Georgia Tech at Wake Forest - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#18)Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -3.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia Tech 30 - Wake Forest: 16 (ACC)

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (5 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (28 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GT 2nd straight Road Game
WAKE is playing their 4th straight game
GT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Georgia Tech -5.5 (SP+ GT -6)
Projected Score: GT: 32 - WAKE: 26 (58)
WAKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
GT Travel: 285 miles

Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GT Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Georgia Tech vs Louisville	+7.0	49.5	L 34 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Georgia Tech vs South Carolina State	-44.0	53.5	W 48 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia Tech at Ole Miss	+17.0	61.5	L 23 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Tech at Wake Forest	+3.5	58.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Tech vs Bowling Green	-21.0	49.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia Tech at Miami	+19.0	57.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Georgia Tech vs Boston College	-5.5	57.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/28	Georgia Tech vs North Carolina	+12.0	65.5	W 46 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Tech at Virginia	+2.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Georgia Tech at Clemson	+17.5	55.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Tech vs Syracuse	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia Tech vs Georgia	+23.0	59.5	L 23 - 31	U	Y
Fri 12/22	Georgia Tech vs UCF	+6.0	66.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Wake Forest vs Elon	-33.5	53.5	W 37 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt	-9.5	55.0	W 36 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Wake Forest at Old Dominion	-13.5	60.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wake Forest at Clemson	+21.0	53.5	L 12 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wake Forest at Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	45.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+21.0	53.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Thu 11/2	Wake Forest at Duke	+6.5	41.0	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Wake Forest vs NC State	-0.5	42.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+22.5	47.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wake Forest at Syracuse	+3.0	43.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#32 (.28)	45% (36)	31.1	49% (19)	3.53 (6)	204	42% (62)	221	4.27 (31)	#100 (.23)	46% (119)	29.5	48% (120)	44% (100)	3.83 (72)	44.8	1.6	1.9
WAKE	#122 (.07)	41% (76)	20.3	42% (85)	2.97 (97)	130	42% (65)	196	3.03 (124)	#89 (.21)	41% (49)	27.2	40% (40)	42% (74)	4.25 (110)	38.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#36 (.24)	46% (29)		45% (47)	2.85 (100)	172	46% (25)	222	4.25 (35)	#65 (.16)	42% (77)		41% (50)	44% (99)	3.97 (85)	35.6	0.6	0.8
WAKE	#104 (.13)	42% (81)		43% (79)	3 (79)	131	41% (75)	240	3.2 (121)	#118 (.27)	51% (134)		48% (110)	53% (133)	4.12 (99)	45.9	1.8	1.4

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	13	31.1	28.4	45.1%	4.27	1.6	22	425	204	221	5.4	55%	43%	49%	42%	17%	.28
WAKE Defense	12	27.2	25.2	40.5%	4.25	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	13	29.5	28.6	45.7%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	48%	44%	18%	.23
WAKE Offense	12	20.3	22	41.4%	3.03	1.8	20	326	130	196	3.3	54%	45%	42%	42%	24%	.07

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	13	28:39	22.2	43%	52%	5.2	44.8	1.6	1.9	4.4	1.7	0	31.2
Wake Forest	12	29:05	19.9	34%	42%	4.1	38.8	1.8	1.3	5.8	1.9	1	30.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	13	55% (30)	49% (19)	37.8	203.8	5.4	24 (41)	.27 (12)	3.53 (6)	75% (52)	11% (78)	1.03 (49)
WAKE Defense	12	51% (79)	40% (40)	-	-	-	-	.06 (25)	3.11 (71)	64% (20)	11% (31)	0.89 (24)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	13	57% (128)	48% (120)	-	-	-	-	.24 (116)	3.49 (128)	87% (129)	10% (81)	0.97 (52)
WAKE Offense	12	54% (35)	42% (85)	39	130.4	3.3	13 (108)	.02 (124)	2.97 (97)	63% (122)	15% (132)	0.79 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	13	43% (107)	42% (62)	17.8	29.2	220.8	7.6	12.4	27 (25)	17 (127)	.37 (31)	1.8 (10)	30% (40)	32% (58)	.43 (36)	7% (102)	2.3 (8)
WAKE Defense	12	48% (54)	42% (74)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.4 (120)	1.7 (113)	33% (53)	29% (46)	.4 (105)	5% (102)	2.3 (127)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	13	42% (5)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.29 (86)	1.5 (41)	29% (124)	31% (88)	.32 (73)	8% (8)	2 (65)
WAKE Offense	12	45% (101)	42% (65)	16	26.8	196	7.3	12.3	14 (106)	12 (85)	.19 (98)	1.6 (81)	31% (53)	29% (77)	.24 (96)	9% (131)	1.9 (110)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 1.93 #50
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Georgia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Georgia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.93 Wake Forest: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: -1.3 Wake Forest: -7.5

