Alcorn State at Southern Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview
Alcorn State logo   Alcorn State Braves at Southern Miss Golden Eagles  Southern Miss logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -24 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Southern Miss 40 - Alcorn State: 14

 
Braves (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 63 (0 - 63 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10  (SP+ USM -15)
USM Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alcorn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Alcorn State at Southern Miss+24.047.5L 14 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alcorn State's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Southern Miss vs Alcorn State-24.047.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Southern Miss at Florida State+31.054.0L 13 - 66ON
Sat 9/16 Southern Miss vs Tulane+8.047.5L 3 - 21UN
Sat 9/23 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-7.046.5L 37 - 44ON
Sat 9/30 Southern Miss vs Texas State+6.560.0L 36 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Southern Miss vs Old Dominion-3.056.5L 13 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 Southern Miss at South Alabama+18.551.0L 3 - 55ON
Sat 10/28 Southern Miss at App State+16.055.5L 38 - 48OY
Sat 11/4 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-3.056.0W 24 - 7UY
Thu 11/9 Southern Miss at Louisiana+8.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Southern Miss at Mississippi State+18.547.5L 20 - 41ON
Sat 11/25 Southern Miss vs Troy+16.548.5L 17 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALCN0%00%000%000%630%0%0000
USM.1139%28.840%2.814239%2083.69.136%27.437%37%3.8659.521.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALCN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALCN Offense1000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
USM Defense1327.427.336.4%3.861.8 - - - - - 50%48%37%37%18%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALCN Defense163630%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
USM Offense1328.830.938.6%3.692183491422083.953%45%40%39%19%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alcorn State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Southern Miss1328:3817.934%63%6.759.521.87.83332.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALCN Offense10%0%000000%0%0
USM Defense1350%37% - - - - .082.7974%13%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALCN Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
USM Offense1353%40%36.6141.73.915.062.860%13%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALCN Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
USM Defense1348%37% - - - - - - 16.181.736%27%.216%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALCN Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
USM Offense1345%39%14.726.6207.57.814.12014.251.733%26%.266%2.2

Alcorn State's Power Ratings
Alcorn State's Power Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Offense Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 96.02  #167
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alcorn State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Alcorn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Alcorn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 148.77
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State:    Southern Miss: -10.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alcorn State:    Southern Miss: -15.2




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.21  #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32  #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99  #102
2023 Talent Rating: 425.21  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2  #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Alcorn State Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Alcorn State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 47
Alcorn State 14

Projected Total Points: 61
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Southern Miss40Alcorn State14Southern Mississippi -24Southern Miss47.5Over
201908/31Southern Miss38Alcorn State10Southern Mississippi -27Southern Miss55.0Under
201409/06Southern Miss26Alcorn State20Southern Mississippi -18Alcorn State0
200909/05Southern Miss52Alcorn State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss421 Overs
Alcorn State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#) ALCN at (#119) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALCNUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #119
SP+SP+NR #118
Perf GradeGradeNR #123
OffenseOffNR #120
DefenseDefNR #105
Spec TeamsSTNR #108
TalentTal #167 #106
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Alcorn State on Offense
CategoryCat
ALCN OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #102
SP+SP+NR #125
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alcorn State Run Game
CategoryCat
ALCN OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNR #47
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #125
Alcorn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALCN OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNR #135
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #53
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffALCN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #120NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #116NR
SP+SP+ #85NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffALCN Def
Run GameRun #55NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #120 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffALCN Def
Pass GamePass #123NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #117NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

ALCN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Southern Miss -24.0 (47.5)
Southern Miss won vs Alcorn State this year (40-14)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat Alcorn State in 2023 (40-14)

  
ALCN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacorian Sewell13376465.799
Tyler Macon (Tr)31103.76
Tyran Warren3903.05
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyran Warren24442418.474
Jacorian Sewell134803.712
Tyler Macon (Tr)43809.520
Kole Williams42205.59

View Alcorn State's Full Roster

ALCN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Bailey224140
Malik Gaither60000
Kayvon Henderson40000
Stemarion Edwards31020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Bailey224140
Malik Gaither60000
Kayvon Henderson40000
Stemarion Edwards31020
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Bailey224140
Malik Gaither60000
Kayvon Henderson40000

USM's OC Sam Gregg (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Wiles (Tr)15829055%19161176.6
Ethan Crawford193850%246306.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Frank Gore Jr.2311131104.975
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)7642925.659
Kenyon Clay4017914.528
Ethan Crawford429612.316
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakarius Caston33621618.880
Latreal Jones36498313.843
Tiaquelin Mims39445211.437
Frank Gore Jr.2722138.233

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Dan O'Brien (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)721101
Jay Stanley552005
Hayes Maples511130
Swayze Bozeman514103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalil Clemons2610661
Josh Ratcliff284400
Averie Habas133310
Ja'Len Sims283220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Stanley552005
Markel McLaurin313205
MJ Daniels (Tr)260004