Georgia State at Georgia Southern - 2021 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -6 (55.0)
Georgia State 21 - Georgia Southern: 14 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (23 - 27)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (29 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GASO coming off BYE
Our Line: -6 (SP+ GAST -17)
Projected Score: GAST: 31 - GASO: 29 (60)
GAST Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
GAST Travel: 176 miles

Eagles (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 31 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia State vs Army	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia State at North Carolina	+26.0	65.0	L 17 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-4.5	62.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Georgia State at Auburn	+27.5	57.5	L 24 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia State vs App State	+10.5	54.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/9	Georgia State at UL Monroe	-16.0	49.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Georgia State vs Texas State	-10.0	58.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+12.5	53.5	W 42 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	-15.5	66.0	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/27	Georgia State vs Troy	-6.5	49.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Georgia State vs Ball State	-6.0	52.5	W 51 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia Southern vs Gardner-Webb	-27.5	48.0	W 30 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia Southern at Florida Atlantic	+6.5	48.5	L 6 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia Southern at Arkansas	+23.0	53.5	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	+14.5	54.5	L 20 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State	-1.5	66.5	W 59 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Georgia Southern at Troy	+5.5	51.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 10/14	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	+2.5	49.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+6.0	55.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/6	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	+16.0	56.5	L 8 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Georgia Southern at Texas State	+2.5	52.0	W 38 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia Southern vs BYU	+20.0	57.0	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Georgia Southern at App State	+24.5	55.0	L 3 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.24	47%	28.2	49%	3.27	225	45%	162	4.54	.2	39%	27.1	38%	40%	3.55	50.5	1.2	2
GASO	.11	36%	20.3	37%	2.84	193	33%	147	2.81	.3	44%	31.4	43%	46%	3.72	45.3	1.4	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	#92 (.15)	41% (90)		42% (92)	2.94 (86)	134	41% (79)	256	3.85 (76)	#121 (.28)	48% (123)		49% (119)	46% (118)	4.42 (120)	49.1	1.6	1.4
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	13	28.2	29.3	47.1%	4.54	1.2	21	387	225	162	5	62%	38%	49%	45%	17%	.24
GASO Defense	12	31.4	28.2	44.1%	3.72	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	43%	46%	19%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	13	27.1	31.5	39.4%	3.55	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	38%	40%	21%	.2
GASO Offense	12	20.3	24.7	35.6%	2.81	1.4	18	340	193	147	4.3	62%	37%	37%	33%	23%	.11

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	13	28:21	21.5	42%	56%	5.4	50.5	1.2	2	6.9	2.8	1	26
Georgia Southern	12	30:44	17.9	35%	44%	5.7	45.3	1.4	0.7	6.6	2.2	2	28.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	13	62%	49%	45.1	225.5	5	25	.23	3.27	79%	11%	0.97
GASO Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.27	72%	13%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.8	81%	14%	1.04
GASO Offense	12	62%	37%	44.7	193.3	4.3	22	.18	2.84	78%	15%	1.3

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	13	38%	45%	13.8	23.9	161.6	6.8	11.7	19	8	.3	1.5	27%	31%	.23	6%	1.8
GASO Defense	12	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.44	1.7	31%	31%	.41	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.7	35%	31%	.38	7%	2.2
GASO Offense	12	37%	33%	11.8	22.9	147.1	6.4	12.5	5	12	.07	1.4	35%	25%	.24	9%	2.1

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #71
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #78
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: Georgia Southern: -5.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: 1.8 Georgia Southern: -15.3

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -5.15 NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia Southern's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #122
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 27.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.5

Georgia State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 31
Georgia Southern 29

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia State 33
Georgia Southern 31

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Georgia State 29
Georgia Southern 26

Total Points: 55

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

Georgia Southern's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Georgia Southern	41	Georgia State	24	Georgia Southern -6.5	Georgia Southern	58.5	Over
2024	09/28	Georgia State	21	Georgia Southern	38	Georgia State -3.5	Georgia Southern	57.5	Over
2023	10/26	Georgia Southern	44	Georgia State	27	Georgia State -1.0	Georgia Southern	63.0	Over
2022	10/08	Georgia State	41	Georgia Southern	33	Georgia State -2.5	Georgia State	67.5	Over
2021	10/30	Georgia Southern	14	Georgia State	21	Georgia State -6	Georgia State	55.0	Under
2020	11/28	Georgia State	30	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia State -2.5	Georgia State	51.5	Over
2019	11/30	Georgia Southern	38	Georgia State	10	Georgia Southern -6.5	Georgia Southern	56.0	Under
2018	11/24	Georgia State	14	Georgia Southern	35	Georgia Southern -10	Georgia Southern	60.0	Under
2017	11/04	Georgia Southern	17	Georgia State	21	Georgia State -5.5	Georgia Southern	50.5	Under
2016	11/19	Georgia State	30	Georgia Southern	24	Georgia Southern -3.5	Georgia State	47.5	Over
2015	12/05	Georgia Southern	7	Georgia State	34	Georgia Southern -22	Georgia State	57.0	Under
2014	10/25	Georgia State	31	Georgia Southern	69	Georgia Southern -15	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	6	7	6 Overs
Georgia State	6	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#) GAST at (#) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	GASO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#118
Perf GradeGrade	#60	#129
OffenseOff	#62	#125
DefenseDef	#63	#127
Spec TeamsST	#95	#103
TalentTal	#102	#109
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	GASO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#127
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#111
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#56	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#36	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#83	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#110	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#125	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#108	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#130	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#84	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59°

Rematch from Week 9
Georgia State 6.0 (55.0)
Georgia State won at Georgia Southern this year (21-14)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State last year (38-21)
Georgia Southern beat Georgia State in 2023 (44-27)
Georgia State beat Georgia Southern in 2022 (41-33)

GAST's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GASO's OC Doug Ruse (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Scot Sloan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD