Southern Miss at Louisiana - 2023 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Thursday, November 9th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Louisiana -8.5 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Southern Miss 34 - Louisiana: 31 (Sun Belt)

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULL is playing their 4th straight game
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -13.5 (SP+ ULL -16)
Projected Score: USM: 20 - ULL: 33 (54)
ULL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
USM Travel: 178 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (34 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Alcorn State	-24.0	47.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss at Florida State	+31.0	54.0	L 13 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+8.0	47.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/23	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	-7.0	46.5	L 37 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+6.5	60.0	L 36 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-3.0	56.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+18.5	51.0	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss at App State	+16.0	55.5	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-3.0	56.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+8.5	51.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss at Mississippi State	+18.5	47.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss vs Troy	+16.5	48.5	L 17 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.11	39%	15.3	40%	2.8	142	39%	208	3.69	.1	36%	37.8	37%	37%	3.86	59.5	2	1.8
ULL	.13	40%	30.9	43%	3.2	144	38%	220	3.61	.17	41%	24.1	44%	38%	3.62	55.7	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	15.3	11	38.6%	3.69	2	18	349	142	208	3.9	53%	45%	40%	39%	19%	.11
ULL Defense	13	24.1	25.6	40.5%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	38%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	37.8	42.5	36.4%	3.86	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	37%	18%	.1
ULL Offense	13	30.9	34	40.1%	3.61	1.3	20	364	144	220	4.1	48%	51%	43%	38%	15%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	28:38	17.9	34%	63%	6.7	59.5	2	1.8	7.8	3	3	32.3
Louisiana	13	29:30	19.6	39%	52%	6.5	55.7	1.3	2.2	4.5	2.1	3	31.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	53%	40%	36.6	141.7	3.9	15	.06	2.8	60%	13%	0.97
ULL Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.79	74%	13%	1.03
ULL Offense	13	48%	43%	35.2	144.4	4.1	10	.1	3.2	61%	8%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	45%	39%	14.7	26.6	207.5	7.8	14.1	20	14	.25	1.7	33%	26%	.26	6%	2.2
ULL Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.6	30%	33%	.43	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.18	1.7	36%	27%	.21	6%	2.1
ULL Offense	13	51%	38%	19.4	33.9	219.9	6.5	11.4	27	9	.19	1.5	31%	31%	.33	7%	2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -10.22 Louisiana: 0.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -15.2 Louisiana: 0.3

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 0.74 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 33
Southern Miss 20

Projected Total Points: 54

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Southern Miss	13	Louisiana	23	Louisiana	Louisiana -17.5	Southern Miss	57.5	Under
2023	11/09	Louisiana	31	Southern Miss	34	Southern Miss	Louisiana -8.5	Southern Miss	51.5	Over
2022	10/27	Southern Miss	39	Louisiana	24	Southern Miss	Louisiana -2.5	Southern Miss	42.5	Over
2016	12/17	Louisiana	21	Southern Miss	28	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -2	Southern Miss	57.0	Under
2008	08/30	Southern Miss	51	Louisiana	21	Southern Miss
2003	11/01	Southern Miss	48	Louisiana	3	Southern Miss
2001	09/22	Louisiana	10	Southern Miss	35	Southern Miss

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	1	0	2 Overs
Southern Miss	6	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0

(#119) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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Southern Miss Ratings Matchup Louisiana

Power #119

#86

Off #116

#41

Def #102

#107

Talent #111

#93

SP+ #118

#64

SP+ Off #85

#37

SP+ Def #125

#102

Rematch from Week 11
Louisiana -8.5 (51.5)
Southern Miss won at Louisiana this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat Southern Miss last year (23-13)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2023 (34-31)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2022 (39-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 73°

Team Information
Injuries: USM | ULL
Depth Chart: USM | ULL
Rosters: USM | ULL

(#86) Louisiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.74 #86
Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102
Talent Rating: 492.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Pittman	1	1	100%	25	0	0	25.0
Holman Edwards (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)	124	604	1	4.9	54
Chandler Pittman	2	7	0	3.5	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)	13	51	0	3.9	19
Chandler Pittman	8	51	0	6.4	25

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0
Kristin Booth	10	3	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0
Kristin Booth	10	3	2	2	0
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0

Louisiana's OC Tim Leger

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Wooldridge	192	291	66%	2453	17	6	8.4
Zeon Chriss	83	130	64%	824	4	8	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zeon Chriss	113	381	4	3.4	71
Ben Wooldridge	65	174	5	2.7	18
Chandler Fields	26	88	2	3.4	34
Lance LeGendre	1	10	0	10.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance LeGendre	49	826	6	16.9	48
Jacob Bernard	28	375	0	13.4	52
Tavion Smith	12	168	4	14.0	56
Dalen Cambre	5	46	0	9.2	13

View Louisiana's Full Roster

Louisiana's DC LaMar Morgan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3
Tyrone Lewis	76	3	1	0	2
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Amir McDaniel	56	5	1	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Narcisse	37	6	4	1	0
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
Amir McDaniel	56	5	1	4	1
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keyon Martin	56	2	0	2	6
Antoine Baylis	22	4	2	1	6
K.C. Ossai	115	3	1	3	3