Purdue at Wisconsin - 2022 Matchup Preview

Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -1.5 (51.5)
Wisconsin 35 - Purdue: 24 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS is playing their 8th straight game
PUR is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ WIS -1)
Projected Score: PUR: 19 - WIS: 24 (43)
WIS Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
PUR Travel: 223 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (65 - 23)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Purdue vs Penn State	+3.5	53.5	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Purdue vs Indiana State	-37.0	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Purdue at Syracuse	+1.5	59.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/24	Purdue vs Florida Atlantic	-16.0	57.0	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Purdue at Minnesota	+9.0	53.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Purdue at Maryland	+3.0	59.5	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Purdue vs Nebraska	-14.0	56.0	W 43 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/22	Purdue at Wisconsin	+1.5	51.5	L 24 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Purdue vs Iowa	-3.5	39.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/12	Purdue at Illinois	+6.0	44.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Purdue vs Northwestern	-17.5	44.5	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/26	Purdue at Indiana	-10.0	52.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Purdue vs Michigan	+16.0	53.0	L 22 - 43	O	N
Mon 1/2	Purdue vs LSU	+15.0	54.0	L 7 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Wisconsin vs Illinois State	-36.5	42.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wisconsin vs Washington State	-17.5	48.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/17	Wisconsin vs New Mexico State	-38.0	45.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Wisconsin at Ohio State	+19.0	56.5	L 21 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/1	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-6.5	43.0	L 10 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-10.0	44.5	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Wisconsin at Michigan State	-7.0	49.5	L 28 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/22	Wisconsin vs Purdue	-1.5	51.5	W 35 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Wisconsin vs Maryland	-5.0	47.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Wisconsin at Iowa	+1.0	35.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Wisconsin at Nebraska	-10.0	40.5	W 15 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/26	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-3.0	37.0	L 16 - 23	O	N
Tue 12/27	Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State	-5.0	45.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	.23	46%	18.8	44%	2.79	84	47%	355	3.93	.17	40%	31.8	41%	38%	3.46	42.8	1.5	1.3
WIS	.14	45%	12.8	47%	3.15	211	42%	160	3.07	.02	33%	21.6	33%	33%	2.87	43.6	1.8	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	13	18.8	15.8	46%	3.93	1.5	24	440	84	355	2.8	35%	64%	44%	47%	15%	.23
WIS Defense	13	21.6	18.3	32.9%	2.87	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	33%	33%	21%	.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	13	31.8	34.4	39.8%	3.46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	38%	18%	.17
WIS Offense	13	12.8	15.6	44.5%	3.07	1.8	20	371	211	160	4.8	62%	38%	47%	42%	13%	.14

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	13	31:57	23.9	44%	53%	4.5	42.8	1.5	1.3	5.9	1.9	1	28.1
Wisconsin	13	33:47	20.1	34%	55%	5.4	43.6	1.8	2.1	7	3	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	13	35%	44%	30.2	84.2	2.8	7	-.04	2.79	68%	10%	0.57
WIS Defense	13	49%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.11	73%	14%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	13	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.9	64%	11%	0.97
WIS Offense	13	62%	47%	43.6	210.9	4.8	26	.16	3.15	70%	8%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	13	64%	47%	31.3	44.3	355.4	8	11.4	35	12	.39	1.5	29%	38%	.52	6%	2.1
WIS Defense	13	51%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.08	1.6	38%	28%	.26	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.25	1.8	32%	27%	.18	7%	1.9
WIS Offense	13	38%	42%	13.6	23.1	160.2	6.9	11.8	11	13	.14	1.4	27%	32%	.16	5%	1.6

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: Wisconsin: 6.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 7.7 Wisconsin: 8.3

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 6.65 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #42
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #68
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 24
Purdue 19

Projected Total Points: 43

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Wisconsin	52	Purdue	6	Wisconsin -12	Wisconsin	44.5	Over
2023	09/22	Purdue	17	Wisconsin	38	Wisconsin -5.5	Wisconsin	54.0	Over
2022	10/22	Wisconsin	35	Purdue	24	Wisconsin -1.5	Wisconsin	51.5	Over
2021	10/23	Purdue	13	Wisconsin	30	Wisconsin -3.5	Wisconsin	41.0	Over
2019	11/23	Wisconsin	45	Purdue	24	Wisconsin -24.5	Purdue	49.0	Over
2018	11/17	Purdue	44	Wisconsin	47	Purdue -3.5	Wisconsin	56.0	Over
2017	10/14	Wisconsin	17	Purdue	9	Wisconsin -17	Purdue	49.5	Under
2016	11/19	Purdue	20	Wisconsin	49	Wisconsin -26.5	Wisconsin	48.5	Over
2015	10/17	Wisconsin	24	Purdue	7	Wisconsin -20.5	Purdue	51.5	Under
2014	11/08	Purdue	16	Wisconsin	34	Wisconsin -15.5	Wisconsin	0
2013	09/21	Wisconsin	41	Purdue	10	Wisconsin -23	Wisconsin	0
2012	10/13	Purdue	14	Wisconsin	38
2011	11/05	Wisconsin	62	Purdue	17
2010	11/06	Purdue	13	Wisconsin	34
2009	10/31	Wisconsin	37	Purdue	0
2006	10/21	Purdue	3	Wisconsin	24
2005	10/22	Wisconsin	31	Purdue	20
2004	10/16	Purdue	17	Wisconsin	20
2003	10/18	Wisconsin	23	Purdue	26
2000	10/20	Wisconsin	24	Purdue	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	18	8	7 Overs
Purdue	2	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 11	3 - 8	3 - 4	0 - 4
Road Teams	11 - 9	8 - 3	4 - 0	4 - 3

(#) PUR at (#) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	WIS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#42
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#27
OffenseOff	#80	#47
DefenseDef	#112	#26
Spec TeamsST	#88	#34
TalentTal	#51	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Purdue Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	WIS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#26
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#91	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#75

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#69	#37
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PUR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#112
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#39
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#74	#115
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#15	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Wisconsin -1.5 (51.5)
Wisconsin won vs Purdue this year (35-24)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Purdue in 2024 (52-6)
Wisconsin beat Purdue in 2023 (38-17)

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WIS's OC Bobby Engram (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD