Wake Forest at Syracuse - 2023 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Syracuse Orange

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Syracuse -3 (43.5) (-118) Open: -3.0
Syracuse 35 - Wake Forest: 31 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (19 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
SYR is playing their 5th straight game
WAKE is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Syracuse -9.5 (SP+ SYR -7)
Projected Score: WAKE: 17 - SYR: 27 (44)
SYR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WAKE Travel: 525 miles

Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 25 (34 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Wake Forest vs Elon	-33.5	53.5	W 37 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt	-9.5	55.0	W 36 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Wake Forest at Old Dominion	-13.5	60.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wake Forest at Clemson	+21.0	53.5	L 12 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wake Forest at Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	45.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+21.0	53.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Thu 11/2	Wake Forest at Duke	+6.5	41.0	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Wake Forest vs NC State	-0.5	42.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+22.5	47.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wake Forest at Syracuse	+3.0	43.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-40.0	49.5	W 65 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Syracuse vs Western Michigan	-24.5	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Syracuse at Purdue	-1.0	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Syracuse vs Army	-13.0	50.5	W 29 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/30	Syracuse vs Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9.5	59.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/14	Syracuse at Florida State	+18.5	53.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+2.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/3	Syracuse vs Boston College	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+4.5	37.5	W 28 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/25	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	-3.0	43.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/21	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#122 (.07)	41% (76)	20.3	42% (85)	2.97 (97)	130	42% (65)	196	3.03 (124)	#89 (.21)	41% (49)	27.2	40% (40)	42% (74)	4.25 (110)	38.8	1.8	1.3
SYR	#100 (.13)	40% (98)	23.5	41% (94)	2.98 (93)	172	39% (95)	172	3.38 (103)	#67 (.18)	44% (93)	25.4	47% (113)	41% (55)	3.33 (22)	61.6	1.8	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)		45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)		42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	12	20.3	18.5	41.4%	3.03	1.8	20	326	130	196	3.3	54%	45%	42%	42%	24%	.07
SYR Defense	13	25.4	17	43.8%	3.33	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	41%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	12	27.2	29.2	40.5%	4.25	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.21
SYR Offense	13	23.5	33.5	39.6%	3.38	1.8	18	344	172	172	4.2	61%	38%	41%	39%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	12	29:05	19.9	34%	42%	4.1	38.8	1.8	1.3	5.8	1.9	1	30.7
Syracuse	13	28:16	17.8	39%	50%	7.3	61.6	1.8	1.7	6	2.2	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	12	54% (35)	42% (85)	39	130.4	3.3	13 (108)	.02 (124)	2.97 (97)	63% (122)	15% (132)	0.79 (132)
SYR Defense	13	50% (63)	47% (113)	-	-	-	-	.13 (60)	3.13 (75)	79% (105)	12% (16)	0.8 (6)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	12	51% (79)	40% (40)	-	-	-	-	.06 (25)	3.11 (71)	64% (20)	11% (31)	0.89 (24)
SYR Offense	13	61% (10)	41% (94)	40.8	171.5	4.2	20 (61)	.12 (87)	2.98 (93)	71% (94)	12% (116)	1.04 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	12	45% (101)	42% (65)	16	26.8	196	7.3	12.3	14 (106)	12 (85)	.19 (98)	1.6 (81)	31% (53)	29% (77)	.24 (96)	9% (131)	1.9 (110)
SYR Defense	13	50% (76)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.25 (55)	1.6 (68)	31% (85)	30% (64)	.25 (37)	6% (78)	1.8 (6)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	12	48% (54)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.4 (120)	1.7 (113)	33% (53)	29% (46)	.4 (105)	5% (102)	2.3 (127)
SYR Offense	13	38% (124)	39% (95)	14.7	24.2	172.1	7.1	11.7	17 (85)	15 (116)	.22 (88)	1.5 (93)	31% (48)	27% (102)	.23 (101)	6% (83)	2.1 (64)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -7.40 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -7.40 Syracuse: 1.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -7.5 Syracuse: -1.0

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 1.845 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 27
Wake Forest 17

