Ohio State at Indiana - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers(#2)

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -30 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio State 23 - Indiana: 3 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 11 (27 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ohio State -29.5 (SP+ OSU -34)
Projected Score: OSU: 42 - IND: 13 (55)
OSU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 54%
OSU Travel: 195 miles

Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 22 - 30 (21 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ohio State at Indiana	-30.0	59.0	W 23 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio State vs Youngstown State	-45.5	56.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Ohio State vs Western Kentucky	-29.5	65.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio State at Notre Dame	-3.0	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio State vs Maryland	-17.0	56.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio State at Purdue	-17.5	53.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ohio State vs Penn State	-4.0	47.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-14.5	48.0	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/4	Ohio State at Rutgers	-19.0	42.5	W 35 - 16	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-30.5	48.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ohio State vs Minnesota	-27.5	51.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ohio State at Michigan	+3.0	47.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/29	Ohio State vs Missouri	-4.0	51.0	L 3 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Indiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Indiana vs Ohio State	+30.0	59.0	L 3 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/8	Indiana vs Indiana State	-31.0	44.0	W 41 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Indiana vs Louisville	+10.0	51.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Indiana vs Akron	-16.5	45.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/30	Indiana at Maryland	+14.5	50.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Indiana at Michigan	+33.5	45.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	Indiana vs Rutgers	+6.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Indiana at Penn State	+31.0	45.0	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Indiana vs Wisconsin	+9.5	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Indiana at Illinois	+4.5	43.5	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-3.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Indiana at Purdue	+2.5	55.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	30.5	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	11.2	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8
IND	#106 (.12)	41% (85)	22.2	39% (117)	3.26 (38)	121	44% (48)	212	3.11 (119)	#103 (.24)	46% (120)	29.9	47% (109)	45% (118)	4.08 (95)	51	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1
IND	#6 (.33)	52% (2)		50% (13)	3.09 (55)	166	56% (2)	261	5.03 (1)	#19 (.09)	38% (24)		35% (7)	40% (70)	3.66 (55)	43.9	0.7	1.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	30.5	27.3	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31
IND Defense	12	29.9	21	45.8%	4.08	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	45%	17%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	11.2	13.3	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03
IND Offense	12	22.2	21.3	40.9%	3.11	1.5	20	334	121	212	3.4	50%	49%	39%	44%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8
Indiana	12	29:25	19.7	37%	35%	5.5	51	1.5	1	6.1	1.8	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)
IND Defense	12	52% (96)	47% (109)	-	-	-	-	.14 (65)	3.24 (100)	75% (80)	10% (58)	0.85 (14)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)
IND Offense	12	50% (68)	39% (117)	36.2	121.3	3.4	13 (108)	.07 (112)	3.26 (38)	69% (105)	11% (83)	0.91 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)
IND Defense	12	47% (36)	45% (118)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (117)	1.6 (77)	29% (115)	33% (104)	.41 (110)	6% (69)	2.2 (103)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)
IND Offense	12	49% (70)	44% (48)	17.9	30.5	212.3	7	11.9	18 (81)	10 (56)	.26 (76)	1.5 (119)	30% (43)	28% (91)	.16 (118)	6% (82)	1.9 (107)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40 Indiana: -4.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7 Indiana: -7.4

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -4.57 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 11.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 42
Indiana 13

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 36
Indiana 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 27
Indiana 17

Total Points: 44

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.3
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	12/06	Ohio State	10	Indiana	13	Ohio State -5.5	Indiana	48.5	Under
2024	11/23	Ohio State	38	Indiana	15	Ohio State -10.5	Ohio State	52.5	Over
2023	09/02	Indiana	3	Ohio State	23	Ohio State -30	Indiana	59.0	Under
2022	11/12	Ohio State	56	Indiana	14	Ohio State -40	Ohio State	62.0	Over
2021	10/23	Indiana	7	Ohio State	54	Ohio State -21	Ohio State	59.0	Over
2020	11/21	Ohio State	42	Indiana	35	Ohio State -21.0	Indiana	67.0	Over
2019	09/14	Indiana	10	Ohio State	51	Ohio State -17	Ohio State	60.5	Over
2018	10/06	Ohio State	49	Indiana	26	Ohio State -27.5	Indiana	63.0	Over
2017	08/31	Indiana	21	Ohio State	49	Ohio State -21	Ohio State	56.5	Over
2016	10/08	Ohio State	38	Indiana	17	Ohio State -32	Indiana	60.5	Under
2015	10/03	Indiana	27	Ohio State	34	Ohio State -17.5	Indiana	64.5	Under
2014	11/22	Ohio State	42	Indiana	27	Ohio State -30	Indiana	0
2013	11/23	Ohio State	42	Indiana	14	Ohio State -31.5	Indiana	0
2012	10/13	Indiana	49	Ohio State	52
2011	11/05	Ohio State	34	Indiana	20
2010	10/09	Ohio State	38	Indiana	10
2009	10/03	Indiana	14	Ohio State	33
2006	10/21	Ohio State	44	Indiana	3
2005	10/22	Indiana	10	Ohio State	41
2004	10/23	Ohio State	30	Indiana	7
2003	10/25	Indiana	6	Ohio State	35
2002	09/28	Ohio State	45	Indiana	17
2001	09/29	Indiana	14	Ohio State	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	1	8	7 Overs
Ohio State	22	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 11	4 - 9	2 - 6	2 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 12	9 - 4	3 - 2	6 - 2

(#3) OSU at (#98) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	IND
Power RatePwr	#3	#98
SP+SP+	#3	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#7	#101
OffenseOff	#19	#96
DefenseDef	#7	#104
Spec TeamsST	#14	#83
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#41

Ohio State Injury Report

Indiana Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	IND Def
Perf GradePerf	#19	#104
SuccessSuc	#22	#120
ExplosiveExp	#78	#26
PPAPPA	#14	#103
PowerPwr	#13	#114
SP+SP+	#25	#72
Pts POPPO	#36	#95
HavocHav	#29	#59

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#30	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#49	#109
Run ExplRExp	#126	#14
PPAExp	#72	#65
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#57	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#81
TackleTak	-	#64

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	#12	#118
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#77
PPAExp	#10	#117
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#64	#132
F7 HavocF7	#14	#58
DB HavocDB	#95	#69

Indiana on Offense


CategoryCat	IND Off	OSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#96	#7
SuccessSuc	#85	#11
ExplosiveExp	#114	#11
PPAPPA	#106	#5
PowerPwr	#95	#6
SP+SP+	#103	#3
Pts POPPO	#119	#5
HavocHav	#88	#85

Indiana Run Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#130	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#117	#12
Run ExplRExp	#108	#56
PPAExp	#112	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#52
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#86
TackleTak	-	#6

Indiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#80	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#119	#2
PPAExp	#76	#1
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#104	#12
F7 HavocF7	#83	#103
DB HavocDB	#82	#47

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 88° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Ohio State 30.0 (59.0)
Ohio State won at Indiana this year (23-3)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Indiana last year (38-15)
Ohio State beat Indiana in 2023 (23-3)
Ohio State beat Indiana in 2022 (56-14)

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord	229	348	66%	3170	24	6	9.1
Devin Brown	16	28	57%	217	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TreVeyon Henderson	156	926	11	5.9	75
DeaMonte Trayanum	85	373	3	4.4	40
Xavier Johnson	28	190	0	6.8	27
Miyan Williams	49	158	3	3.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marvin Harrison Jr.	67	1211	14	18.1	75
Cade Stover	41	576	5	14.0	49
Emeka Egbuka	41	514	4	12.5	28
Julian Fleming	26	271	0	10.4	37

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steele Chambers	83	2	0	1	1
Tommy Eichenberg	80	3	1	4	0
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	0	5
Cody Simon	57	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Sawyer	48	10	7	3	2
J.T. Tuimoloau	38	7	5	6	2
Tyleik Williams	54	10	3	1	5
Sonny Styles	53	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Denzel Burke	24	3	0	8
Josh Proctor	47	4	1	8
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	5

IND's OC Walt Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	135	236	57%	1582	15	5	6.7
Tayven Jackson (Tr)	78	128	61%	914	2	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trenten Howland	76	354	2	4.7	19
Josh Henderson	81	337	2	4.2	29
Brendan Sorsby	113	291	4	2.6	25
Jaylin Lucas	67	275	2	4.1	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donaven McCulley	48	644	6	13.4	69
Dequece Carter (Tr)	27	395	3	14.6	90
Cam Camper	17	285	1	16.8	41
E.J. Williams (Tr)	23	276	0	12.0	27

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Matt Guerrieri (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Louis Moore	84	1	0	0	1
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	0	3	4
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Lanell Carr (Tr)	33	9	5	2	2
Andre Carter (Tr)	49	11	2	3	3
Myles Jackson	25	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	6
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	3	4
Kobee Minor (Tr)	29	0	0	4