 24 (Mountain West)

Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU 2nd straight Road Game
UNM coming off BYE
Our Line: San José State -7 (SP+ SJSU -15)
Projected Score: SJSU: 30 - UNM: 23 (53)
SJSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
SJSU Travel: 863 miles, 1 hrs behind

Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San José State at USC	+31.5	66.0	L 28 - 56	O	Y
Sun 9/3	San José State vs Oregon State	+14.0	56.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	San José State vs Cal Poly	-23.5	60.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	San José State at Toledo	+9.0	56.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San José State vs Air Force	+6.0	45.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	San José State at Boise State	+8.0	57.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	San José State at New Mexico	-6.5	55.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San José State vs Utah State	-4.0	65.0	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	San José State at Hawai'i	-10.5	57.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	San José State vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/18	San José State vs San Diego State	-16.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/25	San José State at UNLV	+3.5	58.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/23	San José State vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+37.5	48.5	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/9	New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech	-16.0	51.5	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-2.5	52.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/23	New Mexico at Massachusetts	+3.5	48.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico at Wyoming	+14.5	40.5	L 26 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	New Mexico vs San José State	+6.5	55.0	L 24 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	New Mexico vs Hawai'i	+1.5	60.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	New Mexico at Nevada	-1.0	50.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico vs UNLV	+10.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	58.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	New Mexico at Fresno State	+22.5	58.5	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	New Mexico vs Utah State	+4.5	58.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	.18	45%	21.4	48%	3.16	96	43%	272	4.25	.15	40%	32.5	40%	41%	3.42	48.5	0.8	1.8
UNM	-.06	33%	27.1	39%	2.97	121	25%	106	3.04	.17	43%	22.3	47%	40%	3.55	51.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	12	21.4	17	45%	4.25	0.8	20	368	96	272	3.4	38%	61%	48%	43%	19%	.18
UNM Defense	12	22.3	18.7	43.2%	3.55	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	40%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	12	32.5	35.5	39.7%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	41%	19%	.15
UNM Offense	12	27.1	28.3	33%	3.04	1.2	13	227	121	106	3.3	57%	41%	39%	25%	24%	-.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	12	28:36	20.4	37%	47%	5.8	48.5	0.8	1.8	7	3.3	0	31.4
New Mexico	12	28:57	13.1	22%	29%	6.1	51.2	1.2	1.9	5.2	2.1	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	12	38%	48%	28.6	96.2	3.4	19	.14	3.16	67%	10%	0.82
UNM Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.17	77%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	68%	13%	1
UNM Offense	12	57%	39%	36.5	121.3	3.3	12	.06	2.97	56%	17%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	12	61%	43%	21.7	35.8	271.8	7.6	12.5	23	7	.25	1.5	30%	36%	.36	8%	1.8
UNM Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	27%	23%	.1	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.37	6%	2.2
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.5	21.3	105.5	5	9.2	3	9	-.15	1.2	35%	18%	.01	6%	1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -1.43 #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
2023 Talent Rating: 513.83 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.43 New Mexico: -8.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9 New Mexico: -16.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -8.65 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 375.35 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 30
New Mexico 23

Projected Total Points: 53

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/03	San José State	35	New Mexico	28	San José State -1.5	San José State	58.5	Over
2023	10/14	New Mexico	24	San José State	52	San José State -6.5	San José State	55.0	Over
2020	10/31	New Mexico	21	San José State	38	San José State -9.5	San José State	0
2019	10/04	San José State	32	New Mexico	21	San José State -6.5	San José State	70.0	Under
2016	10/01	New Mexico	48	San José State	41	New Mexico -4.5	New Mexico	51.5	Over
2015	10/24	San José State	31	New Mexico	21	San José State -7.5	San José State	56.0	Under
2006	12/23	San José State	20	New Mexico	12

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	1	1	3 Overs
San José State	6	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	4 - 2	4 - 0	0 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 5	2 - 4	2 - 0	0 - 4

(#71) SJSU at (#94) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#71	#94
SP+SP+	#73	#124
Perf GradeGrade	#62	#121
OffenseOff	#33	#30
DefenseDef	#105	#136
Spec TeamsST	#35	#133
TalentTal	#86	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

San José State Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#33	#136
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#42	#130
SP+SP+	#48	#128
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	#15	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#135

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#129
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#52	#135
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SJSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#30	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#12	#79
SP+SP+	#88	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#24	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
San José State 6.5 (55.0)
San José State won at New Mexico this year (52-24)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat New Mexico last year (35-28)
San José State beat New Mexico in 2023 (52-24)

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chevan Cordeiro	223	363	61%	2773	20	4	7.6
Jay Butterfield (Tr)	7	11	64%	80	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kairee Robinson	169	1191	18	7.0	52
Quali Conley (Tr)	131	842	9	6.4	68
Chevan Cordeiro	81	272	3	3.4	28
Isaac Jernigan	12	86	0	7.2	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	48	728	8	15.2	58
Charles Ross	26	347	1	13.3	35
Dominick Mazotti	23	322	2	14.0	44
Sam Olson	22	310	3	14.1	56

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham	106	5	2	4	2
Jordan Pollard	79	4	0	0	0
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	0	4
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4
Soane Toia	35	6	4	0
Noah Lavulo	49	7	4	5
Jay Kakiva	43	7	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jay'Vion Cole	38	2	1	10
D.J. Harvey (Tr)	28	2	0	5
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	4

UNM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Hopkins (Tr)	157	282	56%	2074	11	9	7.4
Devon Dampier	40	64	63%	525	6	0	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacory Merritt	189	1185	17	6.3	55
Andrew Henry (Tr)	52	350	3	6.7	64
Devon Dampier	59	333	4	5.6	37
Sherod White	37	155	1	4.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Medford (Tr)	30	551	2	18.4	59
Jeremiah Hixon	39	482	5	12.4	59
D.J. Washington	29	336	3	11.6	35
Andrew Erickson	20	263	1	13.2	52

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC Troy Reffett (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alec Marenco	64	4	1	2	3
Christian Ellis	58	0	0	0	4
Dereck Moore	51	0	0	0	0
Syaire Riley	48	4	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyler Drake	25	6	4	1	0
Gabriel Lopez (Tr)	27	4	2	1	0
Hunter Rapolla	19	4	2	1	1
Mihalis Santorineos	20	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Zach Morris	33	2	7
Donte Martin	23	2	6
Christian Ellis	58	0	4