Cal Poly at San José State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Cal Poly logo   Cal Poly Mustangs at San José State Spartans  San José State logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
San José State -23.5 (60.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
San José State 59 - Cal Poly: 3

 
Mustangs (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 63 (9 - 63 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SJSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: San José State -1  (SP+ SJSU -2)

SJSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cal Poly's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Cal Poly at San José State+23.560.0L 3 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule
San José State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 San José State at USC+31.566.0L 28 - 56OY
Sun 9/3 San José State vs Oregon State+14.056.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 9/9 San José State vs Cal Poly-23.560.0W 59 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 San José State at Toledo+9.056.5L 17 - 21UY
Fri 9/22 San José State vs Air Force+6.045.5L 20 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 San José State at Boise State+8.057.5L 27 - 35OY
Sat 10/14 San José State at New Mexico-6.555.0W 52 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 San José State vs Utah State-4.065.0W 42 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 San José State at Hawai'i-10.557.0W 35 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 San José State vs Fresno State-2.551.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/18 San José State vs San Diego State-16.548.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 11/25 San José State at UNLV+3.558.5W 37 - 31OY
Sat 12/23 San José State vs Coastal Carolina-7.548.0L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%90%000%000%630%0%0000
SJSU.1845%21.448%3.169643%2724.25.1540%32.540%41%3.4248.50.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SJSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Offense1990%00000000%0%0%0%0%
SJSU Defense1232.529.539.7%3.421.8 - - - - - 51%48%40%41%19%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Defense163630%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
SJSU Offense1221.425.845%4.250.820368962723.438%61%48%43%19%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cal Poly10:000NAN%0%0000000100
San José State1228:3620.437%47%5.848.50.81.873.3031.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Offense10%0%000000%0%0
SJSU Defense1251%40% - - - - .14368%13%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
SJSU Offense1238%48%28.696.23.419.143.1667%10%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
SJSU Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 13.231.629%29%.376%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
SJSU Offense1261%43%21.735.8271.87.612.5237.251.530%36%.368%1.8

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 94.82  #168
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cal Poly's 2023 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    San José State: 0.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    San José State: -1.9




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 0.835  #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30  #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51  #79
2023 Talent Rating: 513.83  #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Cal Poly's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
San José State 31
Cal Poly 30


Projected Total Points: 62
San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09San José State59Cal Poly3San José State -23.5San José State60.0Over
201709/02San José State34Cal Poly13San José State -11San José State0
200909/26San José State19Cal Poly9
200609/23San José State17Cal Poly7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State421 Overs
Cal Poly000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) CP at (#71) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCPSJSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #71
SP+SP+NR #73
Perf GradeGradeNR #62
OffenseOffNR #33
DefenseDefNR #105
Spec TeamsSTNR #35
TalentTal #168 #86
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Cal Poly on Offense
CategoryCat
CP OffSJSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #79
SP+SP+NR #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cal Poly Run Game
CategoryCat
CP OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNR #131
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #109
Cal Poly Pass Game
CategoryCat
CP OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #30
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #64
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
San José State on Offense
CategoryCatSJSU OffCP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #42NR
SP+SP+ #48NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San José State Run Game
CategoryCat
SJSU OffCP Def
Run GameRun #15NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
CategoryCatSJSU OffCP Def
Pass GamePass #25NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

CP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
San José State -23.5 (60.0)
San José State won vs Cal Poly this year (59-3)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Cal Poly in 2023 (59-3)

  
CP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bo Kelly6311356%706726.2
Michael Briscoe1333%1110.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kendric Sanders4527926.254
Paul Holyfield Jr.268303.223
Troy Fletcher61101.84
Michael Briscoe3301.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Briscoe43779718.170
Logan Booher35427412.251
Reed Shumpert (Tr)34382011.239
Jordan Garrison25359214.455

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

CP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Sanders144000
Kenny Olson111000
Donovan Saunders70002
Brian Dukes50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Sanders144000
Kenny Olson111000
Donovan Saunders70002
Brian Dukes50000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Saunders70002
Jordan Sanders144000
Kenny Olson111000

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chevan Cordeiro22336361%27732047.6
Jay Butterfield (Tr)71164%80107.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kairee Robinson1691191187.052
Quali Conley (Tr)13184296.468
Chevan Cordeiro8127233.428
Isaac Jernigan128607.245
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Nash48728815.258
Charles Ross26347113.335
Dominick Mazotti23322214.044
Sam Olson22310314.156

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryun Parham1065242
Jordan Pollard794000
Tre Jenkins671004
Tre Smith6710740
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith6710740
Soane Toia356400
Noah Lavulo497450
Jay Kakiva437300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay'Vion Cole3821010
D.J. Harvey (Tr)282005
Tre Jenkins671004