Auburn at Arkansas - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas -4.5 (54.0)
Auburn 38 - Arkansas: 23 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bryan Harsin (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK is playing their 7th straight game
AUB is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ ARK -3)
Projected Score: AUB: 31 - ARK: 28 (59)
ARK Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 550 miles

Razorbacks (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sam Pittman (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AUB Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Auburn vs Akron	-37.5	56.5	W 60 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Auburn vs Alabama State	-49.5	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Auburn at Penn State	+4.0	53.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/25	Auburn vs Georgia State	-27.5	57.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/2	Auburn at LSU	+2.5	57.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.5	45.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/16	Auburn at Arkansas	+4.5	54.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Auburn vs Ole Miss	-3.0	67.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Auburn at Texas A&M	+4.5	49.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/13	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.0	51.0	L 34 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/20	Auburn at South Carolina	-7.0	45.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/27	Auburn vs Alabama	+21.0	57.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Auburn vs Houston	-2.0	51.5	L 13 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Arkansas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Arkansas vs Rice	-19.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Arkansas vs Texas	+6.0	57.5	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Arkansas vs Georgia Southern	-23.0	53.5	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+4.5	47.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Arkansas at Georgia	+16.5	48.0	L 0 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/9	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+5.0	67.0	L 51 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Arkansas vs Auburn	-4.5	54.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-50.5	59.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-4.0	54.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/13	Arkansas at LSU	-3.0	59.5	W 16 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/20	Arkansas at Alabama	+20.5	58.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Arkansas vs Missouri	-14.5	63.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Arkansas vs Penn State	-3.5	51.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	.19	43%	26.8	47%	3.23	163	40%	220	3.52	.21	46%	20.7	47%	45%	3.66	50.5	0.8	1.2
ARK	.23	44%	32.9	43%	2.97	151	47%	239	3.84	.16	46%	33.8	47%	45%	3.73	45.7	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	11	26.8	27.2	43.5%	3.52	0.8	21	383	163	220	4.6	48%	52%	47%	40%	13%	.19
ARK Defense	10	33.8	35	45.8%	3.73	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	45%	14%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	11	20.7	26.6	45.8%	3.66	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	47%	45%	14%	.21
ARK Offense	10	32.9	30.5	44.5%	3.84	1.3	21	390	151	239	3.8	52%	48%	43%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	11	28:44	20.7	45%	27%	5.8	50.5	0.8	1.2	5.6	2.4	1	27.6
Arkansas	10	25:17	20.6	33%	64%	6.4	45.7	1.3	1.8	5	1.4	3	24.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	11	48%	47%	35.6	162.5	4.6	16	.2	3.23	70%	8%	0.95
ARK Defense	10	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.14	75%	8%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	11	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.14	79%	9%	0.89
ARK Offense	10	52%	43%	39.4	151.3	3.8	11	.09	2.97	70%	11%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	11	52%	40%	19.6	32.9	220.2	6.7	11.2	12	7	.18	1.5	32%	32%	.31	5%	1.9
ARK Defense	10	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	28%	39%	.45	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	11	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	29%	35%	.5	6%	2.2
ARK Offense	10	48%	47%	18.2	28.3	238.6	8.4	13.1	20	6	.39	1.6	29%	29%	.27	5%	2

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2021 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #56
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: Arkansas: 9.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.0 Arkansas: 13.8

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 9.4 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 #22
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #27

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 31
Arkansas 28

Projected Total Points: 59

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Arkansas	24	Auburn	33	Arkansas -2.5	Auburn	55.5	Over
2024	09/21	Auburn	14	Arkansas	24	Auburn -2.5	Arkansas	53.5	Under
2023	11/11	Arkansas	10	Auburn	48	Arkansas -2.5	Auburn	46.5	Over
2022	10/29	Auburn	27	Arkansas	41	Arkansas -4	Arkansas	60.0	Over
2021	10/16	Arkansas	23	Auburn	38	Arkansas -4.5	Auburn	54.0	Over
2020	10/10	Auburn	30	Arkansas	28	Auburn -13.5	Arkansas	46.0	Over
2019	10/19	Arkansas	10	Auburn	51	Auburn -20.5	Auburn	56.0	Over
2018	09/22	Auburn	34	Arkansas	3	Auburn -30	Auburn	57.5	Under
2017	10/21	Arkansas	20	Auburn	52	Auburn -17	Auburn	51.0	Over
2016	10/22	Auburn	56	Arkansas	3	Auburn -17	Auburn	53.0	Over
2015	10/24	Arkansas	54	Auburn	46	Arkansas -4	Arkansas	55.0	Over
2014	08/30	Auburn	45	Arkansas	21	Auburn -21	Auburn	0
2013	11/02	Arkansas	17	Auburn	35	Auburn -8	Auburn	0
2012	10/06	Auburn	7	Arkansas	24
2011	10/08	Arkansas	38	Auburn	14
2010	10/16	Auburn	65	Arkansas	43
2009	10/10	Arkansas	44	Auburn	23
2008	10/11	Auburn	22	Arkansas	25
2007	10/13	Arkansas	7	Auburn	9
2006	10/07	Auburn	10	Arkansas	27
2005	10/15	Arkansas	17	Auburn	34
2004	10/16	Auburn	38	Arkansas	20
2003	10/11	Arkansas	3	Auburn	10
2002	10/12	Auburn	17	Arkansas	38
2001	10/27	Arkansas	42	Auburn	17
2000	10/27	Auburn	21	Arkansas	19

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	10	4	9 Overs
Auburn	16	9	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 15	4 - 9	4 - 5	0 - 4
Road Teams	15 - 11	9 - 4	4 - 0	5 - 4

(#) AUB at (#) ARK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AUB	ARK
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#48	#44
OffenseOff	#74	#38
DefenseDef	#29	#77
Spec TeamsST	#22	#54
TalentTal	#14	#28
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Auburn Injury Report

Arkansas Injury Report

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	ARK Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#27
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	ARK Def
Run GameRun	#39	#73
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#45

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	ARK Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#49	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas on Offense


CategoryCat	ARK Off	AUB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas Run Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#34	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#50

Arkansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARK Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#65	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Arkansas -4.5 (54.0)
Auburn won at Arkansas this year (38-23)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Arkansas last year (33-24)
Arkansas beat Auburn in 2024 (24-14)
Auburn beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-10)

AUB's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD