Ball State at Eastern Michigan - 2021 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Ball State -1.5 (54.5)
Ball State 38 - Eastern Michigan: 31 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (23 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (28 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL 2nd straight Road Game
EMU 2nd straight Home Game
EMU is playing their 7th straight game
BALL is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ EMU -3)
Projected Score: BALL: 24 - EMU: 31 (55)
BALL Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
BALL Travel: 168 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (32 - 52)
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
EMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Ball State vs Western Illinois	-31.0	58.5	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/11	Ball State at Penn State	+23.0	58.0	L 13 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/18	Ball State at Wyoming	+6.5	53.5	L 12 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Ball State vs Toledo	+4.5	56.5	L 12 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/2	Ball State vs Army	+10.5	46.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Ball State at Western Michigan	+13.0	57.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	-1.5	54.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	-3.5	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Ball State at Akron	-20.0	58.0	W 31 - 25	U	N
Wed 11/10	Ball State at Northern Illinois	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 30	U	N
Wed 11/17	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+2.5	57.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Tue 11/23	Ball State vs Buffalo	-6.0	59.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Ball State vs Georgia State	+6.0	52.5	L 20 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Eastern Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-34.0	54.5	W 35 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/11	Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin	+26.0	52.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/18	Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts	-22.0	56.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/25	Eastern Michigan vs Texas State	-7.5	62.0	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+0.0	62.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/9	Eastern Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+2.5	58.0	W 13 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	+1.5	54.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green	-4.5	49.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+9.0	54.5	W 52 - 49	O	Y
Tue 11/9	Eastern Michigan vs Ohio	-6.0	61.5	L 26 - 34	U	N
Tue 11/16	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+6.0	66.0	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+8.5	64.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/18	Eastern Michigan vs Liberty	+9.5	58.5	L 20 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.13	41%	24.1	41%	3.03	130	41%	208	3.68	.25	49%	28.4	47%	54%	3.93	40.8	0.9	1.5
EMU	.2	45%	30.2	42%	2.98	119	47%	263	4.23	.3	51%	30	53%	48%	4.1	34.5	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	13	24.1	28	40.5%	3.68	0.9	19	337	130	208	3.8	48%	51%	41%	41%	15%	.13
EMU Defense	13	30	23.5	50.8%	4.1	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	53%	48%	14%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	13	28.4	32.5	49.4%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	54%	13%	.25
EMU Offense	13	30.2	31	44.9%	4.23	1.1	22	381	119	263	3.4	43%	57%	42%	47%	18%	.2

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	13	27:39	19.1	40%	52%	4.9	40.8	0.9	1.5	5.3	1.8	1	30.5
Eastern Michigan	13	30:32	22.2	42%	48%	3.8	34.5	1.1	1.5	4	1.8	3	30.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	13	48%	41%	34.2	129.6	3.8	17	.14	3.03	75%	9%	1.04
EMU Defense	13	54%	53%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.62	85%	8%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	13	54%	47%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.27	78%	9%	0.91
EMU Offense	13	43%	42%	35	118.5	3.4	26	.13	2.98	73%	11%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	13	51%	41%	20.5	33.8	207.6	6.1	10.1	18	7	.14	1.4	33%	29%	.17	6%	1.8
EMU Defense	13	46%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.35	1.5	28%	35%	.31	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	13	45%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.4	1.3	27%	31%	.27	5%	1.9
EMU Offense	13	57%	47%	23.8	35	262.8	7.5	11.1	19	9	.28	1.4	30%	32%	.41	6%	2.1

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #108
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #106
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Eastern Michigan: -1.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -11.2 Eastern Michigan: -7.8

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -1.4 NR
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Eastern Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8 #101
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #81
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #123

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

Ball State's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 31
Ball State 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Eastern Michigan 32
Ball State 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Eastern Michigan 30
Ball State 26

Total Points: 56

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.5

Eastern Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Ball State	9	Eastern Michigan	24	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Eastern Michigan	48.5	Under
2023	10/07	Eastern Michigan	24	Ball State	10	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Eastern Michigan	43.5	Under
2022	10/22	Ball State	16	Eastern Michigan	20	Ball State -2.5	Eastern Michigan	57.5	Under
2021	10/16	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State	38	Ball State -1.5	Ball State	54.5	Over
2020	11/11	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State -8	Eastern Michigan	61.0	Over
2019	10/12	Eastern Michigan	23	Ball State	29	Eastern Michigan -2	Ball State	57.0	Under
2018	10/20	Ball State	20	Eastern Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Eastern Michigan	45.0	Over
2017	11/02	Eastern Michigan	56	Ball State	14	Eastern Michigan -24.5	Eastern Michigan	47.0	Over
2016	11/08	Ball State	41	Eastern Michigan	48	Ball State -3.5	Eastern Michigan	59.5	Over
2015	09/19	Eastern Michigan	17	Ball State	28	Ball State -6	Ball State	61.5	Under
2014	11/22	Ball State	45	Eastern Michigan	30	Ball State -17	Eastern Michigan	0
2013	09/21	Eastern Michigan	20	Ball State	51	Ball State -8	Ball State	0
2012	08/30	Ball State	37	Eastern Michigan	26
2011	11/05	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State	33
2010	10/16	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	41
2009	10/24	Eastern Michigan	27	Ball State	29
2008	10/25	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	16
2007	09/08	Eastern Michigan	16	Ball State	38
2006	08/31	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	20
2005	11/12	Eastern Michigan	25	Ball State	26
2004	10/09	Ball State	24	Eastern Michigan	31
2003	11/15	Eastern Michigan	38	Ball State	14
2002	10/19	Ball State	42	Eastern Michigan	17
2001	10/13	Eastern Michigan	14	Ball State	35
2000	10/13	Ball State	33	Eastern Michigan	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	9	8	5 Overs
Ball State	16	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	2 - 10	2 - 5	0 - 5
Road Teams	15 - 10	10 - 2	5 - 0	5 - 2

(#) BALL at (#) EMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	EMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#101
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#85
OffenseOff	#114	#37
DefenseDef	#83	#119
Spec TeamsST	#45	#31
TalentTal	#116	#115
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	EMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#114	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#116	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#93	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#91	#22
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#68	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#23	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#21
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 54° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Ball State 1.5 (54.5)
Ball State won at Eastern Michigan this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (24-10)
Eastern Michigan beat Ball State in 2022 (20-16)

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Neal Neathery (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD