Akron at Indiana - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Indiana -16.5 (45.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Indiana 29 - Akron: 27

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (15 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AKR 2nd straight Road Game
IND 4th straight Home Game
IND is playing their 4th straight game
AKR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -13 (SP+ IND -14)
Projected Score: AKR: 16 - IND: 29 (44)
IND Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
AKR Travel: 295 miles

Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 22 - 30 (21 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Indiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Indiana vs Ohio State	+30.0	59.0	L 3 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/8	Indiana vs Indiana State	-31.0	44.0	W 41 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Indiana vs Louisville	+10.0	51.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Indiana vs Akron	-16.5	45.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/30	Indiana at Maryland	+14.5	50.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Indiana at Michigan	+33.5	45.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	Indiana vs Rutgers	+6.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Indiana at Penn State	+31.0	45.0	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Indiana vs Wisconsin	+9.5	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Indiana at Illinois	+4.5	43.5	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-3.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Indiana at Purdue	+2.5	55.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#129 (.04)	36% (124)	16.3	41% (86)	2.74 (123)	81	34% (121)	198	2.59 (131)	#29 (.12)	39% (37)	28	41% (53)	38% (22)	3.78 (68)	60.2	1.8	0.9
IND	#106 (.12)	41% (85)	22.2	39% (117)	3.26 (38)	121	44% (48)	212	3.11 (119)	#103 (.24)	46% (120)	29.9	47% (109)	45% (118)	4.08 (95)	51	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)		50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)		35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	16.3	14.6	36.4%	2.59	1.8	17	279	81	198	2.8	40%	58%	41%	34%	18%	.04
IND Defense	12	29.9	21	45.8%	4.08	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	45%	17%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	28	27.9	39.2%	3.78	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	14%	.12
IND Offense	12	22.2	21.3	40.9%	3.11	1.5	20	334	121	212	3.4	50%	49%	39%	44%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	29:33	16.7	33%	35%	6.9	60.2	1.8	0.9	5.2	1.6	1	27.6
Indiana	12	29:25	19.7	37%	35%	5.5	51	1.5	1	6.1	1.8	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	40% (124)	41% (86)	28.8	81	2.8	12 (116)	.09 (97)	2.74 (123)	81% (16)	10% (72)	0.9 (110)
IND Defense	12	52% (96)	47% (109)	-	-	-	-	.14 (65)	3.24 (100)	75% (80)	10% (58)	0.85 (14)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	52% (100)	41% (53)	-	-	-	-	.11 (49)	2.91 (38)	72% (62)	10% (77)	1.09 (110)
IND Offense	12	50% (68)	39% (117)	36.2	121.3	3.4	13 (108)	.07 (112)	3.26 (38)	69% (105)	11% (83)	0.91 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	58% (14)	34% (121)	21.5	35.4	197.6	5.6	9.2	10 (120)	15 (116)	.07 (127)	1.4 (128)	35% (118)	24% (120)	.13 (122)	8% (121)	2.1 (54)
IND Defense	12	47% (36)	45% (118)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (117)	1.6 (77)	29% (115)	33% (104)	.41 (110)	6% (69)	2.2 (103)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	47% (34)	38% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.18 (19)	1.7 (102)	35% (23)	30% (63)	.31 (67)	5% (112)	2.2 (115)
IND Offense	12	49% (70)	44% (48)	17.9	30.5	212.3	7	11.9	18 (81)	10 (56)	.26 (76)	1.5 (119)	30% (43)	28% (91)	.16 (118)	6% (82)	1.9 (107)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90 Indiana: -4.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6 Indiana: -7.4

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -4.57 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Akron Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.6
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.9

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 29
Akron 16

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Indiana 23
Akron 18

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Indiana 25
Akron 20

Total Points: 45

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.3
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Indiana	29	Akron	27	Indiana -16.5	Akron	45.5	Over
2010	09/25	Indiana	35	Akron	20
2009	09/19	Akron	21	Indiana	38
2007	09/15	Indiana	41	Akron	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	4	0	1 Overs
Akron	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#130) AKR at (#98) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	IND
Power RatePwr	#130	#98
SP+SP+	#128	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#134	#101
OffenseOff	#136	#96
DefenseDef	#92	#104
Spec TeamsST	#110	#83
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#41

Akron Injury Report

Indiana Injury Report

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	IND Def
Perf GradePerf	#136	#104
SuccessSuc	#124	#120
ExplosiveExp	#122	#26
PPAPPA	#129	#103
PowerPwr	#129	#114
SP+SP+	#132	#72
Pts POPPO	#131	#95
HavocHav	#104	#59

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#98	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#109
Run ExplRExp	#110	#14
PPAExp	#97	#65
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	#123	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#81
TackleTak	-	#64

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	#118
Pass ExplPExl	#128	#77
PPAExp	#127	#117
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#132
F7 HavocF7	#72	#58
DB HavocDB	#121	#69

Indiana on Offense


CategoryCat	IND Off	AKR Def
Perf GradePerf	#96	#92
SuccessSuc	#85	#37
ExplosiveExp	#114	#107
PPAPPA	#106	#29
PowerPwr	#95	#63
SP+SP+	#103	#90
Pts POPPO	#119	#68
HavocHav	#88	#110

Indiana Run Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#130	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	#117	#53
Run ExplRExp	#108	#110
PPAExp	#112	#49
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#64
TackleTak	-	#37

Indiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#80	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#119	#102
PPAExp	#76	#19
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#104	#111
F7 HavocF7	#83	#77
DB HavocDB	#82	#112

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 69°

Rematch from Week 4
Indiana -16.5 (45.5)
Indiana won vs Akron this year (29-27)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Akron in 2023 (29-27)

AKR's OC Billy Fessler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Undercuffler	138	224	62%	1378	4	9	6.2
DJ Irons	88	133	66%	722	3	3	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	143	641	4	4.5	71
DJ Irons	61	215	2	3.5	47
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	62	165	4	2.7	27
Drake Anderson	40	132	1	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jasaiah Gathings	55	575	1	10.5	39
Daniel George	52	529	1	10.2	50
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	37	356	2	9.6	77
Alex Adams	22	188	2	8.5	29

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Fish	85	4	1	3	0
Bryan McCoy	81	5	1	0	0
Darrian Lewis	65	2	1	1	3
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2
Bennett Adler	24	5	3	1	0
Antonio Smith	3	2	2	2	0
Shammond Cooper (Tr)	41	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyson Durant	30	1	0	2	6
Kerry Martin Jr.	44	2	1	0	6
Judson Tallandier	39	3	0	1	5

IND's OC Walt Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	135	236	57%	1582	15	5	6.7
Tayven Jackson (Tr)	78	128	61%	914	2	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trenten Howland	76	354	2	4.7	19
Josh Henderson	81	337	2	4.2	29
Brendan Sorsby	113	291	4	2.6	25
Jaylin Lucas	67	275	2	4.1	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donaven McCulley	48	644	6	13.4	69
Dequece Carter (Tr)	27	395	3	14.6	90
Cam Camper	17	285	1	16.8	41
E.J. Williams (Tr)	23	276	0	12.0	27

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Matt Guerrieri (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Louis Moore	84	1	0	0	1
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	0	3	4
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Lanell Carr (Tr)	33	9	5	2	2
Andre Carter (Tr)	49	11	2	3	3
Myles Jackson	25	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	6
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	3	4
Kobee Minor (Tr)	29	0	0	4