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Syracuse 24
Wake Forest 17

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Syracuse 28
Wake Forest 20

Total Points: 48

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/25	Syracuse	35	Wake Forest	31	Syracuse -3	Syracuse	43.5	Over
2022	11/19	Wake Forest	45	Syracuse	35	Wake Forest -9.5	Wake Forest	58.5	Over
2021	10/09	Syracuse	37	Wake Forest	40	Wake Forest -5.5	Syracuse	59.0	Over
2020	10/31	Syracuse	14	Wake Forest	38	Wake Forest -11.0	Wake Forest	0
2019	11/30	Syracuse	39	Wake Forest	30	Wake Forest -6.5	Syracuse	68.0	Over
2018	11/03	Wake Forest	24	Syracuse	41	Syracuse -6	Syracuse	77.0	Under
2017	11/11	Syracuse	43	Wake Forest	64	Wake Forest -2.5	Wake Forest	64.5	Over
2016	10/08	Wake Forest	28	Syracuse	9	Wake Forest -3	Wake Forest	53.5	Under
2015	09/12	Syracuse	30	Wake Forest	17	Syracuse -5.5	Syracuse	41.5	Over
2014	10/18	Wake Forest	7	Syracuse	30	Syracuse -4	Syracuse	0
2013	11/02	Syracuse	13	Wake Forest	0	Syracuse -3.5	Syracuse	0
2011	09/01	Syracuse	36	Wake Forest	29
2006	09/02	Wake Forest	20	Syracuse	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	7	7	6 Overs
Wake Forest	6	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	7 - 4	5 - 0	2 - 4
Road Teams	5 - 8	4 - 7	4 - 2	0 - 5

(#103) WAKE at (#65) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	SYR
Power RatePwr	#103	#65
SP+SP+	#92	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#56	#92
OffenseOff	#63	#115
DefenseDef	#45	#39
Spec TeamsST	#44	#88
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#63	#75

Wake Forest Injury Report

Syracuse Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	SYR Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	#39
SuccessSuc	#76	#93
ExplosiveExp	#123	#13
PPAPPA	#122	#67
PowerPwr	#123	#49
SP+SP+	#101	#50
Pts POPPO	#124	#22
HavocHav	#133	#30

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#123	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#113
Run ExplRExp	#132	#6
PPAExp	#124	#60
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#97	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#100	#70
TackleTak	-	#20

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	#65	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#81	#68
PPAExp	#98	#55
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#29	#101
F7 HavocF7	#132	#16
DB HavocDB	#131	#78

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	WAKE Def
Perf GradePerf	#115	#45
SuccessSuc	#98	#49
ExplosiveExp	#101	#82
PPAPPA	#100	#89
PowerPwr	#89	#80
SP+SP+	#82	#66
Pts POPPO	#103	#110
HavocHav	#108	#61

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#84	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#40
Run ExplRExp	#47	#24
PPAExp	#87	#25
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	#93	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#94
TackleTak	-	#16

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#62
Pass SuccessPSuc	#95	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#93	#113
PPAExp	#88	#120
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#66	#72
F7 HavocF7	#116	#31
DB HavocDB	#83	#102

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 41°

Rematch from Week 13
Syracuse -3.0 (43.5)
Syracuse won vs Wake Forest this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat Wake Forest in 2023 (35-31)
Wake Forest beat Syracuse in 2022 (45-35)

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mitch Griffis	123	207	59%	1539	9	8	7.4
Michael Kern	56	92	61%	645	4	2	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demond Claiborne	137	586	5	4.3	42
Justice Ellison	120	548	1	4.6	51
Tate Carney	49	244	4	5.0	74
Mitch Griffis	106	128	2	1.2	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks	59	653	4	11.1	33
Taylor Morin	41	617	2	15.0	61
Ke'Shawn Williams	38	384	1	10.1	34
Wesley Grimes	20	339	4	17.0	49

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Hazen	86	9	1	3	0
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Malik Mustapha	80	5	1	1	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasheen Davis	49	16	8	10	2
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Kendron Wayman	35	4	2	4	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caelen Carson	42	1	0	0	6
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5
Nick Andersen	33	1	1	1	3

SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Shrader	134	214	63%	1691	13	6	7.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson	26	51	51%	282	3	6	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	244	1063	9	4.4	56
Garrett Shrader	114	460	8	4.0	39
Dan Villari	55	326	2	5.9	38
Juwuan Price	48	166	0	3.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Alford	33	610	3	18.5	47
Umari Hatcher	32	482	3	15.1	48
Donovan Brown	27	321	1	11.9	86
Lequint Allen	38	210	1	5.5	26

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Alijah Clark	62	4	0	2	3
Derek Mcdonald	61	4	3	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevon Darton	43	8	5	3	0
Caleb Okechukwu	36	8	5	2	1
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Leon Lowery	45	8	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Isaiah Johnson	58	1	0	0	5
Jason Simmons Jr.	45	0	0	1	5