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Georgia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 32
Wake Forest 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Wake Forest 37
Georgia Tech 25

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Tech 28
Wake Forest 25

Total Points: 53

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Wake Forest	29	Georgia Tech	30	Georgia Tech -13.5	Wake Forest	53.5	Over
2023	09/23	Wake Forest	16	Georgia Tech	30	Wake Forest -3.5	Georgia Tech	58.5	Under
2017	10/21	Georgia Tech	38	Wake Forest	24	Georgia Tech -3.5	Georgia Tech	49.0	Over
2010	10/02	Wake Forest	20	Georgia Tech	24
2009	11/07	Georgia Tech	30	Wake Forest	27
2006	12/02	Georgia Tech	6	Wake Forest	9
2005	11/05	Georgia Tech	30	Wake Forest	17
2003	10/11	Wake Forest	7	Georgia Tech	24
2002	10/05	Georgia Tech	21	Wake Forest	24
2001	11/17	Wake Forest	33	Georgia Tech	38
2000	10/13	Georgia Tech	52	Wake Forest	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	2	1	2 Overs
Georgia Tech	9	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 7	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#50) GT at (#103) WAKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GT	WAKE
Power RatePwr	#50	#103
SP+SP+	#69	#92
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#56
OffenseOff	#51	#63
DefenseDef	#94	#45
Spec TeamsST	#64	#44
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#41	#63

Georgia Tech Injury Report

Wake Forest Injury Report

Georgia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	GT Off	WAKE Def
Perf GradePerf	#51	#45
SuccessSuc	#36	#49
ExplosiveExp	#29	#82
PPAPPA	#32	#89
PowerPwr	#35	#80
SP+SP+	#45	#66
Pts POPPO	#31	#110
HavocHav	#92	#61

Georgia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#22	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	#19	#40
Run ExplRExp	#49	#24
PPAExp	#12	#25
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#71
Stuff RateStuff	#20	#94
TackleTak	-	#16

Georgia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#57	#62
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#74
Pass ExplPExl	#10	#113
PPAExp	#31	#120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#72
F7 HavocF7	#78	#31
DB HavocDB	#102	#102

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	GT Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	#94
SuccessSuc	#76	#119
ExplosiveExp	#123	#18
PPAPPA	#122	#100
PowerPwr	#123	#100
SP+SP+	#101	#93
Pts POPPO	#124	#72
HavocHav	#133	#34

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#123	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#120
Run ExplRExp	#132	#52
PPAExp	#124	#116
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#97	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#100	#106
TackleTak	-	#46

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#38
Pass SuccessPSuc	#65	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#81	#41
PPAExp	#98	#86
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#29	#80
F7 HavocF7	#132	#81
DB HavocDB	#131	#8

Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 67° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Wake Forest -3.5 (58.5)
Georgia Tech won at Wake Forest this year (30-16)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Wake Forest in 2023 (30-16)

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King (Tr)	226	367	62%	2842	27	16	7.7
Zach Pyron	4	8	50%	21	0	1	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	174	1059	7	6.1	67
Haynes King (Tr)	120	737	10	6.1	71
Dontae Smith	100	504	4	5.0	70
Trevion Cooley (Tr)	64	274	3	4.3	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	44	664	5	15.1	58
Malik Rutherford	46	502	4	10.9	55
Dominick Blaylock (Tr)	21	337	2	16.0	53
Christian Leary (Tr)	25	309	2	12.4	44

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	76	1	1	2	0
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6
Clayton Powell-Lee	62	1	0	0	2
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Kennard	49	11	6	1	0
Paul Moala	57	10	3	4	2
Andre White	21	3	3	0	0
D'Quan Douse	32	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9
KJ Wallace	39	2	1	1	7
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mitch Griffis	123	207	59%	1539	9	8	7.4
Michael Kern	56	92	61%	645	4	2	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demond Claiborne	137	586	5	4.3	42
Justice Ellison	120	548	1	4.6	51
Tate Carney	49	244	4	5.0	74
Mitch Griffis	106	128	2	1.2	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks	59	653	4	11.1	33
Taylor Morin	41	617	2	15.0	61
Ke'Shawn Williams	38	384	1	10.1	34
Wesley Grimes	20	339	4	17.0	49

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Hazen	86	9	1	3	0
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Malik Mustapha	80	5	1	1	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasheen Davis	49	16	8	10	2
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Kendron Wayman	35	4	2	4	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caelen Carson	42	1	0	0	6
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5
Nick Andersen	33	1	1	1	3