Purdue at Minnesota - 2022 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Minnesota Golden Gophers  Minnesota logo
Saturday, October 1st 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -9.0 (53.0)
Purdue 20 - Minnesota: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN is playing their 5th straight game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ MINN -8)
Projected Score: PUR: 18 - MINN: 30 (48)
MINN Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
PUR Travel: 448 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (35 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Purdue vs Penn State+3.553.5L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Indiana State-37.054.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/17 Purdue at Syracuse+1.559.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Florida Atlantic-16.057.0W 28 - 26UN
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Minnesota+9.053.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Maryland+3.059.5W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Nebraska-14.056.0W 43 - 37ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Wisconsin+1.551.5L 24 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Purdue vs Iowa-3.539.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/12 Purdue at Illinois+6.044.0W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Northwestern-17.544.5W 17 - 9UN
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana-10.052.5W 30 - 16UY
Sat 12/3 Purdue vs Michigan+16.053.0L 22 - 43ON
Mon 1/2 Purdue vs LSU+15.054.0L 7 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Minnesota's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Minnesota vs New Mexico State-36.052.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Minnesota vs Western Illinois-41.056.5W 62 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Minnesota vs Colorado-28.047.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 9/24 Minnesota at Michigan State-3.050.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Minnesota vs Purdue-9.053.0L 10 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Minnesota at Illinois-4.540.0L 14 - 26UN
Sat 10/22 Minnesota at Penn State+5.543.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 10/29 Minnesota vs Rutgers-14.040.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 11/5 Minnesota at Nebraska-14.544.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 11/12 Minnesota vs Northwestern-17.040.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Minnesota vs Iowa-2.031.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/26 Minnesota at Wisconsin+3.037.0W 23 - 16OY
Thu 12/29 Minnesota vs Syracuse-10.545.0W 28 - 20ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.2346%18.844%2.798447%3553.93.1740%31.841%38%3.4642.81.51.3
MINN.1842%2343%3.1319841%1623.73.137%22.938%37%3.7545.311.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1318.815.846%3.931.524440843552.835%64%44%47%15%.23
MINN Defense1322.91337.4%3.751.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%37%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1331.834.439.8%3.461.3 - - - - - 53%47%41%38%18%.17
MINN Offense132330.142%3.731203601981624.368%32%43%41%14%.18

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1331:5723.944%53%4.542.81.51.35.91.9128.1
Minnesota1335:2619.944%60%4.545.311.44.51.9032
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1335%44%30.284.22.87-.042.7968%10%0.57
MINN Defense1347%38% - - - - .052.7874%10%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1353%41% - - - - .12.964%11%0.97
MINN Offense1368%43%46.3198.14.327.123.1381%9%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1364%47%31.344.3355.4811.43512.391.529%38%.526%2.1
MINN Defense1352%37% - - - - - - 8.151.435%21%.127%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1347%38% - - - - - - 13.251.832%27%.187%1.9
MINN Offense1332%41%11.719.71628.213.9129.311.829%30%.345%2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Minnesota: 10.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 7.7   Minnesota: 16.0




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 10.5 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2022 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0  #16
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #90
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 30
Purdue 18

Projected Total Points: 48
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Minnesota27Purdue20Minnesota -7.5Purdue49.5Under
202311/11Purdue49Minnesota30Minnesota -1.5Purdue48.5Over
202210/01Minnesota10Purdue20Minnesota -9.0Purdue53.0Under
202110/02Purdue13Minnesota20Purdue -2Minnesota46.0Under
202011/20Minnesota34Purdue31Purdue -2.5Minnesota60.5Over
201909/28Purdue31Minnesota38Purdue -2Minnesota57.0Over
201811/10Minnesota41Purdue10Purdue -10.5Minnesota58.0Under
201710/07Purdue31Minnesota17Purdue -3.5Purdue45.5Over
201611/05Minnesota44Purdue31Minnesota -16.5Purdue54.0Over
201510/10Purdue13Minnesota41Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Over
201410/18Minnesota39Purdue38Minnesota -14.5Purdue0
201210/27Minnesota44Purdue28
201110/08Purdue45Minnesota17
201010/16Purdue28Minnesota17
200910/10Minnesota35Purdue20
200810/25Purdue6Minnesota17
200709/22Minnesota31Purdue45
200609/23Purdue27Minnesota21
200509/24Minnesota42Purdue35
200209/28Purdue28Minnesota15
200109/29Minnesota28Purdue35
200009/22Purdue38Minnesota24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota1256 Overs
Purdue1064 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 74 - 71 - 63 - 1
Road Teams7 - 157 - 41 - 36 - 1

(#) PUR at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #16
Perf GradeGrade #105 #4
OffenseOff #80 #2
DefenseDef #112 #28
Spec TeamsST #88 #37
TalentTal #51 #50
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #28
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #91 #43
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #9
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #90 #8
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #69 #125
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #2 #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #22 #115
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #13 #104
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #43 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Minnesota -9.0 (53.0)
Purdue won at Minnesota this year (20-10)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Purdue last year (27-20)
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2023 (49-30)

  
PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD