Purdue at Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines  Michigan logo
Saturday, December 3rd 2022 (8:00 PM EST)
Michigan -16 (53.0)
Michigan 43 - Purdue: 22  (Big Ten Championship Game)

 
Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR 2nd straight Road Game
MICH is playing their 6th straight game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ MICH -24)
Projected Score: PUR: 17 - MICH: 31 (48)
MICH Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
PUR Travel: 61 miles
Wolverines (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (61 - 24)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Purdue vs Penn State+3.553.5L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Indiana State-37.054.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/17 Purdue at Syracuse+1.559.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Florida Atlantic-16.057.0W 28 - 26UN
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Minnesota+9.053.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Maryland+3.059.5W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Nebraska-14.056.0W 43 - 37ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Wisconsin+1.551.5L 24 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Purdue vs Iowa-3.539.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/12 Purdue at Illinois+6.044.0W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Northwestern-17.544.5W 17 - 9UN
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana-10.052.5W 30 - 16UY
Sat 12/3 Purdue vs Michigan+16.053.0L 22 - 43ON
Mon 1/2 Purdue vs LSU+15.054.0L 7 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Michigan's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Michigan vs Colorado State-31.060.5W 51 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Michigan vs Hawai'i-52.566.5W 56 - 10UN
Sat 9/17 Michigan vs UConn-47.559.0W 59 - 0UY
Sat 9/24 Michigan vs Maryland-17.066.0W 34 - 27UN
Sat 10/1 Michigan at Iowa-10.542.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/8 Michigan at Indiana-23.557.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 10/15 Michigan vs Penn State-7.049.0W 41 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Michigan vs Michigan State-22.055.0W 29 - 7UN
Sat 11/5 Michigan at Rutgers-26.045.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/12 Michigan vs Nebraska-30.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Michigan vs Illinois-17.041.5W 19 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 Michigan at Ohio State+9.056.0W 45 - 23OY
Sat 12/3 Michigan vs Purdue-16.053.0W 43 - 22OY
Sat 12/31 Michigan vs TCU-8.056.0L 45 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.2346%18.844%2.798447%3553.93.1740%31.841%38%3.4642.81.51.3
MICH.2747%27.549%3.1821443%2294.15.1238%20.439%38%3.0341.511.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1318.815.846%3.931.524440843552.835%64%44%47%15%.23
MICH Defense1420.413.338.3%3.031.2 - - - - - 46%54%39%38%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1331.834.439.8%3.461.3 - - - - - 53%47%41%38%18%.17
MICH Offense1427.529.246.5%4.151224432142295.257%43%49%43%10%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1331:5723.944%53%4.542.81.51.35.91.9128.1
Michigan1431:2121.846%52%4.941.511.25.12.4231.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1335%44%30.284.22.87-.042.7968%10%0.57
MICH Defense1446%39% - - - - .052.7866%10%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1353%41% - - - - .12.964%11%0.97
MICH Offense1457%49%41.1214.45.239.223.1879%5%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1364%47%31.344.3355.4811.43512.391.529%38%.526%2.1
MICH Defense1454%38% - - - - - - 8.181.533%26%.167%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1347%38% - - - - - - 13.251.832%27%.187%1.9
MICH Offense1443%43%17.728.2228.78.112.9219.331.628%39%.555%2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Michigan: 16

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 7.7   Michigan: 32.0




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 16 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.0  #2
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.6  #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 31
Purdue 17

Projected Total Points: 48
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Michigan21Purdue16Michigan -21Purdue48.5Under
202311/04Michigan41Purdue13Michigan -32.5Purdue52.5Over
202212/03Michigan43Purdue22Michigan -16Michigan53.0Over
201709/23Purdue10Michigan28Michigan -13Michigan51.0Under
201210/06Purdue13Michigan44
201110/29Michigan36Purdue14
201011/13Purdue16Michigan27
200911/07Michigan36Purdue38
200811/01Purdue48Michigan42
200710/13Michigan48Purdue21
200410/23Purdue14Michigan16
200310/25Michigan31Purdue3
200210/19Purdue21Michigan23
200110/13Michigan24Purdue10
200010/06Purdue32Michigan31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1222 Overs
Purdue322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 61 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams6 - 93 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#) PUR at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #2
Perf GradeGrade #105 #2
OffenseOff #80 #10
DefenseDef #112 #2
Spec TeamsST #88 #27
TalentTal #51 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #2
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #91 #2
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #2
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #90 #2
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #69 #17
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #10 #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #1 #115
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #54 #104
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Michigan -16.0 (53.0)
Michigan won vs Purdue this year (43-22)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Purdue last year (21-16)
Michigan beat Purdue in 2023 (41-13)

  
PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD