Kent State at Akron - 2023 Matchup Preview

Wednesday, November 1st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Akron -4 (39.0) (-170) Open: -4.0 | 39.0
Akron 31 - Kent State: 27 (Mid-American)

Golden Flashes (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 15 - 35 (12 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#133)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KENT coming off BYE
AKR coming off BYE
Our Line: Akron -8.5 (SP+ AKR -5)
Projected Score: KENT: 17 - AKR: 26 (43)
AKR Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
KENT Travel: 11 miles

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (19 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KENT Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kent State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Kent State at UCF	+35.0	54.0	L 6 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Kent State at Arkansas	+38.0	57.5	L 6 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kent State vs Central Connecticut	-21.5	46.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Kent State at Fresno State	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 53	O	N
Sat 9/30	Kent State vs Miami (OH)	+14.0	51.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kent State at Ohio	+24.5	45.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kent State at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	40.0	L 14 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/21	Kent State vs Buffalo	+6.5	44.0	L 6 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Kent State at Akron	+4.0	39.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Wed 11/8	Kent State vs Bowling Green	+10.5	41.5	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kent State at Ball State	+10.5	41.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kent State vs Northern Illinois	+20.5	44.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#125 (.05)	35% (130)	14.7	32% (133)	2.84 (113)	106	40% (89)	165	3.27 (110)	#125 (.32)	45% (111)	34.6	47% (108)	44% (97)	4.88 (132)	46.2	1	0.8
AKR	#129 (.04)	36% (124)	16.3	41% (86)	2.74 (123)	81	34% (121)	198	2.59 (131)	#29 (.12)	39% (37)	28	41% (53)	38% (22)	3.78 (68)	60.2	1.8	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#131 (.01)	30% (134)		33% (132)	2.57 (128)	78	29% (134)	155	2.89 (130)	#133 (.35)	50% (131)		50% (123)	51% (130)	4.34 (115)	35.7	1.7	0.9
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Offense	12	14.7	11.9	35.2%	3.27	1	15	270	106	165	2.9	53%	47%	32%	40%	19%	.05
AKR Defense	12	28	28.2	39.2%	3.78	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	14%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Defense	12	34.6	38.9	45%	4.88	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	47%	44%	13%	.32
AKR Offense	12	16.3	18.6	36.4%	2.59	1.8	17	279	81	198	2.8	40%	58%	41%	34%	18%	.04

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kent State	12	28:49	15	30%	46%	5.4	46.2	1	0.8	4.1	0.9	0	28.4
Akron	12	29:33	16.7	33%	35%	6.9	60.2	1.8	0.9	5.2	1.6	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Offense	12	53% (44)	32% (133)	36.8	105.9	2.9	8 (130)	-.03 (132)	2.84 (113)	67% (109)	12% (117)	0.91 (105)
AKR Defense	12	52% (100)	41% (53)	-	-	-	-	.11 (49)	2.91 (38)	72% (62)	10% (77)	1.09 (110)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Defense	12	56% (124)	47% (108)	-	-	-	-	.24 (117)	3.23 (98)	79% (107)	7% (131)	1.08 (106)
AKR Offense	12	40% (124)	41% (86)	28.8	81	2.8	12 (116)	.09 (97)	2.74 (123)	81% (16)	10% (72)	0.9 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Offense	12	47% (90)	40% (89)	13.3	25.5	164.5	6.5	12.3	11 (117)	6 (14)	.16 (110)	1.6 (72)	36% (122)	25% (112)	.18 (108)	7% (99)	2 (76)
AKR Defense	12	47% (34)	38% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.18 (19)	1.7 (102)	35% (23)	30% (63)	.31 (67)	5% (112)	2.2 (115)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Defense	12	43% (14)	44% (97)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.44 (127)	1.8 (117)	32% (73)	31% (76)	.33 (79)	6% (91)	2 (55)
AKR Offense	12	58% (14)	34% (121)	21.5	35.4	197.6	5.6	9.2	10 (120)	15 (116)	.07 (127)	1.4 (128)	35% (118)	24% (120)	.13 (122)	8% (121)	2.1 (54)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -21.19 #133
Kent State's Offense Rating: 9.49 #124
Kent State's Defense Rating: 19.32 #132
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Kent State's 2023 Expected Record: 2.10 - 9.90
Kent State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #133
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -21.19 Akron: -15.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -26.4 Akron: -21.6

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -15.25 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.9
Defense: 34.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.9

Kent State's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Akron 26
Kent State 17

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Kent State 23
Akron 22

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Akron 27
Kent State 21

Total Points: 48

Akron Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/11	Akron	35	Kent State	42	Akron -7.5	Kent State	49.5	Over
2024	11/19	Kent State	17	Akron	38	Akron -10.5	Akron	49.0	Over
2023	11/01	Akron	31	Kent State	27	Akron -4	Push	39.0	Over
2022	10/22	Kent State	33	Akron	27	Kent State -16	Akron	65.0	Under
2021	11/20	Akron	0	Kent State	38	Kent State -13.5	Kent State	72.5	Under
2020	11/17	Kent State	69	Akron	35	Kent State -26.5	Kent State	59.0	Over
2019	10/12	Akron	3	Kent State	26	Kent State -14.5	Kent State	57.5	Under
2018	10/20	Kent State	23	Akron	24	Akron -4.5	Kent State	50.0	Under
2017	11/21	Akron	24	Kent State	14	Akron -14.5	Kent State	46.0	Under
2016	10/01	Kent State	27	Akron	31	Akron -5	Kent State	51.5	Over
2015	11/27	Akron	20	Kent State	0	Akron -10.5	Akron	38.5	Under
2014	11/28	Kent State	27	Akron	24	Akron -6	Kent State	0
2013	11/02	Akron	16	Kent State	7	Kent State -2.5	Akron	0
2012	11/03	Kent State	35	Akron	24
2011	11/12	Akron	3	Kent State	35
2010	10/09	Kent State	28	Akron	17
2009	11/07	Akron	28	Kent State	20
2008	10/04	Kent State	27	Akron	30
2007	09/22	Akron	27	Kent State	20
2006	09/30	Kent State	37	Akron	15
2005	11/24	Akron	35	Kent State	3
2004	09/23	Kent State	19	Akron	24
2003	08/28	Akron	38	Kent State	41
2001	09/29	Akron	14	Kent State	10
2000	11/17	Kent State	6	Akron	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	14	4	5 Overs
Kent State	11	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 11	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 14	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2

(#133) KENT at (#130) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KENT	AKR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#133	#130
SP+SP+	#133	#128
Perf GradeGrade	#131	#134
OffenseOff	#123	#136
DefenseDef	#129	#92
Spec TeamsST	#97	#110
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Kent State Injury Report

Akron Injury Report

Kent State on Offense


CategoryCat	KENT Off	AKR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#92
SuccessSuc	#130	#37
ExplosiveExp	#83	#107
PPAPPA	#125	#29
PowerPwr	#124	#63
SP+SP+	#133	#90
Pts POPPO	#110	#68
HavocHav	#111	#110

Kent State Run Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#132	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	#133	#53
Run ExplRExp	#105	#110
PPAExp	#132	#49
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#64	#64
TackleTak	-	#37

Kent State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KENT Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	#89	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#72	#102
PPAExp	#110	#19
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#126	#111
F7 HavocF7	#117	#77
DB HavocDB	#99	#112

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	KENT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#129
SuccessSuc	#124	#111
ExplosiveExp	#122	#106
PPAPPA	#129	#125
PowerPwr	#129	#132
SP+SP+	#132	#115
Pts POPPO	#131	#132
HavocHav	#104	#122

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#98	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#108
Run ExplRExp	#110	#106
PPAExp	#97	#117
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	#123	#98
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#108
TackleTak	-	#118

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#126
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	#97
Pass ExplPExl	#128	#117
PPAExp	#127	#127
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#119	#131
F7 HavocF7	#72	#131
DB HavocDB	#121	#91

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

KENT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 34° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Akron -4.0 (39.0)
Akron won vs Kent State this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Kent State last year (38-17)
Akron beat Kent State in 2023 (31-27)
Kent State beat Akron in 2022 (33-27)

KENT's OC Matt Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Alaimo	79	144	55%	932	2	4	6.5
Tommy Ulatowski	60	121	50%	737	7	2	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Garcia	138	544	2	3.9	42
Jaylen Thomas	133	460	2	3.5	34
Xavier Williams	42	137	1	3.3	18
Tommy Ulatowski	47	89	1	1.9	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	41	610	4	14.9	42
Luke Floriea	39	414	4	10.6	43
Trell Harris	26	400	1	15.4	43
Jameel Gardner Jr.	24	298	1	12.4	50

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC David Duggan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Sheppert	75	1	0	2	7
Nick Giacolone	50	5	0	0	1
Stephen Daley	47	6	1	7	0
D.J. Miller	46	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
CJ Harris	31	6	2	0	1
Marcus Winfield	11	3	2	1	0
Macyo Williams	18	3	2	2	0
Stephen Daley	47	6	1	7	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Capone Blue	30	0	0	0	10
Bryce Sheppert	75	1	0	2	7
Alex Branch	32	2	1	0	3

AKR's OC Billy Fessler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Undercuffler	138	224	62%	1378	4	9	6.2
DJ Irons	88	133	66%	722	3	3	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	143	641	4	4.5	71
DJ Irons	61	215	2	3.5	47
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	62	165	4	2.7	27
Drake Anderson	40	132	1	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jasaiah Gathings	55	575	1	10.5	39
Daniel George	52	529	1	10.2	50
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	37	356	2	9.6	77
Alex Adams	22	188	2	8.5	29

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Fish	85	4	1	3	0
Bryan McCoy	81	5	1	0	0
Darrian Lewis	65	2	1	1	3
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2
Bennett Adler	24	5	3	1	0
Antonio Smith	3	2	2	2	0
Shammond Cooper (Tr)	41	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyson Durant	30	1	0	2	6
Kerry Martin Jr.	44	2	1	0	6
Judson Tallandier	39	3	0	1	5