Georgia State at Louisiana - 2021 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Thursday, November 4th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisiana -13.5 (53.5)
Louisiana 21 - Georgia State: 17 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (23 - 27)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

GAST 2nd straight Road Game
ULL 2nd straight Home Game
ULL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ ULL -7)
Projected Score: GAST: 24 - ULL: 35 (59)
ULL Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
GAST Travel: 510 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ragin' Cajuns (13 - 1) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (30 - 12)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia State vs Army	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia State at North Carolina	+26.0	65.0	L 17 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-4.5	62.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Georgia State at Auburn	+27.5	57.5	L 24 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia State vs App State	+10.5	54.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/9	Georgia State at UL Monroe	-16.0	49.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Georgia State vs Texas State	-10.0	58.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+12.5	53.5	W 42 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	-15.5	66.0	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/27	Georgia State vs Troy	-6.5	49.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Georgia State vs Ball State	-6.0	52.5	W 51 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

Louisiana's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana at Texas	+8.5	58.0	L 18 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/11	Louisiana vs Nicholls	-26.0	65.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Thu 9/16	Louisiana vs Ohio	-18.5	56.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	-14.5	54.5	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana at South Alabama	-12.0	52.5	W 20 - 18	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	+4.5	57.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/21	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-17.0	70.0	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana vs Texas State	-21.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Louisiana at Troy	-6.5	48.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Louisiana at Liberty	+4.0	53.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-21.5	56.0	W 21 - 16	U	N
Sat 12/4	Louisiana vs App State	+2.5	52.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/18	Louisiana vs Marshall	-4.0	55.5	W 36 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.17	42%	19.8	42%	2.72	194	42%	230	4.55	.13	41%	37.8	40%	41%	3.45	58.3	2	2.1
ULL	.25	47%	26	50%	3.38	213	43%	208	3.77	.13	43%	29.2	47%	36%	3.84	61.3	1.2	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	10	19.8	18	41.9%	4.55	2	21	424	194	230	4.4	57%	43%	42%	42%	17%	.17
ULL Defense	11	29.2	27.2	42.7%	3.84	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	47%	36%	14%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	10	37.8	45.3	40.6%	3.45	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	40%	41%	20%	.13
ULL Offense	11	26	30.3	46.9%	3.77	1.2	21	421	213	208	5.5	57%	43%	50%	43%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	10	28:38	20.7	45%	64%	5.5	58.3	2	2.1	7.4	3.2	1	34.4
Louisiana	11	28:45	21	43%	42%	6.2	61.3	1.2	2.1	4.3	1.6	4	31.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	10	57%	42%	44.1	193.7	4.4	22	.12	2.72	64%	11%	1.05
ULL Defense	11	58%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.3	83%	7%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	10	43%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.75	56%	12%	0.99
ULL Offense	11	57%	50%	39	213.2	5.5	25	.23	3.38	66%	8%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	10	43%	42%	17.9	30.7	230.3	7.5	12.9	18	10	.24	1.7	30%	35%	.41	6%	2
ULL Defense	11	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.06	1.5	28%	27%	.13	7%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	10	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.7	32%	34%	.32	8%	2.1
ULL Offense	11	43%	43%	16.3	28	208.2	7.4	12.8	20	7	.29	1.6	30%	36%	.39	6%	2

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #71
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #78
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: Louisiana: 6.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: 1.8 Louisiana: 8.7

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: 6.85 NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #47
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #54
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana 35
Georgia State 24

Projected Total Points: 59

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Louisiana	17	Georgia State	20	Louisiana -3	Georgia State	62.0	Under
2021	11/04	Louisiana	21	Georgia State	17	Louisiana -13.5	Georgia State	53.5	Under
2020	09/19	Georgia State	31	Louisiana	34	Louisiana -17	Georgia State	57.5	Over
2018	11/10	Louisiana	36	Georgia State	22	Louisiana -13.5	Louisiana	70.0	Under
2015	11/07	Georgia State	21	Louisiana	23	Louisiana -6.5	Georgia State	59.5	Under
2014	10/04	Louisiana	34	Georgia State	31	Louisiana -16	Georgia State	65.0	Push
2013	11/16	Georgia State	21	Louisiana	35	Louisiana -21	Georgia State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	6	1	1 Overs
Georgia State	1	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	4 - 3	1 - 3	3 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 3	3 - 4	0 - 3	3 - 1

(#) GAST at (#) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	ULL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#60	#13
OffenseOff	#62	#13
DefenseDef	#63	#16
Spec TeamsST	#95	#33
TalentTal	#102	#96
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

Louisiana Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#16
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#56	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#36	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#108

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#83	#19
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#110	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#13	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#44	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Louisiana -13.5 (53.5)
Louisiana won vs Georgia State this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Georgia State beat Louisiana in 2023 (20-17)

GAST's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULL's OC Michael Desormeaux (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD