Northern Arizona at Arizona - 2023 Matchup Preview
Northern Arizona logo   Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -28.5 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arizona 38 - Northern Arizona: 3

 
Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (19 - 38 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Arizona -13.5  (SP+ ARIZ -12)
ARIZ Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Northern Arizona at Arizona+28.561.0L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Arizona's Schedule
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43OY
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23OY
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAU0%190%000%000%380%0%0000
ARIZ.2948%31.553%3.3314445%3183.89.3653%19.357%51%4.48501.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAU Offense119190%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARIZ Defense1219.315.653.4%4.482.3 - - - - - 50%50%57%51%13%.36
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAU Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARIZ Offense1231.534.947.7%3.891.8244621443184.941%57%53%45%16%.29

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Arizona10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arizona1228:0324.142%43%5.4501.82.34.61.3027.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ARIZ Defense1250%57% - - - - .343.6379%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARIZ Offense1241%53%29.31444.919.223.3367%9%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARIZ Defense1250%51% - - - - - - 4.41.425%39%.565%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARIZ Offense1257%45%23.638.3318.48.313.52613.391.829%36%.497%2.3

Northern Arizona's Power Ratings
Northern Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 148.76  #149
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: -
Northern Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona:    Arizona: 13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona:    Arizona: 12.1




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 13.725  #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94  #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46  #53
2023 Talent Rating: 687.01  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1  #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Northern Arizona Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 36
Northern Arizona 22

Projected Total Points: 58
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Arizona22Northern Arizona10Arizona -43Northern Arizona65.0Under
202309/02Arizona38Northern Arizona3Arizona -28.5Arizona61.0Under
202109/18Arizona19Northern Arizona21Arizona -26.5Northern Arizona53.5Under
201909/07Arizona65Northern Arizona41Arizona -28Northern Arizona63.5Over
201709/02Arizona62Northern Arizona24Arizona -26.5Arizona0
201509/19Arizona77Northern Arizona13Arizona -35Arizona0
201308/30Arizona35Northern Arizona0Arizona -35Push0
201109/03Arizona41Northern Arizona10
200909/12Arizona34Northern Arizona17
200709/08Arizona45Northern Arizona24
200509/10Arizona31Northern Arizona12
200409/04Arizona21Northern Arizona3
200208/31Arizona37Northern Arizona3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona1231 Overs
Northern Arizona133 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 13 - 33 - 30 - 0
Road Teams1 - 123 - 30 - 03 - 3

(#) NAU at (#20) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAUARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #20
SP+SP+NR #20
Perf GradeGradeNR #16
OffenseOffNR #8
DefenseDefNR #56
Spec TeamsSTNR #63
TalentTal #149 #42
Blue ChipsBC%NR #51
Northern Arizona on Offense
CategoryCat
NAU OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #56
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #53
SP+SP+NR #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
NAU OffARIZ Def
Run GameRunNR #46
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #51
Northern Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAU OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePassNR #59
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffNAU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #8NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #6NR
SP+SP+ #15NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffNAU Def
Run GameRun #8NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffNAU Def
Pass GamePass #14NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #4NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

NAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Arizona -28.5 (61.0)
Arizona won vs Northern Arizona this year (38-3)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Northern Arizona in 2024 (22-10)
Arizona beat Northern Arizona in 2023 (38-3)

  
NAU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Adam Damante7010467%711546.8
Angel H Flores192868%195217.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Belcher10756625.346
Angel H Flores10752784.937
Isaiah Eastman82112.611
Elijah Taylor2603.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
BJ Fleming48817717.089
Isaiah Eastman35444112.747
Chase Belcher13194214.953
Myseth Currie276138.046

View Northern Arizona's Full Roster

NAU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin943006
Colby Humphrey532002
Edward Rhambo341006
Alani Ma'afu31000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Lewis31101
Alex McLaughlin943006
Colby Humphrey532002
Edward Rhambo341006
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin943006
Edward Rhambo341006
Colby Humphrey532002

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24133372%28692568.6
Jayden de Laura8912870%11201058.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman12887156.859
D.J. Williams8537254.419
Michael Wiley7031134.424
Rayshon Luke3715314.140
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan9014021015.657
Jacob Cowing89839139.457
Tanner McLachlan45528411.736
Michael Wiley28306510.940

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Manu104107102
Dalton Johnson866211
Gunner Maldonado791001
Ephesians Prysock641007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)3112931
Jacob Manu104107102
Isaiah Ward305471
Russell Davis II176420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tacario Davis2510015
Ephesians Prysock641007
Treydan Stukes554007