Iowa at Purdue - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -3.5 (39.5)
Iowa 24 - Purdue: 3 (Big Ten)

Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (177 - 110)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PUR coming off BYE
Our Line: -0 (SP+ IOWA -5)
Projected Score: IOWA: 30 - PUR: 19 (49)
PUR Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
IOWA Travel: 256 miles, 1 hrs behind

Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IOWA Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Iowa vs South Dakota State	-11.0	42.5	W 7 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/10	Iowa vs Iowa State	-3.5	39.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/17	Iowa vs Nevada	-24.0	39.0	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Iowa at Rutgers	-7.5	34.5	W 27 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Iowa vs Michigan	+10.5	42.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/8	Iowa at Illinois	+3.5	36.5	L 6 - 9	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Iowa at Ohio State	+29.5	50.0	L 10 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/29	Iowa vs Northwestern	-11.5	37.0	W 33 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Iowa at Purdue	+3.5	39.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Iowa vs Wisconsin	-1.0	35.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Iowa at Minnesota	+2.0	31.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Iowa vs Nebraska	-10.5	38.0	L 17 - 24	O	N
Sat 12/31	Iowa vs Kentucky	-3.0	31.5	W 21 - 0	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Purdue's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Purdue vs Penn State	+3.5	53.5	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Purdue vs Indiana State	-37.0	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Purdue at Syracuse	+1.5	59.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/24	Purdue vs Florida Atlantic	-16.0	57.0	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Purdue at Minnesota	+9.0	53.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Purdue at Maryland	+3.0	59.5	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Purdue vs Nebraska	-14.0	56.0	W 43 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/22	Purdue at Wisconsin	+1.5	51.5	L 24 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Purdue vs Iowa	-3.5	39.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/12	Purdue at Illinois	+6.0	44.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Purdue vs Northwestern	-17.5	44.5	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/26	Purdue at Indiana	-10.0	52.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Purdue vs Michigan	+16.0	53.0	L 22 - 43	O	N
Mon 1/2	Purdue vs LSU	+15.0	54.0	L 7 - 63	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	.06	37%	29.3	39%	2.66	124	35%	180	3	.08	38%	16.1	39%	37%	3.91	36.1	1.4	2.4
PUR	.23	46%	18.8	44%	2.79	84	47%	355	3.93	.17	40%	31.8	41%	38%	3.46	42.8	1.5	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	14	29.3	29.8	37.2%	3	1.4	17	304	124	180	3.4	52%	48%	39%	35%	17%	.06
PUR Defense	13	31.8	30	39.8%	3.46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	38%	18%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	14	16.1	17.2	37.7%	3.91	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	39%	37%	16%	.08
PUR Offense	13	18.8	20.9	46%	3.93	1.5	24	440	84	355	2.8	35%	64%	44%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	14	30:05	16.6	34%	31%	4.1	36.1	1.4	2.4	4.8	2.2	5	33.4
Purdue	13	31:57	23.9	44%	53%	4.5	42.8	1.5	1.3	5.9	1.9	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	14	52%	39%	36.2	123.6	3.4	18	.04	2.66	70%	12%	0.91
PUR Defense	13	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.9	64%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	14	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.75	72%	8%	0.79
PUR Offense	13	35%	44%	30.2	84.2	2.8	7	-.04	2.79	68%	10%	0.57

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	14	48%	35%	15.9	28.9	180.1	6.2	11.4	12	11	.08	1.6	34%	28%	.2	5%	1.9
PUR Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.25	1.8	32%	27%	.18	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	14	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	25	.15	1.6	34%	29%	.27	8%	2
PUR Offense	13	64%	47%	31.3	44.3	355.4	8	11.4	35	12	.39	1.5	29%	38%	.52	6%	2.1

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Iowa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.7 #26
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #118
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: Purdue: 6.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 12.7 Purdue: 7.7

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 6.35 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 30
Purdue 19

Projected Total Points: 49

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Iowa	20	Purdue	14	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	38.5	Under
2022	11/05	Purdue	3	Iowa	24	Purdue -3.5	Iowa	39.5	Under
2021	10/16	Iowa	7	Purdue	24	Iowa -11	Purdue	42.5	Under
2020	10/24	Purdue	24	Iowa	20	Iowa -3.5	Purdue	52.0	Under
2019	10/19	Iowa	26	Purdue	20	Iowa -17.5	Purdue	47.5	Under
2018	11/03	Purdue	38	Iowa	36	Purdue -1.5	Purdue	51.5	Over
2017	11/18	Iowa	15	Purdue	24	Iowa -6	Purdue	42.5	Under
2016	10/15	Purdue	35	Iowa	49	Iowa -13	Iowa	52.5	Over
2015	11/21	Iowa	40	Purdue	20	Iowa -24	Purdue	54.5	Over
2014	09/27	Purdue	10	Iowa	24	Iowa -13.5	Iowa	0
2013	11/09	Purdue	14	Iowa	38	Iowa -14	Iowa	0
2012	11/10	Iowa	24	Purdue	27
2011	11/19	Purdue	21	Iowa	31
2008	11/15	Iowa	22	Purdue	17
2007	10/20	Purdue	31	Iowa	6
2006	10/07	Iowa	47	Purdue	17
2005	10/08	Purdue	17	Iowa	34
2004	11/06	Iowa	23	Purdue	21
2003	11/08	Purdue	27	Iowa	14
2002	10/05	Iowa	31	Purdue	28
2001	10/06	Purdue	23	Iowa	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	8	6	3 Overs
Iowa	13	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	3 - 8	2 - 5	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 12	8 - 3	3 - 1	5 - 2

(#) IOWA at (#) PUR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	PUR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#26	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#29	#105
OffenseOff	#111	#80
DefenseDef	#1	#112
Spec TeamsST	#16	#88
TalentTal	#36	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Iowa Injury Report

Purdue Injury Report

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PUR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#112
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#39
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#118	#115
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#57	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#131	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#1
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#91	#5
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#49
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Purdue -3.5 (39.5)
Iowa won at Purdue this year (24-3)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Purdue in 2023 (20-14)

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD