Purdue at Maryland - 2022 Matchup Preview

Purdue Boilermakers at Maryland Terrapins

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -3 (59.5)
Purdue 31 - Maryland: 29 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PUR 2nd straight Road Game
MD 2nd straight Home Game
MD is playing their 6th straight game
PUR is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ MD -4)
Projected Score: PUR: 22 - MD: 29 (51)
MD Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
PUR Travel: 539 miles

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (12 - 23)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Purdue vs Penn State	+3.5	53.5	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Purdue vs Indiana State	-37.0	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Purdue at Syracuse	+1.5	59.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/24	Purdue vs Florida Atlantic	-16.0	57.0	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Purdue at Minnesota	+9.0	53.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Purdue at Maryland	+3.0	59.5	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Purdue vs Nebraska	-14.0	56.0	W 43 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/22	Purdue at Wisconsin	+1.5	51.5	L 24 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Purdue vs Iowa	-3.5	39.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/12	Purdue at Illinois	+6.0	44.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Purdue vs Northwestern	-17.5	44.5	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/26	Purdue at Indiana	-10.0	52.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Purdue vs Michigan	+16.0	53.0	L 22 - 43	O	N
Mon 1/2	Purdue vs LSU	+15.0	54.0	L 7 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Maryland's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Maryland vs Buffalo	-24.0	66.0	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Maryland at Charlotte	-28.0	65.0	W 56 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Maryland vs SMU	-3.0	74.0	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Maryland at Michigan	+17.0	66.0	L 27 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	58.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Maryland vs Purdue	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/15	Maryland at Indiana	-11.0	63.0	W 38 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/22	Maryland vs Northwestern	-14.0	51.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Maryland at Wisconsin	+5.0	47.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/12	Maryland at Penn State	+10.5	56.5	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/19	Maryland vs Ohio State	+26.5	62.5	L 30 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Maryland vs Rutgers	-14.5	48.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Maryland vs NC State	+2.5	45.0	W 16 - 12	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	.23	46%	18.8	44%	2.79	84	47%	355	3.93	.17	40%	31.8	41%	38%	3.46	42.8	1.5	1.3
MD	.26	49%	23.5	47%	2.94	136	50%	305	3.8	.22	44%	26.5	46%	41%	3.81	56.8	1.4	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	13	18.8	15.8	46%	3.93	1.5	24	440	84	355	2.8	35%	64%	44%	47%	15%	.23
MD Defense	13	26.5	27.3	43.7%	3.81	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	41%	14%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	13	31.8	34.4	39.8%	3.46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	38%	18%	.17
MD Offense	13	23.5	26.3	48.7%	3.8	1.4	23	441	136	305	4	41%	59%	47%	50%	14%	.26

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	13	31:57	23.9	44%	53%	4.5	42.8	1.5	1.3	5.9	1.9	1	28.1
Maryland	13	29:24	23.3	38%	50%	6.7	56.8	1.4	0.8	4.9	2.4	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	13	35%	44%	30.2	84.2	2.8	7	-.04	2.79	68%	10%	0.57
MD Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.01	75%	8%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	13	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.9	64%	11%	0.97
MD Offense	13	41%	47%	33.8	136.2	4	20	.13	2.94	69%	10%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	13	64%	47%	31.3	44.3	355.4	8	11.4	35	12	.39	1.5	29%	38%	.52	6%	2.1
MD Defense	13	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.29	1.7	30%	33%	.47	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.25	1.8	32%	27%	.18	7%	1.9
MD Offense	13	59%	50%	26.1	37.6	304.6	8.1	11.7	27	12	.36	1.4	28%	32%	.43	5%	2.2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: Maryland: 8.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 7.7 Maryland: 11.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 8.1 NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Maryland's 2022 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #32
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #39
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 29
Purdue 22

Projected Total Points: 51

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/08	Maryland	29	Purdue	31	Maryland -3	Purdue	59.5	Over
2019	10/12	Purdue	40	Maryland	14	Maryland -4	Purdue	52.0	Over
2016	10/01	Maryland	50	Purdue	7	Maryland -9	Maryland	55.0	Over
2006	12/29	Maryland	24	Purdue	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	2	1	3 Overs
Purdue	2	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#) PUR at (#) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#68
OffenseOff	#80	#62
DefenseDef	#112	#90
Spec TeamsST	#88	#49
TalentTal	#51	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Purdue Injury Report

Maryland Injury Report

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#90
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#91	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#52
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#69	#126
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	PUR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#112
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#39
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#74	#115
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Maryland -3.0 (59.5)
Purdue won at Maryland this year (31-29)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MD's OC Dan Enos (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD