Northern Arizona at Arizona - 2023 Matchup Preview
Northern Arizona logo Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -28.5 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arizona 38 - Northern Arizona: 3

 
Lumberjacks (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 38 (3 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Arizona -13.5   (SP+ ARIZ -12)
ARIZ Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Northern Arizona at Arizona+28.561.0L 3 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Arizona's Schedule
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43OY
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23OY
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAU0%30%000%000%380%0%0000
ARIZ#10 (.34)51% (6)34.652% (5)3.26 (40)14050% (10)3084.42 (29)#57 (.16)42% (67)21.143% (71)41% (62)3.37 (29)531.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAU Offense1330%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARIZ Defense1321.11641.9%3.371.4 - - - - - 46%53%43%41%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAU Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARIZ Offense1334.631.550.6%4.421.1234481403084.643%57%52%50%14%.34

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Arizona10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arizona1330:502349%67%6.3531.11.45.32.4129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ARIZ Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .12 (58)3 (50)75% (82)11% (54)0.97 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARIZ Offense1343% (112)52% (5)30.6139.74.617 (81).21 (34)3.26 (40)74% (68)9% (38)0.9 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARIZ Defense1353% (115)41% (62) - - - - - - 9 (87).26 (57)1.5 (48)34% (38)32% (95).25 (38)6% (60)2 (36)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARIZ Offense1357% (20)50% (10)25.535.7308.38.612.136 (5)11 (68).47 (15)1.6 (68)29% (19)41% (6).54 (13)6% (69)2 (103)

Northern Arizona's Power Ratings
Northern Arizona's Power Rating: #NR
Northern Arizona's Offense Rating: #NR
Northern Arizona's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #149
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Northern Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: -
Northern Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona:    Arizona: 13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona:    Arizona: 12.1




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 13.725 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Northern Arizona Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 34
Northern Arizona 20

Total Points: 54

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Arizona22Northern Arizona10ArizonaArizona -43Northern Arizona65.0Under
202309/02Arizona38Northern Arizona3ArizonaArizona -28.5Arizona61.0Under
202109/18Arizona19Northern Arizona21Northern ArizonaArizona -26.5Northern Arizona53.5Under
201909/07Arizona65Northern Arizona41ArizonaArizona -28Northern Arizona63.5Over
201709/02Arizona62Northern Arizona24ArizonaArizona -26.5Arizona0
201509/19Arizona77Northern Arizona13ArizonaArizona -35Arizona0
201308/30Arizona35Northern Arizona0ArizonaArizona -35Push0
201109/03Arizona41Northern Arizona10Arizona
200909/12Arizona34Northern Arizona17Arizona
200709/08Arizona45Northern Arizona24Arizona
200509/10Arizona31Northern Arizona12Arizona
200409/04Arizona21Northern Arizona3Arizona
200208/31Arizona37Northern Arizona3Arizona
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona1231 Overs
Northern Arizona133 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 13 - 33 - 30 - 0
Road Teams1 - 123 - 30 - 03 - 3

(#NR) Northern Arizona Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #149
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Northern Arizona Highlights

Northern Arizona Deficiencies
Northern Arizona has a really bad Offense
Northern Arizona Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARIZNAU
OverallOver#13—
OffenseOff#8—
DefenseDef#48—
Special TeamsST#51—
PassingPass#13—
RushingRush#8—
Run BlockRBLK#59—
Pass BlockPBLK#4—
Route RunningWR Rt#5—
TacklingTkl#45—
Run DefenseR Def#40—
Pass Rush DefPRush#64—
Coverage DefCov#48—

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona -28.5 (61.0)
Arizona won vs Northern Arizona this year (38-3)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Northern Arizona last year (22-10)
Arizona beat Northern Arizona in 2023 (38-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NAU | ARIZ
Depth Chart: NAU | ARIZ
Rosters: NAU | ARIZ
(#20) Arizona Info
Power Rating: 13.725 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90


Record at home: 5 - 1 (6 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona Highlights
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Arizona offense is efficent (#96)
Arizona offense is good in red zone (#118)
Arizona offense is good on 3rd downs
Arizona defense is really good in red zone (#3)
Arizona has a great TO Margin (#28)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#87)


  
Northern Arizona's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
PJ London223858%261136.9
Angel H Flores71164%1241011.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Eastman1810105.611
PJ London209214.615
BJ Fleming342014.018
Mikale Greer (Tr)43609.014
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Coleman Owen781235815.875
Bryzai White42579413.850
Isaiah Eastman20238111.946
BJ Fleming13177113.662

View Northern Arizona's Full Roster
Northern Arizona's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edward Rhambo221002
Alex McLaughlin111100
Tommy Ellis92100
Colby Humphrey60001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex McLaughlin111100
Tommy Ellis92100
Edward Rhambo221002
Colby Humphrey60001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edward Rhambo221002
Colby Humphrey60001
Zach Lewis31001

Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24133372%28692568.6
Jayden de Laura8912870%11201058.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman12887156.859
D.J. Williams8537254.419
Michael Wiley7031134.424
Rayshon Luke3715314.140
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan9014021015.657
Jacob Cowing89839139.457
Tanner McLachlan45528411.736
Michael Wiley28306510.940

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Manu104107102
Dalton Johnson866211
Gunner Maldonado791001
Ephesians Prysock641007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)3112931
Jacob Manu104107102
Isaiah Ward305471
Russell Davis II176420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tacario Davis2510015
Ephesians Prysock641007
Treydan Stukes554007