Hawai'i at New Mexico - 2023 Matchup Preview

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at New Mexico Lobos

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Hawai'i -1.5 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico 42 - Hawai'i: 21 (Mountain West)

Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 22 - 26 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: New Mexico -6 (SP+ HAW -0)
Projected Score: HAW: 28 - UNM: 34 (60)
HAW Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
HAW Travel: 3223 miles, 4 hrs behind

Lobos (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Danny Gonzales (8 - 26)
Avg Score : 34 - 38 (37 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HAW Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Hawai'i at Vanderbilt	+17.0	54.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Fri 9/1	Hawai'i vs Stanford	+2.0	54.0	L 24 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	Hawai'i vs UAlbany	-10.5	58.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Hawai'i at Oregon	+38.5	67.5	L 10 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/23	Hawai'i vs New Mexico State	-4.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/30	Hawai'i at UNLV	+10.5	58.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Hawai'i vs San Diego State	+6.0	51.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Hawai'i at New Mexico	-1.5	60.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/28	Hawai'i vs San José State	+10.5	57.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Hawai'i at Nevada	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Hawai'i vs Air Force	+22.5	47.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Hawai'i at Wyoming	+13.5	45.5	L 9 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Hawai'i vs Colorado State	+6.0	54.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

New Mexico's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+37.5	48.5	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/9	New Mexico vs Tennessee Tech	-16.0	51.5	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-2.5	52.0	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/23	New Mexico at Massachusetts	+3.5	48.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico at Wyoming	+14.5	40.5	L 26 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	New Mexico vs San José State	+6.5	55.0	L 24 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	New Mexico vs Hawai'i	+1.5	60.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	New Mexico at Nevada	-1.0	50.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico vs UNLV	+10.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	New Mexico at Boise State	+27.5	58.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/18	New Mexico at Fresno State	+22.5	58.5	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	New Mexico vs Utah State	+4.5	58.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	.08	40%	22.3	49%	3.4	137	34%	206	3.03	.28	46%	26	48%	45%	4.24	50.2	1.5	0.9
UNM	-.06	33%	33.5	39%	2.97	121	25%	106	3.04	.17	43%	38	47%	40%	3.55	51.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Offense	13	22.3	15.6	39.8%	3.03	1.5	19	343	137	206	4.4	43%	56%	49%	34%	16%	.08
UNM Defense	12	38	38.8	43.2%	3.55	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	40%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Defense	13	26	35	46%	4.24	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	48%	45%	12%	.28
UNM Offense	12	33.5	37.4	33%	3.04	1.2	13	227	121	106	3.3	57%	41%	39%	25%	24%	-.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Hawai'i	13	28:16	18.8	35%	53%	5.6	50.2	1.5	0.9	4.2	1.4	1	28.1
New Mexico	12	28:57	13.1	22%	29%	6.1	51.2	1.2	1.9	5.2	2.1	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Offense	13	43%	49%	31.2	137.2	4.4	16	.14	3.4	78%	9%	0.91
UNM Defense	12	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.17	77%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Defense	13	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.51	73%	7%	0.96
UNM Offense	12	57%	39%	36.5	121.3	3.3	12	.06	2.97	56%	17%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Offense	13	56%	34%	20.1	37.7	205.5	5.5	10.2	13	12	.06	1.5	32%	22%	.04	7%	2.1
UNM Defense	12	44%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	27%	23%	.1	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Defense	13	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.4	1.6	30%	39%	.44	5%	1.7
UNM Offense	12	41%	25%	11.5	21.3	105.5	5	9.2	3	9	-.15	1.2	35%	18%	.01	6%	1.9

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 272.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -12.94 New Mexico: -8.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -16.7 New Mexico: -16.8

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -8.65 #94
New Mexico's Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
New Mexico's Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
2023 Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
New Mexico's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
New Mexico's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 34
Hawai'i 28

Projected Total Points: 60

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.4
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.8

New Mexico's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Hawai'i	38	New Mexico	30	Hawai'i	New Mexico -6.5	Hawai'i	61.5	Over
2023	10/21	New Mexico	42	Hawai'i	21	New Mexico	Hawai'i -1.5	New Mexico	60.0	Over
2020	11/07	Hawai'i	39	New Mexico	33	Hawai'i	Hawai'i -15	New Mexico	61.5	Over
2019	10/26	New Mexico	31	Hawai'i	45	Hawai'i	Hawai'i -10	Hawai'i	70.5	Over
2016	10/29	Hawai'i	21	New Mexico	28	New Mexico	Hawai'i -3	New Mexico	65.5	Under
2015	10/17	New Mexico	28	Hawai'i	27	New Mexico	New Mexico -3.5	Hawai'i	51.5	Over
2012	10/14	Hawai'i	23	New Mexico	35	New Mexico

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	4	3	5 Overs
Hawai'i	3	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	2 - 4	0 - 3	2 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 4	4 - 2	1 - 2	3 - 0

(#127) Hawai'i Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121
Talent Rating: 272.00 #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60

Team Profile

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Hawai'i Ratings Matchup New Mexico

Power #127

#94

Off #103

#12

Def #118

#130

Talent #126

#100

SP+ #123

#124

SP+ Off #111

#88

SP+ Def #121

#128

Rematch from Week 8
Hawai'i 1.5 (60.0)
New Mexico won vs Hawai'i this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat New Mexico last year (38-30)
New Mexico beat Hawai'i in 2023 (42-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82°

Team Information
Injuries: HAW | UNM
Depth Chart: HAW | UNM
Rosters: HAW | UNM

(#94) New Mexico Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.65 #94
Offense Rating: 25.20 #12
Defense Rating: 19.08 #130
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.8 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #88
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #128
Talent Rating: 464.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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Hawai'i's OC Roman Sapolu

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Schager	233	404	58%	2591	19	13	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brayden Schager	135	267	6	2.0	46
Kamalu DeBlake	4	18	0	4.5	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Walthall	78	1186	14	15.2	71
Dekel Crowdus	16	402	4	25.1	74
Jonah Panoke	33	387	3	11.7	49
Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala	12	91	3	7.6	19

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

Hawai'i's DC Jacob Yoro

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Justin Sinclair	41	1	0	0
Cameron Stone (Tr)	38	3	0	8
Nalu Emerson	38	5	2	1
Meki Pei	22	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nalu Emerson	38	5	2	0	1
Daniel Williams	19	3	1	2	0
Anthony Sagapolutele	9	2	1	0	0
Justin Sinclair	41	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Cameron Stone (Tr)	38	3	0	8
Nalu Emerson	38	5	2	1
Meki Pei	22	0	0	1

New Mexico's OC Bryant Vincent

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	102	188	54%	1294	9	10	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Washington	102	537	5	5.3	68
Jacory Merritt	13	106	1	8.2	36
Aidan Armenta	47	57	1	1.2	43
Jacob Godfrey	1	22	0	22.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Davis	54	747	3	13.8	55
Jacob Godfrey	24	265	2	11.0	57
D.J. Washington	4	51	0	12.8	16
Christian Washington	4	36	0	9.0	24

View New Mexico's Full Roster

New Mexico's DC Troy Reffett

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Noa Pola-Gates (Tr)	50	0	0	7
Jer'Marius Lewis	28	1	0	2
Bryce Santana	28	2	1	0
Kyler Drake	18	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Rapolla	6	1	1	0	0
Noa Pola-Gates (Tr)	50	0	0	0	7
Jer'Marius Lewis	28	1	0	0	2
Bryce Santana	28	2	0	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Noa Pola-Gates (Tr)	50	0	7
Jer'Marius Lewis	28	1	2
Tyler Kiehne	6	1	1