Southern Miss at Louisiana - 2023 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Thursday, November 9th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Louisiana -8.5 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Southern Miss 34 - Louisiana: 31 (Sun Belt)

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULL is playing their 4th straight game
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana -13.5 (SP+ ULL -16)
Projected Score: USM: 20 - ULL: 34 (54)
ULL Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
USM Travel: 178 miles

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Alcorn State	-24.0	47.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss at Florida State	+31.0	54.0	L 13 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+8.0	47.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/23	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	-7.0	46.5	L 37 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+6.5	60.0	L 36 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-3.0	56.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+18.5	51.0	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss at App State	+16.0	55.5	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-3.0	56.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+8.5	51.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss at Mississippi State	+18.5	47.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss vs Troy	+16.5	48.5	L 17 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.11	39%	28.8	40%	2.8	142	39%	208	3.69	.1	36%	27.4	37%	37%	3.86	59.5	2	1.8
ULL	.13	40%	26	43%	3.2	144	38%	220	3.61	.17	41%	29.2	44%	38%	3.62	55.7	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	13	28.8	28.4	38.6%	3.69	2	18	349	142	208	3.9	53%	45%	40%	39%	19%	.11
ULL Defense	13	29.2	27.2	40.5%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	38%	15%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	13	27.4	27.6	36.4%	3.86	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	37%	18%	.1
ULL Offense	13	26	30.3	40.1%	3.61	1.3	20	364	144	220	4.1	48%	51%	43%	38%	15%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	13	28:38	17.9	34%	63%	6.7	59.5	2	1.8	7.8	3	3	32.3
Louisiana	13	29:30	19.6	39%	52%	6.5	55.7	1.3	2.2	4.5	2.1	3	31.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	13	53%	40%	36.6	141.7	3.9	15	.06	2.8	60%	13%	0.97
ULL Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.79	74%	13%	1.03
ULL Offense	13	48%	43%	35.2	144.4	4.1	10	.1	3.2	61%	8%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	13	45%	39%	14.7	26.6	207.5	7.8	14.1	20	14	.25	1.7	33%	26%	.26	6%	2.2
ULL Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.6	30%	33%	.43	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	13	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.18	1.7	36%	27%	.21	6%	2.1
ULL Offense	13	51%	38%	19.4	33.9	219.9	6.5	11.4	27	9	.19	1.5	31%	31%	.33	7%	2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.22 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 425.21 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -10.22 Louisiana: 0.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -15.2 Louisiana: 0.3

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 0.74 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 475.45 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 34
Southern Miss 20

Projected Total Points: 54

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Louisiana	10	Southern Miss	22	Southern Miss -4.5	Southern Miss	54.5	Under
2024	10/05	Southern Miss	13	Louisiana	23	Louisiana -17.5	Southern Miss	57.5	Under
2023	11/09	Louisiana	31	Southern Miss	34	Louisiana -8.5	Southern Miss	51.5	Over
2022	10/27	Southern Miss	39	Louisiana	24	Louisiana -2.5	Southern Miss	42.5	Over
2016	12/17	Louisiana	21	Southern Miss	28	Southern Mississippi -2	Southern Miss	57.0	Under
2008	08/30	Southern Miss	51	Louisiana	21
2003	11/01	Southern Miss	48	Louisiana	3
2001	09/22	Louisiana	10	Southern Miss	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	1	0	2 Overs
Southern Miss	7	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 5	2 - 3	0 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 0

(#119) USM at (#86) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#119	#86
SP+SP+	#118	#64
Perf GradeGrade	#123	#42
OffenseOff	#120	#29
DefenseDef	#105	#82
Spec TeamsST	#108	#41
TalentTal	#106	#96
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Southern Miss Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#120	#82
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#116	#107
SP+SP+	#85	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#55	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#120	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#85

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#123	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#117	#48
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#29	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#41	#102
SP+SP+	#37	#125
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#55	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#16	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#125

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#135
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#26	#53
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Louisiana -8.5 (51.5)
Southern Miss won at Louisiana this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat Louisiana last year (22-10)
Louisiana beat Southern Miss in 2024 (23-13)
Southern Miss beat Louisiana in 2023 (34-31)

USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Billy Wiles (Tr)	158	290	55%	1916	11	7	6.6
Ethan Crawford	19	38	50%	246	3	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Frank Gore Jr.	231	1131	10	4.9	75
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)	76	429	2	5.6	59
Kenyon Clay	40	179	1	4.5	28
Ethan Crawford	42	96	1	2.3	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jakarius Caston	33	621	6	18.8	80
Latreal Jones	36	498	3	13.8	43
Tiaquelin Mims	39	445	2	11.4	37
Frank Gore Jr.	27	221	3	8.2	33

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Dan O'Brien (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	72	1	1	0	1
Jay Stanley	55	2	0	0	5
Hayes Maples	51	1	1	3	0
Swayze Bozeman	51	4	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalil Clemons	26	10	6	6	1
Josh Ratcliff	28	4	4	0	0
Averie Habas	13	3	3	1	0
Ja'Len Sims	28	3	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jay Stanley	55	2	0	5
Markel McLaurin	31	3	2	5
MJ Daniels (Tr)	26	0	0	4

ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zeon Chriss	102	153	67%	1222	11	5	8.0
Chandler Fields	96	143	67%	1069	7	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Kibodi	129	729	7	5.7	69
Dre'Lyn Washington	92	515	2	5.6	62
Zeon Chriss	73	492	6	6.7	80
Zylan Perry	54	213	2	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Bernard	39	476	1	12.2	43
Peter Leblanc	30	468	4	15.6	87
Robert Williams	31	385	4	12.4	60
Neal Johnson	30	383	5	12.8	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	95	5	1	3	0
Jasper Williams	78	5	2	0	0
Tyrone Lewis	74	1	1	0	3
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	44	9	8	3	0
Jordan Lawson	43	9	7	4	0
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3
Tyler Guidry	26	8	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keyon Martin	53	1	7
Caleb Anderson	23	1	5
Shadwell Nkuba II	13	0	5