Charlotte at Georgia State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Charlotte 49ers at Georgia State Panthers

Saturday, September 18th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -4.5 (62.5)
Georgia State 20 - Charlotte: 9

49ers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Will Healy (11 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (12 - 38 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ GAST -16)
Projected Score: CHAR: 24 - GAST: 29 (53)
GAST Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
CHAR Travel: 235 miles

Panthers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (23 - 27)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (22 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
GAST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Charlotte vs Duke	+6.0	60.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb	-23.0	58.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Charlotte at Georgia State	+4.5	62.5	L 9 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/24	Charlotte vs Middle Tennessee	-2.5	55.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Charlotte at Illinois	+10.0	54.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/8	Charlotte at Florida International	-3.5	61.0	W 45 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+6.5	58.0	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/30	Charlotte at Western Kentucky	+19.5	71.5	L 13 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Charlotte vs Rice	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Charlotte at Louisiana Tech	+7.0	58.0	L 32 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/20	Charlotte vs Marshall	+14.0	62.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/27	Charlotte at Old Dominion	+8.5	55.5	L 34 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Georgia State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia State vs Army	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia State at North Carolina	+26.0	65.0	L 17 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-4.5	62.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Georgia State at Auburn	+27.5	57.5	L 24 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia State vs App State	+10.5	54.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/9	Georgia State at UL Monroe	-16.0	49.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Georgia State vs Texas State	-10.0	58.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+12.5	53.5	W 42 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	-15.5	66.0	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/27	Georgia State vs Troy	-6.5	49.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Georgia State vs Ball State	-6.0	52.5	W 51 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	.15	39%	14.3	37%	2.76	155	42%	223	4.47	.23	48%	36.3	50%	47%	3.98	61.7	1	1.3
GAST	.17	42%	19.8	42%	2.72	194	42%	230	4.55	.13	41%	37.8	40%	41%	3.45	58.3	2	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	6	14.3	11.6	39.4%	4.47	1	20	378	155	223	3.9	52%	48%	37%	42%	20%	.15
GAST Defense	10	37.8	30.3	40.6%	3.45	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	40%	41%	20%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	6	36.3	37.6	48.4%	3.98	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	50%	47%	13%	.23
GAST Offense	10	19.8	21.5	41.9%	4.55	2	21	424	194	230	4.4	57%	43%	42%	42%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	6	34:17	19.8	41%	58%	7	61.7	1	1.3	3.3	0.8	1	27.4
Georgia State	10	28:38	20.7	45%	64%	5.5	58.3	2	2.1	7.4	3.2	1	34.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	6	52%	37%	39.5	155	3.9	11	.05	2.76	70%	13%	1.08
GAST Defense	10	43%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.75	56%	12%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	6	56%	50%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.19	64%	7%	0.92
GAST Offense	10	57%	42%	44.1	193.7	4.4	22	.12	2.72	64%	11%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	6	48%	42%	16.3	29.8	222.8	7.5	13.6	10	2	.25	1.7	34%	26%	.12	7%	2.1
GAST Defense	10	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.7	32%	34%	.32	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	6	44%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.33	1.5	27%	37%	.54	6%	2.1
GAST Offense	10	43%	42%	17.9	30.7	230.3	7.5	12.9	18	10	.24	1.7	30%	35%	.41	6%	2

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: NR
Charlotte's Offense Rating: NR
Charlotte's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Charlotte's 2021 Expected Record: -
Charlotte's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #115
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.2 #128

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: Georgia State: 3.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.7 Georgia State: 1.8

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: 3.4 NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Georgia State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #71
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #78
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Charlotte's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia State 29
Charlotte 24

Projected Total Points: 53

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Georgia State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Charlotte	25	Georgia State	41	Georgia State -6.5	Georgia State	52.0	Over
2022	09/17	Georgia State	41	Charlotte	42	Georgia State -19.5	Charlotte	64.0	Over
2021	09/18	Georgia State	20	Charlotte	9	Georgia State -4.5	Georgia State	62.5	Under
2017	09/23	Charlotte	0	Georgia State	28	Charlotte -1	Georgia State	50.0	Under
2015	09/04	Georgia State	20	Charlotte	23	Georgia State -4	Charlotte	68.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia State	3	3	2 Overs
Charlotte	2	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 4	1 - 4	1 - 3	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 1	4 - 1	1 - 0	3 - 1

(#) CHAR at (#) GAST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CHAR	GAST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#71
Perf GradeGrade	#119	#60
OffenseOff	#83	#62
DefenseDef	#133	#63
Spec TeamsST	#66	#95
TalentTal	#88	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Charlotte Injury Report

Georgia State Injury Report

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	GAST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#83	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#93	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#126	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	CHAR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#133
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#128
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#56	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#36	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#128

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#83	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#110	#130
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Georgia State Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Georgia State -4.5 (62.5)
Georgia State won vs Charlotte this year (20-9)

Previous Matchups
Georgia State beat Charlotte in 2023 (41-25)

CHAR's OC Mark Carney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Brandon Cooper (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

GAST's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD