Hawai'i at New Mexico - 2023 Matchup Preview
Hawai Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at New Mexico LobosNew Mexico logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Hawai'i -1.5 (60.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico 42 - Hawai'i: 21  (Mountain West)

 
Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 21 - 32 (19 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: New Mexico -6   (SP+ HAW -0)

Projected Score: HAW: 27 - UNM: 33 (61)
HAW Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
HAW Travel: 3223 miles, 4 hrs behind
Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 27 - 35 (32 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Hawai'i at Vanderbilt+17.054.5L 28 - 35OY
Fri 9/1 Hawai'i vs Stanford+2.054.0L 24 - 37ON
Sat 9/9 Hawai'i vs UAlbany-10.558.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Hawai'i at Oregon+38.567.5L 10 - 55UN
Sat 9/23 Hawai'i vs New Mexico State-4.054.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/30 Hawai'i at UNLV+10.558.5L 20 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Hawai'i vs San Diego State+6.051.5L 34 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 Hawai'i at New Mexico-1.560.0L 21 - 42ON
Sat 10/28 Hawai'i vs San José State+10.557.0L 0 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 Hawai'i at Nevada+3.550.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 11/11 Hawai'i vs Air Force+22.547.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/18 Hawai'i at Wyoming+13.545.5L 9 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Hawai'i vs Colorado State+6.054.0W 27 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 New Mexico at Texas A&M+37.548.5L 10 - 52ON
Sat 9/9 New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech-16.051.5W 56 - 10OY
Sat 9/16 New Mexico vs New Mexico State-2.552.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/23 New Mexico at Massachusetts+3.548.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 New Mexico at Wyoming+14.540.5L 26 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 New Mexico vs San José State+6.555.0L 24 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 New Mexico vs Hawai'i+1.560.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/28 New Mexico at Nevada-1.050.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 11/4 New Mexico vs UNLV+10.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 New Mexico at Boise State+27.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 11/18 New Mexico at Fresno State+22.558.5W 25 - 17UY
Fri 11/24 New Mexico vs Utah State+4.558.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#94 (.14)41% (82)21.440% (98)2.79 (119)7642% (64)2763.22 (111)#102 (.24)43% (84)32.244% (77)43% (88)4.14 (101)56.41.81.1
UNM#15 (.31)48% (12)27.350% (13)3.31 (31)19347% (23)2184.11 (49)#127 (.32)48% (130)35.150% (126)47% (127)4.23 (109)89.41.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)46% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)45% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
UNM#14 (.31)49% (10)53% (3)3.81 (1)25444% (40)2313.83 (79)#132 (.34)50% (132)50% (125)51% (131)4.64 (128)81.51.60.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense1321.419.241%3.221.819352762763.134%65%40%42%18%.14
UNM Defense1235.13548.4%4.230.7 - - - - - 52%48%50%47%17%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense1332.238.743.2%4.141.1 - - - - - 57%43%44%43%16%.24
UNM Offense1227.332.348.3%4.111.3234111932185.352%47%50%47%21%.31

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1329:3919.337%52%6.256.41.81.15.21.7029.1
New Mexico1232:2623.241%64%9.889.41.30.73.91.3024.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1334% (133)40% (98)24.976.13.16 (133).09 (103)2.79 (119)62% (126)11% (90)1 (67)
UNM Defense1252% (101)50% (126) - - - - .21 (106)3.35 (115)63% (18)10% (80)0.88 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1357% (127)44% (77) - - - - .17 (87)3.16 (83)75% (82)10% (66)1.06 (94)
UNM Offense1252% (53)50% (13)36.7192.75.326 (30).26 (16)3.31 (31)79% (23)12% (110)1.02 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1365% (2)42% (64)25.941.3276.46.710.727 (25)15 (116).2 (94)1.5 (104)34% (96)32% (62).33 (69)7% (100)2 (84)
UNM Defense1248% (41)47% (127) - - - - - - 4 (131).45 (128)1.8 (118)24% (133)40% (132).46 (122)7% (28)1.8 (14)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1343% (7)43% (88) - - - - - - 7 (111).38 (114)1.7 (110)31% (89)31% (80).4 (107)6% (58)2.1 (84)
UNM Offense1247% (83)47% (23)16.529.4217.97.413.217 (85)10 (56).42 (23)1.6 (57)32% (75)33% (44).39 (47)9% (129)2 (72)

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -12.94   New Mexico: -8.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -16.7   New Mexico: -16.8




New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -8.65 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.7

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico 33
Hawai'i 27


Total Points: 61

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Hawai'i38New Mexico30Hawai'iNew Mexico -6.5Hawai'i61.5Over
202310/21New Mexico42Hawai'i21New MexicoHawai'i -1.5New Mexico60.0Over
202011/07Hawai'i39New Mexico33Hawai'iHawai'i -15New Mexico61.5Over
201910/26New Mexico31Hawai'i45Hawai'iHawai'i -10Hawai'i70.5Over
201610/29Hawai'i21New Mexico28New MexicoHawai'i -3New Mexico65.5Under
201510/17New Mexico28Hawai'i27New MexicoNew Mexico -3.5Hawai'i51.5Over
201210/14Hawai'i23New Mexico35New Mexico
TeamWinsCoversO/U
New Mexico435 Overs
Hawai'i331 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 32 - 40 - 32 - 1
Road Teams3 - 44 - 21 - 23 - 0

(#127) Hawai'i Info
Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60


Hawai'i has lost 2 straight
Hawai'i has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Hawai'i Highlights

Hawai'i Deficiencies
Hawai'i has a bad TO Margin (#131)
Hawai'i Can Not Run the Ball (#90)
Hawai'i throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Hawai'i Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#46)
Hawai'i offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#106)
Hawai'i Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Hawai'i has a bad red zone defense (#56)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNMHAW
OverallOver#100#91
OffenseOff#27#67
DefenseDef#109#94
Special TeamsST#109#95
PassingPass#65#29
RushingRush#16#77
Run BlockRBLK#10#87
Pass BlockPBLK#26#28
Route RunningWR Rt#39#71
TacklingTkl#117#109
Run DefenseR Def#117#71
Pass Rush DefPRush#101#83
Coverage DefCov#108#101

Rematch from Week 8
Hawai'i 1.5 (60.0)
New Mexico won vs Hawai'i this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat New Mexico last year (38-30)
New Mexico beat Hawai'i in 2023 (42-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HAW | UNM
Depth Chart: HAW | UNM
Rosters: HAW | UNM
(#94) New Mexico Info
Power Rating: -8.65 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


New Mexico has lost 2 straight
New Mexico has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

New Mexico Highlights
New Mexico offense is efficent (#108)
New Mexico Secondary is very good (#131)

New Mexico Deficiencies
New Mexico Commits a Lot of Penalties (#1)
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
New Mexico does not Sack the QB (#122)
New Mexico has a bad defense (#98)
New Mexico has a bad defensive line (#82)
New Mexico has a bad red zone defense (#43)


  
Hawai'i's OC Roman Sapolu
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Schager33252563%354226146.7
Jake Farrell3838%14011.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landon Sims6325514.022
Jordan Johnson3419805.828
David Cordero3213804.336
Tylan Hines279303.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Steven McBride (Tr)631024916.365
Pofele Ashlock83832910.053
Koali Nishigaya3932218.329
Alex Perry24277311.538

View Hawai'i's Full Roster
Hawai'i's DC Jacob Yoro
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Peter Manuma886001
Isaiah Tufaga796310
Jalen Smith659211
Meki Pei433111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezra Evaimalo236411
Elijah Robinson (Tr)243301
Andrew Choi368300
Isaiah Tufaga796310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Virdel Edwards371009
Jojo Forest121008
Caleb Brown171007

New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Hopkins (Tr)15728256%20741197.4
Devon Dampier406463%525608.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacory Merritt1891185176.355
Andrew Henry (Tr)5235036.764
Devon Dampier5933345.637
Sherod White3715514.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Medford (Tr)30551218.459
Jeremiah Hixon39482512.459
D.J. Washington29336311.635
Andrew Erickson20263113.252

View New Mexico's Full Roster
New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alec Marenco644123
Christian Ellis580004
Dereck Moore510000
Syaire Riley484120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyler Drake256410
Gabriel Lopez (Tr)274210
Hunter Rapolla194211
Mihalis Santorineos203200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Morris332007
Donte Martin232006
Christian Ellis580004