Auburn at LSU - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (9:00 PM EDT)
LSU -2.5 (57.0)
Auburn 24 - LSU: 19 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bryan Harsin (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (20 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LSU is playing their 5th straight game
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ AUB -7)
Projected Score: AUB: 23 - LSU: 27 (50)
LSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 368 miles

Tigers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ed Orgeron (47 - 15)
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AUB Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Auburn vs Akron	-37.5	56.5	W 60 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Auburn vs Alabama State	-49.5	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Auburn at Penn State	+4.0	53.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/25	Auburn vs Georgia State	-27.5	57.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/2	Auburn at LSU	+2.5	57.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.5	45.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/16	Auburn at Arkansas	+4.5	54.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Auburn vs Ole Miss	-3.0	67.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Auburn at Texas A&M	+4.5	49.5	L 3 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/13	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.0	51.0	L 34 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/20	Auburn at South Carolina	-7.0	45.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/27	Auburn vs Alabama	+21.0	57.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Auburn vs Houston	-2.0	51.5	L 13 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

LSU's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	LSU at UCLA	-2.0	64.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/11	LSU vs McNeese	-39.0	66.0	W 34 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/18	LSU vs Central Michigan	-19.5	61.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/25	LSU at Mississippi State	-1.5	54.5	W 28 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/2	LSU vs Auburn	-2.5	57.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	LSU at Kentucky	+2.0	50.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/16	LSU vs Florida	+12.5	61.0	W 49 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/23	LSU at Ole Miss	+9.0	76.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	LSU at Alabama	+29.5	66.5	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/13	LSU vs Arkansas	+3.0	59.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/20	LSU vs UL Monroe	-29.0	57.5	W 27 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/27	LSU vs Texas A&M	+6.0	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Tue 1/4	LSU vs Kansas State	+9.5	47.0	L 20 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	.18	43%	28.3	45%	3.09	161	41%	240	3.85	.11	42%	21.8	39%	44%	3.52	46	0.9	1
LSU	.19	41%	26.5	38%	2.89	114	43%	254	4.25	.18	43%	26.6	42%	43%	4.03	34.3	1.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)		48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)		38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	13	28.3	20.4	42.9%	3.85	0.9	21	401	161	240	4.7	46%	54%	45%	41%	14%	.18
LSU Defense	13	26.6	21.1	42.7%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	43%	17%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	13	21.8	22.2	41.7%	3.52	1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	39%	44%	18%	.11
LSU Offense	13	26.5	31.1	40.6%	4.25	1.2	19	368	114	254	3.3	46%	54%	38%	43%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	13	27:52	20.8	40%	57%	5.6	46	0.9	1	7.5	2.8	3	27.7
LSU	13	29:36	19.4	37%	63%	4.3	34.3	1.2	1.1	7.5	2.9	1	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	13	46%	45%	34.1	161.2	4.7	22	.18	3.09	70%	9%	1.02
LSU Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	73%	12%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	13	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.65	55%	12%	0.92
LSU Offense	13	46%	38%	34.2	114	3.3	9	.04	2.89	69%	10%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	13	54%	41%	20.5	35	240.1	6.9	11.7	17	4	.19	1.5	33%	32%	.3	5%	1.9
LSU Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.29	1.7	34%	35%	.47	5%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	13	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.23	1.4	32%	33%	.32	6%	1.9
LSU Offense	13	54%	43%	20.2	34.1	254.5	7.5	12.6	32	11	.31	1.6	33%	31%	.3	7%	1.9

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2021 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #56
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: LSU: 4.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.0 LSU: 4.1

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 4.55 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2021 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #65
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.4
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Auburn's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 27
Auburn 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 30
Auburn 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
LSU 25
Auburn 24

Total Points: 49

LSU Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

LSU's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	LSU	48	Auburn	18	LSU -11	LSU	60.0	Over
2022	10/01	Auburn	17	LSU	21	LSU -8	Auburn	44.5	Under
2021	10/02	LSU	19	Auburn	24	LSU -2.5	Auburn	57.0	Under
2020	10/31	Auburn	48	LSU	11	LSU -2.0	Auburn	63.5	Under
2019	10/26	LSU	23	Auburn	20	LSU -11.5	Auburn	59.5	Under
2018	09/15	Auburn	21	LSU	22	Auburn -10	LSU	45.5	Under
2017	10/14	LSU	27	Auburn	23	Auburn -6.5	LSU	46.0	Over
2016	09/24	Auburn	18	LSU	13	LSU -4	Auburn	46.5	Under
2015	09/19	LSU	45	Auburn	21	LSU -6.5	LSU	50.0	Over
2014	10/04	Auburn	41	LSU	7	Auburn -9	Auburn	0
2013	09/21	LSU	35	Auburn	21	LSU -14	Push	0
2012	09/22	Auburn	10	LSU	12
2011	10/22	LSU	45	Auburn	10
2010	10/23	Auburn	24	LSU	17
2009	10/24	LSU	31	Auburn	10
2008	09/20	Auburn	21	LSU	26
2007	10/20	LSU	30	Auburn	24
2006	09/16	Auburn	7	LSU	3
2005	10/22	LSU	20	Auburn	17
2004	09/18	Auburn	10	LSU	9
2003	10/25	LSU	31	Auburn	7
2002	10/26	Auburn	31	LSU	7
2001	12/01	LSU	27	Auburn	14
2000	09/15	Auburn	34	LSU	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	15	4	3 Overs
Auburn	9	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	19 - 5	7 - 3	3 - 3	4 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 19	3 - 7	0 - 4	3 - 3

(#) AUB at (#) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AUB	LSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#29	#65
Perf GradeGrade	#48	#50
OffenseOff	#74	#80
DefenseDef	#29	#35
Spec TeamsST	#22	#42
TalentTal	#14	#5
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Auburn Injury Report

LSU Injury Report

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	LSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#35
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#57
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#39	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#19

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#49	#35
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	AUB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#29
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#119	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#77	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#50

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#17	#32
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
LSU -2.5 (57.0)
Auburn won at LSU this year (24-19)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Auburn in 2023 (48-18)
LSU beat Auburn in 2022 (21-17)

AUB's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LSU's OC Jake Peetz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Daronte Jones (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD