Army at Ball State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Army logo   Army Black Knights at Ball State Cardinals  Ball State logo
Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (5:00 PM EDT)
Army -10.5 (46.5)
Ball State 28 - Army: 16

 
Black Knights (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (52 - 39)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (21 - 21 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BALL 2nd straight Home Game
BALL is playing their 5th straight game
ARMY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ ARMY -16)
Projected Score: ARMY: 24 - BALL: 21 (45)
ARMY Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ARMY Travel: 604 miles
Cardinals (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (23 - 36)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Army's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Army at Georgia State+2.550.0W 43 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Army vs Western Kentucky-6.052.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/18 Army vs UConn-34.548.0W 52 - 21ON
Sat 9/25 Army vs Miami (OH)-7.549.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Army at Ball State-10.546.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Army at Wisconsin+14.037.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Army vs Wake Forest+3.053.5L 56 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Army vs Air Force+2.537.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Army vs Bucknell-51.558.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 11/20 Army vs Massachusetts-37.556.0W 33 - 17UN
Sat 11/27 Army at Liberty+3.051.5W 31 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Army vs Navy+7.035.5L 13 - 17UY
Wed 12/22 Army vs Missouri-7.054.0W 24 - 22UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Ball State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Ball State vs Western Illinois-31.058.5W 31 - 21UN
Sat 9/11 Ball State at Penn State+23.058.0L 13 - 44UN
Sat 9/18 Ball State at Wyoming+6.553.5L 12 - 45ON
Sat 9/25 Ball State vs Toledo+4.556.5L 12 - 22UN
Sat 10/2 Ball State vs Army+10.546.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/9 Ball State at Western Michigan+13.057.5W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Ball State at Eastern Michigan-1.554.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 10/23 Ball State vs Miami (OH)-3.553.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Ball State at Akron-20.058.0W 31 - 25UN
Wed 11/10 Ball State at Northern Illinois-3.059.5L 29 - 30UN
Wed 11/17 Ball State vs Central Michigan+2.557.0L 17 - 37UN
Tue 11/23 Ball State vs Buffalo-6.059.5W 20 - 3UY
Sat 12/25 Ball State vs Georgia State+6.052.5L 20 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY.1541%23.842%2.8927332%454.2.0437%21.634%41%2.5941.31.21.5
BALL.2147%15.846%3.1617849%2693.65.1446%29.844%48%3.1348.91.12.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense1223.820.840.7%4.21.219318273454.689%11%42%32%11%.15
BALL Defense829.821.646.4%3.132.3 - - - - - 45%55%44%48%19%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense1221.621.237.2%2.591.5 - - - - - 52%47%34%41%20%.04
BALL Offense815.824.447.2%3.651.1244471782693.954%46%46%49%15%.21

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army1234:0719.345%68%4.741.31.21.55.81.5231.7
Ball State829:5324.447%54%5.848.91.12.371.9232.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense1289%42%59.7272.84.636.152.8986%9%1.07
BALL Defense845%44% - - - - .012.7459%12%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense1252%34% - - - - -.062.4256%13%0.96
BALL Offense854%46%45.81783.915.123.1666%9%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense1211%32%2.96.344.87.115.346.161.828%26%.212%1.9
BALL Defense855%48% - - - - - - 10.261.427%32%.337%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense1247%41% - - - - - - 12.151.635%26%.187%2.1
BALL Offense846%49%20.531.4269.38.613.1176.321.527%38%.426%2.1

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #151
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Army's 2021 Expected Record: -
Army's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #63
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #66
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Army:    Ball State: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: 4.7   Ball State: -11.2




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #108
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6  #106
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.2

Army's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Army 24
Ball State 21

Projected Total Points: 45
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/02Ball State28Army16Army -10.5Ball State46.5Under
201410/04Army33Ball State24Army -3Army0
201309/07Ball State40Army14Ball State -8Ball State0
201210/27Army22Ball State30
201109/24Ball State48Army21
200909/19Army24Ball State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State420 Overs
Army211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 13 - 02 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 50 - 30 - 10 - 2

(#) ARMY at (#) BALL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARMYBALL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #108
Perf GradeGrade #24 #108
OffenseOff #11 #114
DefenseDef #66 #83
Spec TeamsST #101 #45
TalentTal #151 #116
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Army on Offense
CategoryCat
ARMY OffBALL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #11 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #66 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffBALL Def
Run GameRun #77 #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #25
Army Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffBALL Def
Pass GamePass #69 #105
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #133 #21
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCatBALL OffARMY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #114 #66
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #116 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCatBALL OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #93 #87
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #91 #56
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Army 10.5 (46.5)
Ball State won vs Army this year (28-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARMY's OC Brent Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD