Alabama at Auburn - 2021 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo   Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers  Auburn logo
Saturday, November 27th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -21 (57.5)
Alabama 24 - Auburn: 22  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (13 - 2) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (167 - 23)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5  (SP+ ALA -15)
Projected Score: ALA: 23 - AUB: 24 (47)
ALA Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ALA Travel: 127 miles
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bryan Harsin (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Alabama vs Miami-19.561.5W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/11 Alabama vs Mercer-54.060.5W 48 - 14ON
Sat 9/18 Alabama at Florida-14.059.5W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/25 Alabama vs Southern Miss-45.057.5W 63 - 14OY
Sat 10/2 Alabama vs Ole Miss-15.079.5W 42 - 21UY
Sat 10/9 Alabama at Texas A&M-18.550.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/16 Alabama at Mississippi State-17.559.5W 49 - 9UY
Sat 10/23 Alabama vs Tennessee-24.568.0W 52 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Alabama vs LSU-29.566.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Alabama vs New Mexico State-50.067.0W 59 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Alabama vs Arkansas-20.558.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Alabama at Auburn-21.057.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 12/4 Alabama vs Georgia+6.048.5W 41 - 24OY
Fri 12/31 Alabama vs Cincinnati-13.057.5W 27 - 6UY
Mon 1/10 Alabama vs Georgia+3.053.5L 18 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Auburn's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Auburn vs Akron-37.556.5W 60 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Auburn vs Alabama State-49.560.0W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/18 Auburn at Penn State+4.053.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 9/25 Auburn vs Georgia State-27.557.5W 34 - 24ON
Sat 10/2 Auburn at LSU+2.557.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/9 Auburn vs Georgia+14.545.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Auburn at Arkansas+4.554.0W 38 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Auburn vs Ole Miss-3.067.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/6 Auburn at Texas A&M+4.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/13 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.051.0L 34 - 43ON
Sat 11/20 Auburn at South Carolina-7.045.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/27 Auburn vs Alabama+21.057.5L 22 - 24UY
Tue 12/28 Auburn vs Houston-2.051.5L 13 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.4958%29.554%3.2918361%3585.18.1238%19.237%38%2.8848.10.91.7
AUB.1943%26.847%3.2316340%2203.52.2146%20.747%45%3.6650.50.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1329.526.357.9%5.180.928541183358547%53%54%61%11%.49
AUB Defense1120.716.445.8%3.661.2 - - - - - 52%48%47%45%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1319.223.737.5%2.881.7 - - - - - 47%53%37%38%18%.12
AUB Offense1126.826.443.5%3.520.8213831632204.648%52%47%40%13%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1330:4828.160%67%648.10.91.75.52.1430
Auburn1128:4420.745%27%5.850.50.81.25.62.4127.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1347%54%36.5182.9537.233.2981%7%0.89
AUB Defense1152%47% - - - - .143.1479%9%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1347%37% - - - - .072.6371%11%1.03
AUB Offense1148%47%35.6162.54.616.23.2370%8%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1353%61%24.932.7358.21114.4424.711.622%48%.874%2.3
AUB Defense1148%45% - - - - - - 9.281.629%35%.56%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.161.734%32%.38%2
AUB Offense1152%40%19.632.9220.26.711.2127.181.532%32%.315%1.9

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0  #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.9  #4
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Auburn: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 26.0   Auburn: 11.0




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 8 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2021 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #56
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 24
Alabama 23

Projected Total Points: 47
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Auburn20Alabama27Alabama -6.5Alabama48.5Under
202411/30Alabama28Auburn14Alabama -10.5Alabama50.5Under
202311/25Auburn24Alabama27Alabama -14.0Auburn48.0Over
202211/26Alabama49Auburn27Alabama -22Push51.0Over
202111/27Auburn22Alabama24Alabama -21Auburn57.5Under
202011/28Alabama42Auburn13Alabama -24.5Alabama65.0Under
201911/30Auburn48Alabama45Alabama -3.5Auburn51.0Over
201811/24Alabama52Auburn21Alabama -26Alabama53.0Over
201711/25Auburn26Alabama14Alabama -5Auburn47.5Under
201611/26Alabama30Auburn12Alabama -20Auburn47.0Under
201511/28Auburn13Alabama29Alabama -13Alabama47.5Under
201411/29Alabama55Auburn44Alabama -7Alabama0
201311/30Auburn34Alabama28Alabama -9.5Auburn0
201211/24Alabama49Auburn0
201111/26Auburn14Alabama42
201011/26Alabama27Auburn28
200911/27Auburn21Alabama26
200811/29Alabama36Auburn0
200711/24Auburn17Alabama10
200611/18Alabama15Auburn22
200511/19Auburn28Alabama18
200411/20Alabama13Auburn21
200311/22Auburn28Alabama23
200111/17Auburn7Alabama31
200011/17Alabama0Auburn9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn1064 Overs
Alabama1567 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 119 - 34 - 15 - 2
Road Teams11 - 143 - 92 - 51 - 4

(#) ALA at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALAAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #3 #29
Perf GradeGrade #6 #48
OffenseOff #15 #74
DefenseDef #12 #29
Spec TeamsST #72 #22
TalentTal #1 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #15 #29
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #26 #37
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #50
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #3 #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #80 #32
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #12
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffALA Def
Run GameRun #39 #4
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #3
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #62 #40
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #49 #37
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Alabama 21.0 (57.5)
Alabama won at Auburn this year (24-22)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Auburn last year (27-20)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2024 (28-14)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2023 (27-24)

  
ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD