San José State at Hawai'i - 2023 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (11:59 PM EDT)
San José State -10.5 (57.0) (0) Open: 0.0
San José State 35 - Hawai'i: 0 (Mountain West)

Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SJSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: San José State -10.5 (SP+ SJSU -15)
Projected Score: SJSU: 33 - HAW: 22 (55)
SJSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
SJSU Travel: 2413 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
HAW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San José State at USC	+31.5	66.0	L 28 - 56	O	Y
Sun 9/3	San José State vs Oregon State	+14.0	56.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	San José State vs Cal Poly	-23.5	60.0	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/16	San José State at Toledo	+9.0	56.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San José State vs Air Force	+6.0	45.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	San José State at Boise State	+8.0	57.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	San José State at New Mexico	-6.5	55.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San José State vs Utah State	-4.0	65.0	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	San José State at Hawai'i	-10.5	57.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	San José State vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/18	San José State vs San Diego State	-16.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/25	San José State at UNLV	+3.5	58.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/23	San José State vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	48.0	L 14 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Hawai'i at Vanderbilt	+17.0	54.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Fri 9/1	Hawai'i vs Stanford	+2.0	54.0	L 24 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	Hawai'i vs UAlbany	-10.5	58.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Hawai'i at Oregon	+38.5	67.5	L 10 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/23	Hawai'i vs New Mexico State	-4.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/30	Hawai'i at UNLV	+10.5	58.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Hawai'i vs San Diego State	+6.0	51.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Hawai'i at New Mexico	-1.5	60.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/28	Hawai'i vs San José State	+10.5	57.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Hawai'i at Nevada	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Hawai'i vs Air Force	+22.5	47.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Hawai'i at Wyoming	+13.5	45.5	L 9 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Hawai'i vs Colorado State	+6.0	54.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	.18	45%	21.4	48%	3.16	96	43%	272	4.25	.15	40%	32.5	40%	41%	3.42	48.5	0.8	1.8
HAW	.08	40%	29	49%	3.4	137	34%	206	3.03	.28	46%	24.1	48%	45%	4.24	50.2	1.5	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	12	21.4	17	45%	4.25	0.8	20	368	96	272	3.4	38%	61%	48%	43%	19%	.18
HAW Defense	13	24.1	17	46%	4.24	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	48%	45%	12%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	12	32.5	35.5	39.7%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	41%	19%	.15
HAW Offense	13	29	31	39.8%	3.03	1.5	19	343	137	206	4.4	43%	56%	49%	34%	16%	.08

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	12	28:36	20.4	37%	47%	5.8	48.5	0.8	1.8	7	3.3	0	31.4
Hawai'i	13	28:16	18.8	35%	53%	5.6	50.2	1.5	0.9	4.2	1.4	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	12	38%	48%	28.6	96.2	3.4	19	.14	3.16	67%	10%	0.82
HAW Defense	13	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.51	73%	7%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	12	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.14	3	68%	13%	1
HAW Offense	13	43%	49%	31.2	137.2	4.4	16	.14	3.4	78%	9%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	12	61%	43%	21.7	35.8	271.8	7.6	12.5	23	7	.25	1.5	30%	36%	.36	8%	1.8
HAW Defense	13	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.4	1.6	30%	39%	.44	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	12	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.37	6%	2.2
HAW Offense	13	56%	34%	20.1	37.7	205.5	5.5	10.2	13	12	.06	1.5	32%	22%	.04	7%	2.1

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: -1.43 #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51 #79
2023 Talent Rating: 513.83 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.43 Hawai'i: -12.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9 Hawai'i: -16.7

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -12.32 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 407.77 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 33
Hawai'i 22

Projected Total Points: 55

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	San José State	45	Hawai'i	38	San José State -2.5	San José State	55.5	Over
2023	10/28	Hawai'i	0	San José State	35	San José State -10.5	San José State	57.0	Under
2022	11/26	San José State	27	Hawai'i	14	San José State -15.5	Hawai'i	58.5	Under
2021	09/19	Hawai'i	13	San José State	17	San José State -8	Hawai'i	62.5	Under
2020	12/05	San José State	35	Hawai'i	24	Hawai'i -2.5	San José State	59.0	Push
2019	11/09	Hawai'i	42	San José State	40	Hawai'i -7.5	San José State	78.5	Over
2018	09/29	San José State	41	Hawai'i	44	Hawai'i -9	San José State	63.5	Over
2017	10/14	Hawai'i	37	San José State	26	Hawai'i -17	San José State	59.5	Over
2016	10/08	San José State	17	Hawai'i	34	San José State -3.5	Hawai'i	62.5	Under
2015	11/21	Hawai'i	23	San José State	42	San José State -9	San José State	52.5	Over
2014	11/15	San José State	0	Hawai'i	13	San José State -10	Hawai'i	0
2013	10/06	Hawai'i	27	San José State	37	San José State -4.5	San José State	0
2011	10/14	San José State	28	Hawai'i	27
2010	11/20	Hawai'i	41	San José State	7
2009	11/21	San José State	10	Hawai'i	17
2008	09/28	Hawai'i	17	San José State	20
2007	10/12	San José State	35	Hawai'i	42
2006	11/18	Hawai'i	54	San José State	17
2005	10/22	San José State	38	Hawai'i	45
2004	10/24	Hawai'i	46	San José State	28
2003	11/01	San José State	10	Hawai'i	13
2002	11/03	Hawai'i	40	San José State	31
2001	11/04	Hawai'i	34	San José State	10
2000	10/27	Hawai'i	48	San José State	57

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Hawai'i	14	4	5 Overs
San José State	10	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 13	4 - 8	1 - 5	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 11	8 - 4	3 - 3	5 - 1

(#71) SJSU at (#127) HAW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	HAW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#71	#127
SP+SP+	#73	#123
Perf GradeGrade	#62	#110
OffenseOff	#33	#76
DefenseDef	#105	#121
Spec TeamsST	#35	#118
TalentTal	#86	#110
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

San José State Injury Report

Hawai'i Injury Report

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	HAW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#33	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#42	#118
SP+SP+	#48	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	#15	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#127

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#52	#109
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Hawai'i on Offense


CategoryCat	HAW Off	SJSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#103	#79
SP+SP+	#111	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Hawai'i Run Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#108	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

Hawai'i Pass Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#30	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
San José State 10.5 (57.0)
San José State won at Hawai'i this year (35-0)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Hawai'i last year (45-38)
San José State beat Hawai'i in 2023 (35-0)

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chevan Cordeiro	223	363	61%	2773	20	4	7.6
Jay Butterfield (Tr)	7	11	64%	80	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kairee Robinson	169	1191	18	7.0	52
Quali Conley (Tr)	131	842	9	6.4	68
Chevan Cordeiro	81	272	3	3.4	28
Isaac Jernigan	12	86	0	7.2	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Nash	48	728	8	15.2	58
Charles Ross	26	347	1	13.3	35
Dominick Mazotti	23	322	2	14.0	44
Sam Olson	22	310	3	14.1	56

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham	106	5	2	4	2
Jordan Pollard	79	4	0	0	0
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	0	4
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tre Smith	67	10	7	4
Soane Toia	35	6	4	0
Noah Lavulo	49	7	4	5
Jay Kakiva	43	7	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jay'Vion Cole	38	2	1	10
D.J. Harvey (Tr)	28	2	0	5
Tre Jenkins	67	1	0	4

HAW's OC Roman Sapolu (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Schager	332	525	63%	3542	26	14	6.7
Jake Farrell	3	8	38%	14	0	1	1.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Sims	63	255	1	4.0	22
Jordan Johnson	34	198	0	5.8	28
David Cordero	32	138	0	4.3	36
Tylan Hines	27	93	0	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Steven McBride (Tr)	63	1024	9	16.3	65
Pofele Ashlock	83	832	9	10.0	53
Koali Nishigaya	39	322	1	8.3	29
Alex Perry	24	277	3	11.5	38

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Jacob Yoro (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Peter Manuma	88	6	0	0	1
Isaiah Tufaga	79	6	3	1	0
Jalen Smith	65	9	2	1	1
Meki Pei	43	3	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Evaimalo	23	6	4	1	1
Elijah Robinson (Tr)	24	3	3	0	1
Andrew Choi	36	8	3	0	0
Isaiah Tufaga	79	6	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Virdel Edwards	37	1	9
Jojo Forest	12	1	8
Caleb Brown	17	1	7