Miami (OH) at Ball State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ball State CardinalsBall State logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ball State -3.5 (53.0)
Miami (OH) 24 - Ball State: 17  (Mid-American)

 
RedHawks (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (33 - 48)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BALL is playing their 8th straight game
M-OH is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ M-OH -12.5)
Projected Score: M-OH: 22 - BALL: 23 (45)
BALL Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 60 miles
Cardinals (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (23 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (21 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+22.549.0L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Miami (OH) at Minnesota+18.555.0L 26 - 31OY
Sat 9/18 Miami (OH) vs Long Island University-39.555.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/25 Miami (OH) at Army+7.549.0L 10 - 23UN
Sat 10/2 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan+2.556.5W 28 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan-2.558.0L 12 - 13UN
Sat 10/16 Miami (OH) vs Akron-20.051.0W 34 - 21ON
Sat 10/23 Miami (OH) at Ball State+3.553.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Miami (OH) at Ohio-7.054.5L 33 - 35ON
Tue 11/9 Miami (OH) vs Buffalo-7.058.0W 45 - 18OY
Tue 11/16 Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green-17.052.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Miami (OH) at Kent State-1.068.0L 47 - 48ON
Thu 12/23 Miami (OH) vs North Texas-2.056.5W 27 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Ball State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Ball State vs Western Illinois-31.058.5W 31 - 21UN
Sat 9/11 Ball State at Penn State+23.058.0L 13 - 44UN
Sat 9/18 Ball State at Wyoming+6.553.5L 12 - 45ON
Sat 9/25 Ball State vs Toledo+4.556.5L 12 - 22UN
Sat 10/2 Ball State vs Army+10.546.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/9 Ball State at Western Michigan+13.057.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Ball State at Eastern Michigan-1.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 10/23 Ball State vs Miami (OH)-3.553.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Ball State at Akron-20.058.0W 31 - 25UN
Wed 11/10 Ball State at Northern Illinois-3.059.5L 29 - 30UN
Wed 11/17 Ball State vs Central Michigan+2.557.0L 17 - 37UN
Tue 11/23 Ball State vs Buffalo-6.059.5W 20 - 3UY
Sat 12/25 Ball State vs Georgia State+6.052.5L 20 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.2742%28.941%3.0814843%2793.83.2242%23.141%43%3.7560.80.91.3
BALL.1341%24.141%3.0313041%2083.68.2549%28.447%54%3.9340.80.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1328.923.741.8%3.830.9214261482794.346%54%41%43%17%.27
BALL Defense1328.420.549.4%3.931.5 - - - - - 54%45%47%54%13%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1323.130.941.9%3.751.3 - - - - - 52%47%41%43%23%.22
BALL Offense1324.120.840.5%3.680.9193371302083.848%51%41%41%15%.13

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1329:4521.540%43%6.760.80.91.37.82.9127.6
Ball State1327:3919.140%52%4.940.80.91.55.31.8130.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1346%41%34.8147.64.315.143.0880%9%0.99
BALL Defense1354%47% - - - - .193.2778%9%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1352%41% - - - - .23.1182%16%1.11
BALL Offense1348%41%34.2129.63.817.143.0375%9%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1354%43%1932.8278.58.514.7328.371.735%35%.417%2
BALL Defense1345%54% - - - - - - 15.41.327%31%.275%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 9.271.633%27%.287%2.4
BALL Offense1351%41%20.533.8207.66.110.1187.141.433%29%.176%1.8

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5  #73
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH):    Ball State: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.5   Ball State: -11.2




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #108
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #106
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ball State 23
Miami (OH) 22

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Ball State 22
Miami (OH) 18

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 26
Ball State 25

Total Points: 51
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.8
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.5

Ball State's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Miami (OH)45Ball State24Miami (OH) -16.5Miami (OH)40.5Over
202411/05Ball State21Miami (OH)27Miami (OH) -12.5Ball State48.5Under
202311/25Ball State15Miami (OH)17Miami (OH) -3.5Ball State34.5Under
202211/22Miami (OH)18Ball State17Miami (OH) -2.5Ball State45.0Under
202110/23Ball State17Miami (OH)24Ball State -3.5Miami (OH)53.0Under
202011/04Miami (OH)38Ball State31Ball State -1Miami (OH)56.5Over
201911/29Ball State41Miami (OH)27Ball State -3Ball State55.5Over
201811/20Miami (OH)42Ball State21Miami (OH) -16.5Miami (OH)55.0Over
201711/21Ball State7Miami (OH)28Miami (OH) -17.5Miami (OH)54.5Under
201611/22Miami (OH)21Ball State20Miami (OH) -6Ball State55.0Under
201311/29Ball State55Miami (OH)14Ball State -34Ball State0
201211/23Miami (OH)24Ball State31
200811/11Miami (OH)16Ball State31
200708/30Ball State13Miami (OH)14
200610/28Miami (OH)17Ball State20
200310/18Ball State3Miami (OH)49
200109/29Ball State20Miami (OH)28
200010/06Miami (OH)10Ball State15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State664 Overs
Miami (OH)1256 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 117 - 44 - 33 - 1
Road Teams11 - 74 - 71 - 33 - 4

(#) M-OH at (#) BALL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHBALL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #73 #108
Perf GradeGrade #58 #108
OffenseOff #55 #114
DefenseDef #50 #83
Spec TeamsST #130 #45
TalentTal #111 #116
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBALL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #55 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBALL Def
Run GameRun #92 #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #37 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #25
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffBALL Def
Pass GamePass #29 #105
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #127 #21
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCatBALL OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #114 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #67
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #116 #22
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #51
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCatBALL OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #93 #110
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #91 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 57° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Ball State -3.5 (53.0)
Miami (OH) won at Ball State this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Ball State last year (27-21)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2023 (17-15)
Miami (OH) beat Ball State in 2022 (18-17)

  
M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD