Ole Miss at Auburn - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -3 (67.5)
Auburn 31 - Ole Miss: 20 (SEC)

Rebels (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (34 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB coming off BYE
MISS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ MISS -4)
Projected Score: MISS: 27 - AUB: 26 (53)
AUB Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
MISS Travel: 263 miles

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bryan Harsin (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/6	Ole Miss vs Louisville	-9.0	74.5	W 43 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Ole Miss vs Austin Peay	-37.0	69.5	W 54 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/18	Ole Miss vs Tulane	-14.0	77.0	W 61 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Ole Miss at Alabama	+15.0	79.5	L 21 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/9	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-5.0	67.0	W 52 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/16	Ole Miss at Tennessee	-1.0	82.0	W 31 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Ole Miss vs LSU	-9.0	76.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Ole Miss at Auburn	+3.0	67.5	L 20 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Ole Miss vs Liberty	-7.5	66.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	+1.0	57.5	W 29 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-35.5	66.5	W 31 - 17	U	N
Thu 11/25	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	+2.5	65.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Ole Miss vs Baylor	-1.0	60.5	L 7 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Auburn's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Auburn vs Akron	-37.5	56.5	W 60 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Auburn vs Alabama State	-49.5	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Auburn at Penn State	+4.0	53.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/25	Auburn vs Georgia State	-27.5	57.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/2	Auburn at LSU	+2.5	57.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.5	45.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/16	Auburn at Arkansas	+4.5	54.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Auburn vs Ole Miss	-3.0	67.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Auburn at Texas A&M	+4.5	49.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/13	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.0	51.0	L 34 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/20	Auburn at South Carolina	-7.0	45.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/27	Auburn vs Alabama	+21.0	57.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Auburn vs Houston	-2.0	51.5	L 13 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.31	48%	36.9	45%	2.92	212	52%	345	4.21	.33	51%	21.1	53%	49%	4.3	51.6	1.8	1.3
AUB	.19	43%	26.8	47%	3.23	163	40%	220	3.52	.21	46%	20.7	47%	45%	3.66	50.5	0.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	10	36.9	34.3	47.9%	4.21	1.8	28	557	212	345	4.6	55%	45%	45%	52%	14%	.31
AUB Defense	11	20.7	16.4	45.8%	3.66	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	47%	45%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	10	21.1	27.8	50.6%	4.3	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	53%	49%	13%	.33
AUB Offense	11	26.8	26.4	43.5%	3.52	0.8	21	383	163	220	4.6	48%	52%	47%	40%	13%	.19

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	10	27:50	27.6	50%	67%	6	51.6	1.8	1.3	4.7	1.6	0	28.1
Auburn	11	28:44	20.7	45%	27%	5.8	50.5	0.8	1.2	5.6	2.4	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	10	55%	45%	46.1	211.6	4.6	23	.21	2.92	65%	10%	1.12
AUB Defense	11	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.14	79%	9%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	10	49%	53%	-	-	-	-	.29	3.27	74%	8%	0.98
AUB Offense	11	48%	47%	35.6	162.5	4.6	16	.2	3.23	70%	8%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	10	45%	52%	23.8	33.5	345	10.3	14.5	30	14	.43	1.7	27%	42%	.67	4%	2.2
AUB Defense	11	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	29%	35%	.5	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	10	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.36	1.4	27%	39%	.49	6%	1.9
AUB Offense	11	52%	40%	19.6	32.9	220.2	6.7	11.2	12	7	.18	1.5	32%	32%	.31	5%	1.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 #17
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #17
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: Auburn: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 14.8 Auburn: 11.0

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 8 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2021 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #56
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 27
Auburn 26

Projected Total Points: 53

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Auburn	21	Ole Miss	28	Ole Miss -6.5	Ole Miss	55.5	Under
2022	10/15	Ole Miss	48	Auburn	34	Ole Miss -15.5	Auburn	55.5	Over
2021	10/30	Auburn	31	Ole Miss	20	Auburn -3	Auburn	67.5	Under
2020	10/24	Ole Miss	28	Auburn	35	Auburn -3.5	Auburn	74.0	Under
2019	11/02	Auburn	20	Ole Miss	14	Auburn -17	Ole Miss	53.5	Under
2018	10/20	Ole Miss	16	Auburn	31	Auburn -5	Auburn	64.0	Under
2017	10/07	Auburn	44	Ole Miss	23	Auburn -21.5	Ole Miss	55.5	Over
2016	10/29	Ole Miss	29	Auburn	40	Auburn -2	Auburn	65.5	Over
2015	10/31	Auburn	19	Ole Miss	27	Ole Miss -6	Ole Miss	57.5	Under
2014	11/01	Ole Miss	31	Auburn	35	Ole Miss -3	Auburn	0
2013	10/05	Auburn	30	Ole Miss	22	Ole Miss -2	Auburn	0
2012	10/13	Ole Miss	41	Auburn	20
2011	10/29	Auburn	41	Ole Miss	23
2010	10/30	Ole Miss	31	Auburn	51
2009	10/31	Auburn	33	Ole Miss	20
2008	11/01	Ole Miss	17	Auburn	7
2007	10/27	Auburn	17	Ole Miss	3
2006	10/28	Ole Miss	17	Auburn	23
2005	10/29	Auburn	27	Ole Miss	3
2004	10/30	Ole Miss	14	Auburn	35
2003	11/08	Auburn	20	Ole Miss	24
2002	11/02	Ole Miss	24	Auburn	31
2001	09/08	Auburn	27	Ole Miss	21
2000	09/08	Ole Miss	27	Auburn	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	18	7	3 Overs
Ole Miss	6	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 12	2 - 9	1 - 4	1 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 12	9 - 2	5 - 1	4 - 1

(#) MISS at (#) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MISS	AUB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#29
Perf GradeGrade	#65	#48
OffenseOff	#51	#74
DefenseDef	#77	#29
Spec TeamsST	#58	#22
TalentTal	#27	#14
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ole Miss Injury Report

Auburn Injury Report

Ole Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	MISS Off	AUB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ole Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#30	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#50

Ole Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	MISS Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#27	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#41	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MISS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#36
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#39	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#49	#43
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

MISS 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Auburn -3.0 (67.5)
Auburn won vs Ole Miss this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2023 (28-21)

MISS's OC Jeff Lebby (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AUB's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD