Alcorn State at Southern Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview

Alcorn State Braves at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -24 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Southern Miss 40 - Alcorn State: 14

Braves (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 40 (14 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -10 (SP+ USM -15)
USM Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (22 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALCN Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alcorn State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Alcorn State at Southern Miss	+24.0	47.5	L 14 - 40	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alcorn State's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Alcorn State	-24.0	47.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss at Florida State	+31.0	54.0	L 13 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+8.0	47.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/23	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	-7.0	46.5	L 37 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+6.5	60.0	L 36 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-3.0	56.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+18.5	51.0	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss at App State	+16.0	55.5	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-3.0	56.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+8.5	51.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss at Mississippi State	+18.5	47.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss vs Troy	+16.5	48.5	L 17 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALCN		0%	14	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	40	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM	#109 (.12)	37% (121)	23.2	40% (106)	2.89 (107)	163	34% (126)	191	3.07 (121)	#105 (.24)	42% (69)	35.8	41% (49)	45% (109)	4.15 (103)	48.2	1.3	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALCN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM	#132 ()	35% (130)		40% (108)	2.59 (126)	109	30% (133)	175	2.75 (133)	#125 (.3)	44% (97)		45% (89)	43% (93)	4.17 (104)	48.3	2.4	0.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALCN Offense	1	14	14	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USM Defense	12	35.8	24	42.2%	4.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	45%	16%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALCN Defense	1	40	40	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
USM Offense	12	23.2	22.2	36.7%	3.07	1.3	20	354	163	191	4	53%	46%	40%	34%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alcorn State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Southern Miss	12	33:15	20.3	38%	44%	6.3	48.2	1.3	1.4	4.5	2.1	2	28

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALCN Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
USM Defense	12	53% (106)	41% (49)	-	-	-	-	.22 (109)	3.21 (94)	67% (30)	10% (76)	1.24 (129)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALCN Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
USM Offense	12	53% (41)	40% (106)	40.5	163.4	4	16 (89)	.13 (80)	2.89 (107)	67% (109)	12% (109)	1.11 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALCN Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USM Defense	12	46% (27)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.32 (101)	1.7 (101)	31% (93)	33% (103)	.4 (106)	6% (63)	2.3 (123)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALCN Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
USM Offense	12	46% (92)	34% (126)	15.7	30.4	190.7	6.3	12.2	15 (96)	8 (30)	.14 (114)	1.7 (26)	36% (126)	28% (87)	.34 (67)	8% (117)	2.1 (49)

Alcorn State's Power Ratings
Alcorn State's Power Rating: #NR
Alcorn State's Offense Rating: #NR
Alcorn State's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #167
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Alcorn State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Alcorn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Alcorn State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Alcorn State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State: Southern Miss: -10.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State: Southern Miss: -15.2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.21 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Alcorn State Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 40 PPG
Defense on Road: 40

Alcorn State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 32
Alcorn State 22

Total Points: 54

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.2
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Southern Miss	40	Alcorn State	14	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -24	Southern Miss	47.5	Over
2019	08/31	Southern Miss	38	Alcorn State	10	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -27	Southern Miss	55.0	Under
2014	09/06	Southern Miss	26	Alcorn State	20	Southern Miss	Southern Mississippi -18	Alcorn State	0
2009	09/05	Southern Miss	52	Alcorn State	0	Southern Miss

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	4	2	1 Overs
Alcorn State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#NR) Alcorn State Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #167
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Alcorn State Highlights

Alcorn State Deficiencies
Alcorn State has a really bad Offense
Alcorn State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	USM	ALCN
OverallOver	#102	—
OffenseOff	#102	—
DefenseDef	#81	—
Special TeamsST	#86	—
PassingPass	#103	—
RushingRush	#39	—
Run BlockRBLK	#89	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#101	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#94	—
TacklingTkl	#107	—
Run DefenseR Def	#41	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#45	—
Coverage DefCov	#114	—

Rematch from Week 1
Southern Miss -24.0 (47.5)
Southern Miss won vs Alcorn State this year (40-14)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat Alcorn State in 2023 (40-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ALCN | USM
Depth Chart: ALCN | USM
Rosters: ALCN | USM

(#119) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -10.21 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is explosive (#57)

Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss offense is really bad (#78)
Southern Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#90)
Southern Miss offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#81)
Southern Miss run game is really bad (#99)
Southern Miss pass game is really bad (#56)
Southern Miss Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Southern Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#78)
Southern Miss has a bad red zone defense (#64)

Alcorn State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alcorn State's Full Roster

Alcorn State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Terreance Ellis	48	0	1
Edwin Summerour	11	0	0
Geoffrey McKelton	11	1	0
Jaquez Dew	10	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Stemarion Edwards	10	3	1	0
Terreance Ellis	48	0	0	1
Kobe Towns	5	1	0	0
Tyran Warren	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Andrew Smith	4	2
Terreance Ellis	48	1
Kole Williams	6	1

Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Billy Wiles (Tr)	158	290	55%	1916	11	7	6.6
Ethan Crawford	19	38	50%	246	3	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Frank Gore Jr.	231	1131	10	4.9	75
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)	76	429	2	5.6	59
Kenyon Clay	40	179	1	4.5	28
Ethan Crawford	42	96	1	2.3	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jakarius Caston	33	621	6	18.8	80
Latreal Jones	36	498	3	13.8	43
Tiaquelin Mims	39	445	2	11.4	37
Frank Gore Jr.	27	221	3	8.2	33

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	72	1	1	0	1
Jay Stanley	55	2	0	0	5
Hayes Maples	51	1	1	3	0
Swayze Bozeman	51	4	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalil Clemons	26	10	6	6	1
Josh Ratcliff	28	4	4	0	0
Averie Habas	13	3	3	1	0
Ja'Len Sims	28	3	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jay Stanley	55	2	0	5
Markel McLaurin	31	3	2	5
MJ Daniels (Tr)	26	0	0	4