Central Michigan at Ball State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals

Wednesday, November 17th 2021 (7:00 PM EST)
Central Michigan -2.5 (57.0)
Central Michigan 37 - Ball State: 17 (Mid-American)

Chippewas (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jim McElwain (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ CMU -10)
Projected Score: CMU: 23 - BALL: 23 (46)
CMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CMU Travel: 235 miles

Cardinals (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (23 - 36)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
BALL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Central Michigan at Missouri	+13.5	59.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Central Michigan vs Robert Morris	-37.5	53.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Central Michigan at LSU	+19.5	61.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/25	Central Michigan vs Florida International	-12.0	55.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/2	Central Michigan at Miami (OH)	-2.5	56.5	L 17 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/9	Central Michigan at Ohio	-5.0	58.0	W 30 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/16	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+5.0	53.0	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Central Michigan vs Northern Illinois	-6.0	56.0	L 38 - 39	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+9.0	64.5	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Wed 11/10	Central Michigan vs Kent State	-2.5	76.5	W 54 - 30	O	Y
Wed 11/17	Central Michigan at Ball State	-2.5	57.0	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-8.5	64.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Fri 12/31	Central Michigan vs Washington State	+5.5	56.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Fri 12/31	Central Michigan vs Boise State	+7.5	55.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Ball State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Ball State vs Western Illinois	-31.0	58.5	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/11	Ball State at Penn State	+23.0	58.0	L 13 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/18	Ball State at Wyoming	+6.5	53.5	L 12 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Ball State vs Toledo	+4.5	56.5	L 12 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/2	Ball State vs Army	+10.5	46.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Ball State at Western Michigan	+13.0	57.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	-1.5	54.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	-3.5	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Ball State at Akron	-20.0	58.0	W 31 - 25	U	N
Wed 11/10	Ball State at Northern Illinois	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 30	U	N
Wed 11/17	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+2.5	57.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Tue 11/23	Ball State vs Buffalo	-6.0	59.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Ball State vs Georgia State	+6.0	52.5	L 20 - 51	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	.14	41%	22.5	44%	2.83	219	37%	202	3.07	.15	41%	23.5	40%	42%	3.34	58.5	1.5	2.3
BALL	.21	47%	15.8	46%	3.16	178	49%	269	3.65	.14	46%	29.8	44%	48%	3.13	48.9	1.1	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	6	22.5	19.1	41%	3.07	1.5	20	421	219	202	5.1	57%	43%	44%	37%	16%	.14
BALL Defense	8	29.8	21.6	46.4%	3.13	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	44%	48%	19%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	6	23.5	28	40.8%	3.34	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.15
BALL Offense	8	15.8	24.4	47.2%	3.65	1.1	24	447	178	269	3.9	54%	46%	46%	49%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	6	28:47	19.7	28%	58%	5.8	58.5	1.5	2.3	6.7	3.2	0	31.8
Ball State	8	29:53	24.4	47%	54%	5.8	48.9	1.1	2.3	7	1.9	2	32.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	6	57%	44%	43.2	218.5	5.1	15	.12	2.83	64%	11%	0.99
BALL Defense	8	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.74	59%	12%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	6	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.52	56%	12%	0.85
BALL Offense	8	54%	46%	45.8	178	3.9	15	.12	3.16	66%	9%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	6	43%	37%	17.7	28.8	202.3	7	11.5	6	4	.16	1.5	29%	22%	.22	4%	2.6
BALL Defense	8	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.26	1.4	27%	32%	.33	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	6	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.33	1.9	33%	39%	.57	6%	2.3
BALL Offense	8	46%	49%	20.5	31.4	269.3	8.6	13.1	17	6	.32	1.5	27%	38%	.42	6%	2.1

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Central Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Central Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #84
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #68
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #93

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: Ball State: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -1.0 Ball State: -11.2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #108
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #106
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Central Michigan 23
Ball State 23

Projected Total Points: 46

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Central Michigan	37	Ball State	34	Central Michigan -6.5	Ball State	51.0	Over
2023	10/21	Ball State	24	Central Michigan	17	Central Michigan -5	Ball State	42.0	Under
2022	10/08	Central Michigan	16	Ball State	17	Central Michigan -7.5	Ball State	63.0	Under
2021	11/17	Ball State	17	Central Michigan	37	Central Michigan -2.5	Central Michigan	57.0	Under
2020	12/05	Central Michigan	20	Ball State	45	Ball State -2.5	Ball State	62.5	Over
2019	11/16	Ball State	44	Central Michigan	45	Ball State -2	Central Michigan	59.5	Over
2018	10/13	Central Michigan	23	Ball State	24	Central Michigan -2.5	Ball State	54.5	Under
2017	10/21	Ball State	9	Central Michigan	56	Central Michigan -3	Central Michigan	48.0	Over
2016	10/08	Central Michigan	24	Ball State	21	Central Michigan -13.5	Ball State	56.0	Under
2015	10/24	Ball State	21	Central Michigan	23	Central Michigan -6	Ball State	56.0	Under
2014	10/18	Central Michigan	29	Ball State	32	Central Michigan -6.5	Ball State	0
2013	11/06	Ball State	44	Central Michigan	24	Ball State -21.5	Central Michigan	0
2012	10/20	Central Michigan	30	Ball State	41
2011	10/22	Ball State	31	Central Michigan	27
2010	10/02	Central Michigan	17	Ball State	31
2009	11/18	Ball State	3	Central Michigan	35
2008	11/19	Central Michigan	24	Ball State	31
2007	10/06	Ball State	38	Central Michigan	58
2006	10/14	Central Michigan	18	Ball State	7
2005	11/19	Ball State	24	Central Michigan	31
2004	11/20	Central Michigan	41	Ball State	40
2003	09/20	Ball State	27	Central Michigan	14
2002	11/16	Central Michigan	21	Ball State	38
2001	11/03	Ball State	38	Central Michigan	34
2000	10/27	Central Michigan	34	Ball State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ball State	14	8	4 Overs
Central Michigan	11	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 16	2 - 10	0 - 7	2 - 3
Road Teams	16 - 9	10 - 2	3 - 2	7 - 0

(#) CMU at (#) BALL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CMU	BALL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#108
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#108
OffenseOff	#29	#114
DefenseDef	#32	#83
Spec TeamsST	#70	#45
TalentTal	#123	#116
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Central Michigan Injury Report

Ball State Injury Report

Central Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BALL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#29	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Central Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#46	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

Central Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	CMU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#72	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#78	#21
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	CMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#114	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#116	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#48

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#93	#54
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#91	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Central Michigan 2.5 (57.0)
Central Michigan won at Ball State this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Ball State in 2024 (37-34)
Ball State beat Central Michigan in 2023 (24-17)

CMU's OC Kevin Barbay (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Robb Akey (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD