Ball State at Akron - 2021 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, November 2nd 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ball State -20 (58.0)
Ball State 31 - Akron: 25 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (23 - 36)
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (28 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BALL coming off BYE
AKR coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ BALL -12)
Projected Score: BALL: 34 - AKR: 23 (57)
BALL Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
BALL Travel: 213 miles

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tom Arth (2 - 19)
Avg Score : 20 - 40 (19 - 35 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Ball State vs Western Illinois	-31.0	58.5	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/11	Ball State at Penn State	+23.0	58.0	L 13 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/18	Ball State at Wyoming	+6.5	53.5	L 12 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Ball State vs Toledo	+4.5	56.5	L 12 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/2	Ball State vs Army	+10.5	46.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Ball State at Western Michigan	+13.0	57.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	-1.5	54.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	-3.5	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Ball State at Akron	-20.0	58.0	W 31 - 25	U	N
Wed 11/10	Ball State at Northern Illinois	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 30	U	N
Wed 11/17	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+2.5	57.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Tue 11/23	Ball State vs Buffalo	-6.0	59.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Ball State vs Georgia State	+6.0	52.5	L 20 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Akron's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Akron at Auburn	+37.5	56.5	L 10 - 60	O	N
Sat 9/11	Akron vs Temple	+6.5	51.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/18	Akron vs Bryant	-14.0	49.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Akron at Ohio State	+48.5	66.5	L 7 - 59	U	N
Sat 10/2	Akron vs Ohio	+10.0	55.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/9	Akron at Bowling Green	+14.0	46.0	W 35 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Akron at Miami (OH)	+20.0	51.0	L 21 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Akron vs Buffalo	+13.5	58.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Akron vs Ball State	+20.0	58.0	L 25 - 31	U	Y
Tue 11/9	Akron at Western Michigan	+24.5	62.0	L 40 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Akron vs Kent State	+13.5	72.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/27	Akron at Toledo	+28.5	57.5	L 14 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.13	41%	24.1	41%	3.03	130	41%	208	3.68	.25	49%	28.4	47%	54%	3.93	40.8	0.9	1.5
AKR	.19	41%	19.8	41%	3.17	122	41%	218	3.83	.42	55%	39.5	58%	51%	5.52	46.1	1.4	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	13	24.1	28	40.5%	3.68	0.9	19	337	130	208	3.8	48%	51%	41%	41%	15%	.13
AKR Defense	12	39.5	34.5	54.6%	5.52	1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	58%	51%	12%	.42

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	13	28.4	32.5	49.4%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	54%	13%	.25
AKR Offense	12	19.8	18.5	41%	3.83	1.4	19	339	122	218	3.4	48%	52%	41%	41%	23%	.19

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	13	27:39	19.1	40%	52%	4.9	40.8	0.9	1.5	5.3	1.8	1	30.5
Akron	12	31:09	18.8	38%	44%	5.7	46.1	1.4	1	3.8	1.3	2	26.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	13	48%	41%	34.2	129.6	3.8	17	.14	3.03	75%	9%	1.04
AKR Defense	12	58%	58%	-	-	-	-	.42	3.75	84%	8%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	13	54%	47%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.27	78%	9%	0.91
AKR Offense	12	48%	41%	36	121.9	3.4	8	.16	3.17	60%	19%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	13	51%	41%	20.5	33.8	207.6	6.1	10.1	18	7	.14	1.4	33%	29%	.17	6%	1.8
AKR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.44	1.6	27%	37%	.48	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	13	45%	54%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.4	1.3	27%	31%	.27	5%	1.9
AKR Offense	12	52%	41%	18.8	29.3	217.5	7.4	11.6	21	5	.21	1.6	34%	29%	.31	4%	2

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #108
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #106
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Akron: -9.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -11.2 Akron: -23.1

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -9.05 NR
Akron's Offense Rating: NR
Akron's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Akron's 2021 Expected Record: -
Akron's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.1 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.7 #129

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

Ball State's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ball State 34
Akron 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Ball State 37
Akron 21

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Ball State 32
Akron 25

Total Points: 57

Akron Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 39.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.5

Akron's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Ball State	42	Akron	28	Akron -2.5	Ball State	44.5	Over
2021	11/02	Akron	25	Ball State	31	Ball State -20	Akron	58.0	Under
2017	10/07	Akron	31	Ball State	3	Akron -4.5	Akron	52.0	Under
2016	10/22	Ball State	25	Akron	35	Ball State -2	Akron	62.5	Under
2014	10/25	Ball State	35	Akron	21	Akron -1	Ball State	0
2013	10/26	Akron	24	Ball State	42	Ball State -11.5	Ball State	0
2010	11/06	Ball State	37	Akron	30
2008	09/13	Akron	24	Ball State	41
2005	11/05	Ball State	23	Akron	17
2004	10/23	Akron	35	Ball State	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	3	3	1 Overs
Ball State	7	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 2	1 - 1	3 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 6	2 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 1

(#) BALL at (#) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	AKR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#128
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#134
OffenseOff	#114	#126
DefenseDef	#83	#135
Spec TeamsST	#45	#116
TalentTal	#116	#119
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Akron Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	AKR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#114	#135
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#129
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#116	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#67

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#93	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#91	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#126	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#114	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#130	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#68	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#134	#21
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 41° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Ball State 20.0 (58.0)
Ball State won at Akron this year (31-25)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AKR's OC Tommy Zagorski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Matt Feeney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD