Georgia State at UL Monroe - 2021 Matchup Preview

Georgia State Panthers at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Georgia State -16 (49.5)
Georgia State 55 - UL Monroe: 21 (Sun Belt)

Panthers (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shawn Elliott (23 - 27)
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM is playing their 4th straight game
GAST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ GAST -22)
Projected Score: GAST: 23 - ULM: 29 (52)
GAST Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
GAST Travel: 452 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Warhawks (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Terry Bowden (1 - 1)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (18 - 22 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GAST Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia State vs Army	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia State at North Carolina	+26.0	65.0	L 17 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia State vs Charlotte	-4.5	62.5	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Georgia State at Auburn	+27.5	57.5	L 24 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia State vs App State	+10.5	54.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/9	Georgia State at UL Monroe	-16.0	49.5	W 55 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Georgia State vs Texas State	-10.0	58.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Georgia State at Georgia Southern	-6.0	55.0	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Georgia State at Louisiana	+13.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Georgia State at Coastal Carolina	+12.5	53.5	W 42 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia State vs Arkansas State	-15.5	66.0	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/27	Georgia State vs Troy	-6.5	49.5	W 37 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Georgia State vs Ball State	-6.0	52.5	W 51 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	UL Monroe at Kentucky	+31.0	54.0	L 10 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	52.0	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UL Monroe vs Troy	+23.5	49.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina	+33.5	57.5	L 6 - 59	O	N
Sat 10/9	UL Monroe vs Georgia State	+16.0	49.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	UL Monroe vs Liberty	+32.5	57.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/23	UL Monroe vs South Alabama	+13.5	51.5	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	UL Monroe at App State	+26.5	57.5	L 28 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/6	UL Monroe at Texas State	+3.0	57.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/13	UL Monroe vs Arkansas State	-3.0	66.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/20	UL Monroe at LSU	+29.0	57.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/27	UL Monroe at Louisiana	+21.5	56.0	L 16 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST	.17	42%	19.8	42%	2.72	194	42%	230	4.55	.13	41%	37.8	40%	41%	3.45	58.3	2	2.1
ULM	.03	35%	16.6	36%	2.33	76	35%	229	3.04	.34	48%	31.9	50%	45%	4.23	43.7	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GAST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Offense	10	19.8	18	41.9%	4.55	2	21	424	194	230	4.4	57%	43%	42%	42%	17%	.17
ULM Defense	10	31.9	22	48%	4.23	1	-	-	-	-	-	65%	35%	50%	45%	13%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GAST Defense	10	37.8	45.3	40.6%	3.45	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	40%	41%	20%	.13
ULM Offense	10	16.6	18.2	35.3%	3.04	1.8	17	305	76	229	3.1	36%	64%	36%	35%	20%	.03

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia State	10	28:38	20.7	45%	64%	5.5	58.3	2	2.1	7.4	3.2	1	34.4
UL Monroe	10	27:14	16.6	26%	53%	4.8	43.7	1.8	1	5.3	1.7	0	26.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Offense	10	57%	42%	44.1	193.7	4.4	22	.12	2.72	64%	11%	1.05
ULM Defense	10	65%	50%	-	-	-	-	.26	3.31	72%	9%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GAST Defense	10	43%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.75	56%	12%	0.99
ULM Offense	10	36%	36%	24.9	76.1	3.1	8	-.1	2.33	50%	11%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Offense	10	43%	42%	17.9	30.7	230.3	7.5	12.9	18	10	.24	1.7	30%	35%	.41	6%	2
ULM Defense	10	35%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.49	2	30%	39%	.62	3%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GAST Defense	10	57%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.7	32%	34%	.32	8%	2.1
ULM Offense	10	64%	35%	22.3	38.3	229	6	10.3	14	12	.09	1.5	38%	25%	.08	8%	1.9

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #71
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #78
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: UL Monroe: -7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: 1.8 UL Monroe: -20.3

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -7.65 NR
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: NR
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UL Monroe's 2021 Expected Record: -
UL Monroe's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #125
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #128
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #114

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UL Monroe 29
Georgia State 23

Projected Total Points: 52

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UL Monroe's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	Georgia State	28	UL Monroe	31	Georgia State -13.5	UL Monroe	59.5	Under
2021	10/09	UL Monroe	21	Georgia State	55	Georgia State -16	Georgia State	49.5	Over
2020	11/07	Georgia State	52	UL Monroe	34	Georgia State -18.5	UL Monroe	60.0	Over
2019	11/09	UL Monroe	45	Georgia State	31	Georgia State -2.5	UL Monroe	77.5	Under
2018	09/29	Georgia State	46	UL Monroe	14	Louisiana Monroe -6	Georgia State	65.0	Under
2017	10/14	UL Monroe	37	Georgia State	47	Louisiana Monroe -3.5	Georgia State	57.0	Over
2016	11/12	Georgia State	23	UL Monroe	37	Georgia State -12.5	UL Monroe	51.5	Over
2013	10/26	UL Monroe	38	Georgia State	10	Louisiana Monroe -11.5	UL Monroe	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	4	5	4 Overs
Georgia State	4	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	3 - 5	1 - 4	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 4	5 - 3	1 - 2	4 - 1

(#) GAST at (#) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GAST	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#125
Perf GradeGrade	#60	#132
OffenseOff	#62	#134
DefenseDef	#63	#103
Spec TeamsST	#95	#128
TalentTal	#102	#122
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia State Injury Report

UL Monroe Injury Report

Georgia State on Offense


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#103
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia State Run Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#56	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#36	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

Georgia State Pass Game


CategoryCat	GAST Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#83	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#110	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UL Monroe on Offense


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GAST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#63
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#128	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UL Monroe Run Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GAST Def
Run GameRun	#135	#39
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

UL Monroe Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULM Off	GAST Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#131	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Georgia State 16.0 (49.5)
Georgia State won at UL Monroe this year (55-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

GAST's OC Brad Glenn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC Nate Fuqua (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ULM's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD