Cal Poly at San José State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Cal Poly Mustangs at San José State Spartans

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
San José State -23.5 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 59 - Cal Poly: 3

Mustangs (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 59 (3 - 59 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: San José State -1 (SP+ SJSU -2)
SJSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%

Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CP Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cal Poly's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9	Cal Poly at San José State	+23.5	60.0	L 3 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule

San José State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San José State at USC	+31.5	66.0	L 28 - 56	O	Y
Sun 9/3	San José State vs Oregon State	+14.0	56.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	San José State vs Cal Poly	-23.5	60.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	San José State at Toledo	+9.0	56.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San José State vs Air Force	+6.0	45.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	San José State at Boise State	+8.0	57.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	San José State at New Mexico	-6.5	55.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San José State vs Utah State	-4.0	65.0	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	San José State at Hawai'i	-10.5	57.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	San José State vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/18	San José State vs San Diego State	-16.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/25	San José State at UNLV	+3.5	58.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/23	San José State vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CP		0%	3	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	59	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU	#22 (.29)	45% (29)	31.8	48% (23)	3.21 (48)	184	43% (51)	219	3.73 (81)	#104 (.24)	43% (79)	25.6	45% (91)	41% (60)	3.86 (74)	49.1	0.8	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU	#71 (.18)	44% (56)		41% (98)	2.27 (133)	88	46% (28)	322	3.6 (96)	#27 (.1)	41% (57)		42% (66)	39% (47)	3.58 (44)	61.5	2.2	2.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CP Offense	1	3	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SJSU Defense	13	25.6	23.7	42.8%	3.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	41%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CP Defense	1	59	59	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
SJSU Offense	13	31.8	34	45.5%	3.73	0.8	21	404	184	219	5.6	50%	50%	48%	43%	15%	.29

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cal Poly	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
San José State	13	30:35	20.8	45%	37%	5.7	49.1	0.8	1.6	4.8	1.6	3	34.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CP Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
SJSU Defense	13	56% (120)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.25 (121)	3.47 (126)	75% (81)	9% (104)	1.03 (88)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CP Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
SJSU Offense	13	50% (71)	48% (23)	33	184.1	5.6	31 (17)	.24 (22)	3.21 (48)	72% (85)	10% (61)	1.11 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CP Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SJSU Defense	13	43% (10)	41% (60)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.29 (80)	1.6 (80)	31% (91)	33% (108)	.44 (119)	6% (80)	2 (62)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CP Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
SJSU Offense	13	50% (61)	43% (51)	17.7	28.9	219.5	7.6	12.4	21 (65)	4 (2)	.34 (44)	1.7 (28)	33% (91)	38% (9)	.48 (22)	6% (59)	2 (79)

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #168
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cal Poly's 2023 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly: San José State: 0.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly: San José State: -1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 0.835 #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 59 PPG
Defense on Road: 59

Cal Poly's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 30
Cal Poly 29

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
San José State 33
Cal Poly 20

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
San José State 46
Cal Poly 14

Total Points: 60

San José State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.7

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	San José State	59	Cal Poly	3	San José State -23.5	San José State	60.0	Over
2017	09/02	San José State	34	Cal Poly	13	San José State -11	San José State	0
2009	09/26	San José State	19	Cal Poly	9
2006	09/23	San José State	17	Cal Poly	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	4	2	1 Overs
Cal Poly	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#NR) CP at (#71) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CP	SJSU
Power RatePwr	NR	#71
SP+SP+	NR	#73
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#62
OffenseOff	NR	#33
DefenseDef	NR	#105
Spec TeamsST	NR	#35
TalentTal	#168	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Cal Poly Injury Report

San José State Injury Report

Cal Poly on Offense


CategoryCat	CP Off	SJSU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	#79
ExplosiveExp	NR	#60
PPAPPA	NR	#104
PowerPwr	NR	#79
SP+SP+	NR	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	#74
HavocHav	NR	#102

Cal Poly Run Game


CategoryCat	CP Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#91
Run ExplRExp	NR	#88
PPAExp	NR	#121
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#126
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#113
TackleTak	-	#109

Cal Poly Pass Game


CategoryCat	CP Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#60
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#80
PPAExp	NR	#80
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	#104
DB HavocDB	NR	#80

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CP Def
Perf GradePerf	#33	NR
SuccessSuc	#29	NR
ExplosiveExp	#12	NR
PPAPPA	#22	NR
PowerPwr	#42	NR
SP+SP+	#48	NR
Pts POPPO	#81	NR
HavocHav	#62	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CP Def
Run GameRun	#15	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	NR
Run ExplRExp	#21	NR
PPAExp	#22	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	#48	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#122	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	CP Def
Pass GamePass	#25	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#28	NR
PPAExp	#44	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#52	NR
F7 HavocF7	#61	NR
DB HavocDB	#59	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

CP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 79°

Rematch from Week 2
San José State -23.5 (60.0)
San José State won vs Cal Poly this year (59-3)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Cal Poly in 2023 (59-3)

CP's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Biggins	81	393	3	4.9	64

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Biggins	4	12	0	3.0	8

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

CP's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS
David Meyer	12	1	1
Brian Dukes	7	0	0
Judaea Moon	5	1	0
Kai Rapolla	5	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Ponder	4	3	1	0	2
David Meyer	12	1	0	1	0
Brian Dukes	7	0	0	0	0
Judaea Moon	5	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Ponder	4	3	1	0	2
David Meyer	12	1	0	1	0
Brian Dukes	7	0	0	0	0

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chevan Cordeiro	223	363	61%	2773	20	4	7.6
Jay Butterfield (Tr)	7	11	64%	80	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kairee Robinson	169	1191	18	7.0	52
Quali Conley (Tr)	131	842	9	6.4	68
Chevan Cordeiro	81	272	3	3.4	28
Isaac Jernigan	12	86	0	7.2	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	48	728	8	15.2	58
Charles Ross	26	347	1	13.3	35
Dominick Mazotti	23	322	2	14.0	44
Sam Olson	22	310	3	14.1	56

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham	106	5	2	4	2
Jordan Pollard	79	4	0	0	0
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	0	4
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4
Soane Toia	35	6	4	0
Noah Lavulo	49	7	4	5
Jay Kakiva	43	7	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jay'Vion Cole	38	2	1	10
D.J. Harvey (Tr)	28	2	0	5
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	4