Louisiana at UAB - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
UAB -2 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisiana 41 - UAB: 21

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Louisiana -6 (SP+ ULL -15.5)
Projected Score: ULL: 33 - UAB: 27 (60)
UAB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ULL Travel: 383 miles

Blazers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Trent Dilfer (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (28 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
UAB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisiana vs Northwestern State	-35.0	54.5	W 38 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana at Old Dominion	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	Louisiana at UAB	+2.0	60.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Louisiana vs Buffalo	-10.5	57.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Louisiana at Minnesota	+9.5	49.0	L 24 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Louisiana vs Texas State	-1.0	67.5	W 34 - 30	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-3.0	62.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Louisiana at South Alabama	+11.5	55.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-9.0	60.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 11/9	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	-8.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana at Troy	+17.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-12.5	53.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/16	Louisiana vs Jacksonville State	+3.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

UAB's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UAB vs North Carolina A&T	-24.5	46.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UAB at Georgia Southern	+7.0	63.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/16	UAB vs Louisiana	-2.0	60.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	UAB at Georgia	+40.0	56.0	L 21 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UAB at Tulane	+22.5	59.5	L 23 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/7	UAB vs South Florida	+3.5	68.5	W 56 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UAB at UTSA	+9.0	67.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	UAB vs Memphis	+7.5	61.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	UAB vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	UAB at Navy	-3.5	52.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	UAB vs Temple	-8.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UAB at North Texas	+3.0	72.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.13	40%	26	43%	3.2	144	38%	220	3.61	.17	41%	29.2	44%	38%	3.62	55.7	1.3	2.2
UAB	.32	46%	26.4	48%	3.33	235	44%	203	4.05	.17	43%	38.3	48%	40%	3.25	60.5	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	13	26	23.8	40.1%	3.61	1.3	20	364	144	220	4.1	48%	51%	43%	38%	15%	.13
UAB Defense	13	38.3	37.7	43.4%	3.25	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	48%	40%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	13	29.2	32.8	40.5%	3.62	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	38%	15%	.17
UAB Offense	13	26.4	28.2	46%	4.05	1.4	21	438	235	203	5.8	60%	40%	48%	44%	16%	.32

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	13	29:30	19.6	39%	52%	6.5	55.7	1.3	2.2	4.5	2.1	3	31.1
UAB	13	31:55	21.2	45%	48%	7	60.5	1.4	1.5	4.7	1.9	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	13	48%	43%	35.2	144.4	4.1	10	.1	3.2	61%	8%	0.97
UAB Defense	13	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.31	78%	9%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	8%	1
UAB Offense	13	60%	48%	40.6	235.1	5.8	32	.3	3.33	73%	11%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	13	51%	38%	19.4	33.9	219.9	6.5	11.4	27	9	.19	1.5	31%	31%	.33	7%	2
UAB Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.12	1.5	30%	29%	.14	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.19	1.6	30%	33%	.43	7%	2
UAB Offense	13	40%	44%	14.9	24.7	203.2	8.2	13.6	15	7	.41	1.8	31%	35%	.45	4%	2.3

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -3.82 #86
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 19.41 #41
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 13.49 #107
2023 Talent Rating: 475.45 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Louisiana's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Louisiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #64
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #37
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #102

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: -3.82 UAB: -8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 0.3 UAB: -15.2

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -8 #96
UAB's Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
UAB's Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
2023 Talent Rating: 473.46 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UAB's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
UAB's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 33
UAB 27

Projected Total Points: 60

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.7

UAB's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	UAB	21	Louisiana	41	UAB -2	Louisiana	60.0	Over
2020	10/23	UAB	20	Louisiana	24	Louisiana -2.5	Louisiana	50.5	Under
2002	09/21	Louisiana	34	UAB	0
2000	09/29	UAB	47	Louisiana	2

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UAB	1	0	1 Overs
Louisiana	3	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#86) ULL at (#96) UAB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	UAB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#86	#96
SP+SP+	#64	#118
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#87
OffenseOff	#29	#57
DefenseDef	#82	#101
Spec TeamsST	#41	#131
TalentTal	#96	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Louisiana Injury Report

UAB Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	UAB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#29	#101
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#41	#126
SP+SP+	#37	#132
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#55	#108
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#16	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#69

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#26	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UAB on Offense


CategoryCat	UAB Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#82
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#18	#107
SP+SP+	#65	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UAB Run Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#21	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#85

UAB Pass Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#53
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#48	#48
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
UAB -2.0 (60.0)
Louisiana won at UAB this year (41-21)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana beat UAB in 2023 (41-21)

ULL's OC Tim Leger (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zeon Chriss	102	153	67%	1222	11	5	8.0
Chandler Fields	96	143	67%	1069	7	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Kibodi	129	729	7	5.7	69
Dre'Lyn Washington	92	515	2	5.6	62
Zeon Chriss	73	492	6	6.7	80
Zylan Perry	54	213	2	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Bernard	39	476	1	12.2	43
Peter Leblanc	30	468	4	15.6	87
Robert Williams	31	385	4	12.4	60
Neal Johnson	30	383	5	12.8	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC LaMar Morgan (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
K.C. Ossai	95	5	1	3	0
Jasper Williams	78	5	2	0	0
Tyrone Lewis	74	1	1	0	3
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Whitfield	44	9	8	3	0
Jordan Lawson	43	9	7	4	0
Kendre' Gant	64	12	6	3	3
Tyler Guidry	26	8	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keyon Martin	53	1	7
Caleb Anderson	23	1	5
Shadwell Nkuba II	13	0	5

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacob Zeno	279	379	74%	3126	20	9	8.2
Landy Lyddy	14	22	64%	121	1	3	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jermaine Brown Jr.	158	803	12	5.1	40
Lee Beebe	52	360	4	6.9	66
Isaiah Jacobs	55	249	3	4.5	26
Jacob Zeno	91	168	4	1.8	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tejhaun Palmer	47	858	7	18.3	80
Amare Thomas	53	437	3	8.2	49
Jermaine Brown Jr.	41	416	1	10.1	55
Fred Farrier II	18	266	1	14.8	67

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keondre Swoopes	72	0	0	0	1
Jackson Bratton	70	5	2	3	1
Michael Moore	62	6	1	3	1
Ike Rowell	54	0	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	30	8	6	3	2
Kevin Penn	43	5	4	4	0
Michael Fairbanks II	23	5	4	3	0
Nikia Eason Jr.	26	4	4	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Brian Mayes	41	1	10
Colby Dempsey	37	1	9
Mac McWilliams	52	2	8