Northern Arizona at Arizona - 2023 Matchup Preview

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona Wildcats(#18)

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -28.5 (61.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Arizona 38 - Northern Arizona: 3

Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 38 (3 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Arizona -13.5 (SP+ ARIZ -12)
ARIZ Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAU Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northern Arizona at Arizona	+28.5	61.0	L 3 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Arizona's Schedule

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAU		0%	3	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARIZ	#10 (.34)	51% (6)	34.6	52% (5)	3.26 (40)	140	50% (10)	308	4.42 (29)	#57 (.16)	42% (67)	21.1	43% (71)	41% (62)	3.37 (29)	53	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)		37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)		45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAU Offense	1	3	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ARIZ Defense	13	21.1	16	41.9%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	43%	41%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAU Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ARIZ Offense	13	34.6	31.5	50.6%	4.42	1.1	23	448	140	308	4.6	43%	57%	52%	50%	14%	.34

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Arizona	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Arizona	13	30:50	23	49%	67%	6.3	53	1.1	1.4	5.3	2.4	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (21)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.12 (58)	3 (50)	75% (82)	11% (54)	0.97 (51)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ARIZ Offense	13	43% (112)	52% (5)	30.6	139.7	4.6	17 (81)	.21 (34)	3.26 (40)	74% (68)	9% (38)	0.9 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ARIZ Defense	13	53% (115)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.26 (57)	1.5 (48)	34% (38)	32% (95)	.25 (38)	6% (60)	2 (36)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ARIZ Offense	13	57% (20)	50% (10)	25.5	35.7	308.3	8.6	12.1	36 (5)	11 (68)	.47 (15)	1.6 (68)	29% (19)	41% (6)	.54 (13)	6% (69)	2 (103)

Northern Arizona's Power Ratings
Northern Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #149
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: -
Northern Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona: Arizona: 13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona: Arizona: 12.1

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 13.725 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northern Arizona Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 35
Northern Arizona 22

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona 31
Northern Arizona 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 35
Northern Arizona 11

Total Points: 46

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Arizona	22	Northern Arizona	10	Arizona -43	Northern Arizona	65.0	Under
2023	09/02	Arizona	38	Northern Arizona	3	Arizona -28.5	Arizona	61.0	Under
2021	09/18	Arizona	19	Northern Arizona	21	Arizona -26.5	Northern Arizona	53.5	Under
2019	09/07	Arizona	65	Northern Arizona	41	Arizona -28	Northern Arizona	63.5	Over
2017	09/02	Arizona	62	Northern Arizona	24	Arizona -26.5	Arizona	0
2015	09/19	Arizona	77	Northern Arizona	13	Arizona -35	Arizona	0
2013	08/30	Arizona	35	Northern Arizona	0	Arizona -35	Push	0
2011	09/03	Arizona	41	Northern Arizona	10
2009	09/12	Arizona	34	Northern Arizona	17
2007	09/08	Arizona	45	Northern Arizona	24
2005	09/10	Arizona	31	Northern Arizona	12
2004	09/04	Arizona	21	Northern Arizona	3
2002	08/31	Arizona	37	Northern Arizona	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	12	3	1 Overs
Northern Arizona	1	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 1	3 - 3	3 - 3	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 12	3 - 3	0 - 0	3 - 3

(#NR) NAU at (#20) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAU	ARIZ
Power RatePwr	NR	#20
SP+SP+	NR	#20
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#16
OffenseOff	NR	#8
DefenseDef	NR	#56
Spec TeamsST	NR	#63
TalentTal	#149	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#51

Northern Arizona Injury Report

Arizona Injury Report

Northern Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ARIZ Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#56
SuccessSuc	NR	#67
ExplosiveExp	NR	#58
PPAPPA	NR	#57
PowerPwr	NR	#53
SP+SP+	NR	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	#29
HavocHav	NR	#50

Northern Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#71
Run ExplRExp	NR	#51
PPAExp	NR	#58
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#50
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#37
TackleTak	-	#51

Northern Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAU Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#62
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#48
PPAExp	NR	#57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#81
F7 HavocF7	NR	#54
DB HavocDB	NR	#60

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	NAU Def
Perf GradePerf	#8	NR
SuccessSuc	#6	NR
ExplosiveExp	#76	NR
PPAPPA	#10	NR
PowerPwr	#6	NR
SP+SP+	#15	NR
Pts POPPO	#29	NR
HavocHav	#44	NR

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	NAU Def
Run GameRun	#8	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#5	NR
Run ExplRExp	#109	NR
PPAExp	#34	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#115	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	NAU Def
Pass GamePass	#14	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#10	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#68	NR
PPAExp	#15	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#4	NR
F7 HavocF7	#38	NR
DB HavocDB	#69	NR

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

NAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 89° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona -28.5 (61.0)
Arizona won vs Northern Arizona this year (38-3)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Northern Arizona last year (22-10)
Arizona beat Northern Arizona in 2023 (38-3)

NAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
PJ London	22	38	58%	261	1	3	6.9
Angel H Flores	7	11	64%	124	1	0	11.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Eastman	18	101	0	5.6	11
PJ London	20	92	1	4.6	15
BJ Fleming	3	42	0	14.0	18
Mikale Greer (Tr)	4	36	0	9.0	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Coleman Owen	78	1235	8	15.8	75
Bryzai White	42	579	4	13.8	50
Isaiah Eastman	20	238	1	11.9	46
BJ Fleming	13	177	1	13.6	62

View Northern Arizona's Full Roster

NAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Edward Rhambo	22	1	0	2
Alex McLaughlin	11	1	1	0
Tommy Ellis	9	2	1	0
Colby Humphrey	6	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Alex McLaughlin	11	1	1	0
Tommy Ellis	9	2	1	0
Edward Rhambo	22	1	0	2
Colby Humphrey	6	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Edward Rhambo	22	1	2
Colby Humphrey	6	0	1
Zach Lewis	3	1	1

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	241	333	72%	2869	25	6	8.6
Jayden de Laura	89	128	70%	1120	10	5	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	128	871	5	6.8	59
D.J. Williams	85	372	5	4.4	19
Michael Wiley	70	311	3	4.4	24
Rayshon Luke	37	153	1	4.1	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	90	1402	10	15.6	57
Jacob Cowing	89	839	13	9.4	57
Tanner McLachlan	45	528	4	11.7	36
Michael Wiley	28	306	5	10.9	40

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Dalton Johnson	86	6	2	1	1
Gunner Maldonado	79	1	0	0	1
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)	31	12	9	3	1
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Isaiah Ward	30	5	4	7	1
Russell Davis II	17	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tacario Davis	25	1	15
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	7
Treydan Stukes	55	4	7