Auburn at Texas A&M - 2021 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo   Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies  Texas A&M logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -4.5 (49.5)
Texas A&M 20 - Auburn: 3  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bryan Harsin (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TA&M coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ TA&M -10)

Projected Score: AUB: 23 - TA&M: 28 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 653 miles
Aggies (8 - 4) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (29 - 10)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Auburn vs Akron-37.556.5W 60 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Auburn vs Alabama State-49.560.0W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/18 Auburn at Penn State+4.053.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 9/25 Auburn vs Georgia State-27.557.5W 34 - 24ON
Sat 10/2 Auburn at LSU+2.557.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/9 Auburn vs Georgia+14.545.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Auburn at Arkansas+4.554.0W 38 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Auburn vs Ole Miss-3.067.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/6 Auburn at Texas A&M+4.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/13 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.051.0L 34 - 43ON
Sat 11/20 Auburn at South Carolina-7.045.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/27 Auburn vs Alabama+21.057.5L 22 - 24UY
Tue 12/28 Auburn vs Houston-2.051.5L 13 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Texas A&M vs Kent State-29.567.0W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/11 Texas A&M vs Colorado-17.551.0W 10 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-30.549.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-4.547.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/2 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-7.045.5L 22 - 26ON
Sat 10/9 Texas A&M vs Alabama+18.550.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 10/16 Texas A&M at Missouri-11.559.0W 35 - 14UY
Sat 10/23 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-19.046.0W 44 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Texas A&M vs Auburn-4.549.5W 20 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Texas A&M at Ole Miss-1.057.5L 19 - 29UN
Sat 11/20 Texas A&M vs Prairie View A&M-41.550.0W 52 - 3OY
Sat 11/27 Texas A&M at LSU-6.047.0L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.1943%26.847%3.2316340%2203.52.2146%20.747%45%3.6650.50.81.2
TA&M.2849%33.851%3.1720548%2273.92.1339%2138%40%3.6356.40.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1126.827.243.5%3.520.8213831632204.648%52%47%40%13%.19
TA&M Defense102115.339.3%3.631.4 - - - - - 42%58%38%40%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1120.726.645.8%3.661.2 - - - - - 52%48%47%45%14%.21
TA&M Offense1033.831.149.4%3.920.8234322052275.553%47%51%48%13%.28

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1128:4420.745%27%5.850.50.81.25.62.4127.6
Texas A&M1033:4723.255%38%6.156.40.81.46.32.7129.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1148%47%35.6162.54.616.23.2370%8%0.95
TA&M Defense1042%38% - - - - .032.9774%11%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1152%47% - - - - .143.1479%9%0.89
TA&M Offense1053%51%37.42055.521.213.1780%7%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1152%40%19.632.9220.26.711.2127.181.532%32%.315%1.9
TA&M Defense1058%40% - - - - - - 10.211.734%26%.227%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1148%45% - - - - - - 9.281.629%35%.56%2.2
TA&M Offense1047%48%18.930.1226.77.512204.371.530%39%.396%1.8

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2021 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #56
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn:    Texas A&M: 13.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.0   Texas A&M: 21.1




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 13.05 NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas A&M's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.1  #6
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #35
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9  #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 28
Auburn 23


Projected Total Points: 51
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Texas A&M16Auburn10Texas A&M -6.5Auburn51.5Under
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41Texas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10Auburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28Texas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24Auburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42Auburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Auburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26Texas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Auburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45Texas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M754 Overs
Auburn777 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 85 - 74 - 61 - 1
Road Teams8 - 67 - 51 - 16 - 4

(#) AUB at (#) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBTA&M
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #6
Perf GradeGrade #48 #22
OffenseOff #74 #43
DefenseDef #29 #21
Spec TeamsST #22 #60
TalentTal #14 #7
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #21
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #7
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #39 #27
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #22
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #62 #31
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #49 #46
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCatTA&M OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #43 #29
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #9 #37
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #28 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #50
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCatTA&M OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #43 #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #108 #32
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Texas A&M -4.5 (49.5)
Texas A&M won vs Auburn this year (20-3)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Auburn last year (16-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2024 (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)

  
AUB's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TA&M's OC Darrell Dickey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Mike Elko (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD