Georgia State at Auburn - 2021 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo   Georgia State Panthers at Auburn Tigers  Auburn logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -27.5 (57.5)
Auburn 34 - Georgia State: 24

 
Panthers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (23 - 27)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB is playing their 4th straight game
GAST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ AUB -9)
Projected Score: GAST: 19 - AUB: 34 (53)
AUB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
GAST Travel: 101 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bryan Harsin (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Georgia State vs Army-2.550.0L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/11 Georgia State at North Carolina+26.065.0L 17 - 59ON
Sat 9/18 Georgia State vs Charlotte-4.562.5W 20 - 9UY
Sat 9/25 Georgia State at Auburn+27.557.5L 24 - 34OY
Sat 10/2 Georgia State vs App State+10.554.5L 16 - 45ON
Sat 10/9 Georgia State at UL Monroe-16.049.5W 55 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Georgia State vs Texas State-10.058.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Georgia State at Georgia Southern-6.055.0W 21 - 14UY
Thu 11/4 Georgia State at Louisiana+13.553.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/13 Georgia State at Coastal Carolina+12.553.5W 42 - 40OY
Sat 11/20 Georgia State vs Arkansas State-15.566.0W 28 - 20UN
Sat 11/27 Georgia State vs Troy-6.549.5W 37 - 10UY
Sat 12/25 Georgia State vs Ball State-6.052.5W 51 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Auburn's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Auburn vs Akron-37.556.5W 60 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Auburn vs Alabama State-49.560.0W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/18 Auburn at Penn State+4.053.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 9/25 Auburn vs Georgia State-27.557.5W 34 - 24ON
Sat 10/2 Auburn at LSU+2.557.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/9 Auburn vs Georgia+14.545.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Auburn at Arkansas+4.554.0W 38 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Auburn vs Ole Miss-3.067.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/6 Auburn at Texas A&M+4.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/13 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.051.0L 34 - 43ON
Sat 11/20 Auburn at South Carolina-7.045.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/27 Auburn vs Alabama+21.057.5L 22 - 24UY
Tue 12/28 Auburn vs Houston-2.051.5L 13 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST.1742%19.842%2.7219442%2304.55.1341%37.840%41%3.4558.322.1
AUB.1943%26.847%3.2316340%2203.52.2146%20.747%45%3.6650.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1019.81841.9%4.552214241942304.457%43%42%42%17%.17
AUB Defense1120.716.445.8%3.661.2 - - - - - 52%48%47%45%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1037.845.340.6%3.452.1 - - - - - 43%57%40%41%20%.13
AUB Offense1126.826.443.5%3.520.8213831632204.648%52%47%40%13%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1028:3820.745%64%5.558.322.17.43.2134.4
Auburn1128:4420.745%27%5.850.50.81.25.62.4127.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1057%42%44.1193.74.422.122.7264%11%1.05
AUB Defense1152%47% - - - - .143.1479%9%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1043%40% - - - - .042.7556%12%0.99
AUB Offense1148%47%35.6162.54.616.23.2370%8%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1043%42%17.930.7230.37.512.91810.241.730%35%.416%2
AUB Defense1148%45% - - - - - - 9.281.629%35%.56%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1057%41% - - - - - - 12.191.732%34%.328%2.1
AUB Offense1152%40%19.632.9220.26.711.2127.181.532%32%.315%1.9

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #71
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State:    Auburn: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: 1.8   Auburn: 11.0




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 8 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2021 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #56
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 34
Georgia State 19

Projected Total Points: 53
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/25Auburn34Georgia State24Auburn -27.5Georgia State57.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn101 Overs
Georgia State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) GAST at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGASTAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #29
Perf GradeGrade #60 #48
OffenseOff #62 #74
DefenseDef #63 #29
Spec TeamsST #95 #22
TalentTal #102 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Georgia State on Offense
CategoryCat
GAST OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #62 #29
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia State Run Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #56 #37
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #36 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #50
Georgia State Pass Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #83 #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #110 #32
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffGAST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #63
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffGAST Def
Run GameRun #39 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffGAST Def
Pass GamePass #62 #90
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #49 #27
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Auburn -27.5 (57.5)
Auburn won vs Georgia State this year (34-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
GAST's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD