Oregon State at California - 2021 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at California Golden Bears

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -2.5 (56.5)
California 39 - Oregon State: 25 (Pac-12)

Beavers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CAL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ ORST -5.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 20 - CAL: 29 (49)
ORST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 465 miles

Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
CAL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon State at Purdue	+7.0	67.0	L 21 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon State vs Hawai'i	-11.0	65.0	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon State vs Idaho	-28.0	63.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oregon State at USC	+11.0	62.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oregon State vs Washington	-2.5	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Oregon State at Washington State	-4.0	59.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Oregon State vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon State at California	-2.5	56.5	L 25 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon State at Colorado	-11.5	55.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/13	Oregon State vs Stanford	-12.5	56.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon State vs Arizona State	+2.5	59.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oregon State at Oregon	+7.5	61.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/18	Oregon State vs Utah State	-7.0	68.0	L 13 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

California's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	California vs Nevada	-2.5	52.5	L 17 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/11	California at TCU	+11.5	46.5	L 32 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	California vs Sacramento State	-24.5	49.0	W 42 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/25	California at Washington	+7.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/2	California vs Washington State	-7.5	52.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	California at Oregon	+13.5	53.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/23	California vs Colorado	-8.0	44.0	W 26 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/30	California vs Oregon State	+2.5	56.5	W 39 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/6	California at Arizona	-7.0	47.0	L 3 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/13	California vs USC	+2.0	52.5
Sat 11/20	California at Stanford	-2.5	46.0	W 41 - 11	O	Y
Sat 11/27	California at UCLA	+6.5	58.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 12/4	California vs USC	-4.5	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	.23	47%	17.6	55%	3.33	198	38%	211	4.26	.28	49%	29.4	50%	47%	3.9	55.3	1.1	0.7
CAL	.07	39%	25.3	44%	2.75	127	34%	193	3.9	.18	49%	27.2	48%	49%	3.85	33.8	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	7	17.6	11.8	46.6%	4.26	1.1	22	409	198	211	5.4	51%	49%	55%	38%	14%	.23
CAL Defense	4	27.2	24.3	48.6%	3.85	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	49%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	7	29.4	35.2	48.8%	3.9	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	50%	47%	13%	.28
CAL Offense	4	25.3	27.2	38.5%	3.9	1.3	18	320	127	193	3.4	47%	53%	44%	34%	17%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	7	27:57	22.1	40%	63%	6.1	55.3	1.1	0.7	3.9	1	1	32.4
California	4	30:41	18.3	37%	50%	4.3	33.8	1.3	1.3	5	1.8	0	25.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	7	51%	55%	36.9	197.6	5.4	15	.29	3.33	80%	8%	0.97
CAL Defense	4	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.08	75%	9%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	7	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.06	72%	7%	1.01
CAL Offense	4	47%	44%	37	126.8	3.4	4	.11	2.75	62%	12%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	7	49%	38%	19.1	33.3	211.3	6.4	11	11	5	.17	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7
CAL Defense	4	45%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.31	1.5	24%	32%	.36	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	7	43%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.32	1.4	25%	37%	.48	6%	2
CAL Offense	4	53%	34%	21.3	34.8	192.8	5.6	9.1	6	3	.04	1.3	31%	25%	.21	5%	1.8

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #44
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #16
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: California: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 8.9 California: 3.4

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.2 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
California 29
Oregon State 20

Projected Total Points: 49

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Oregon State	15	California	34	Oregon State -3	California	51.5	Under
2024	10/26	California	44	Oregon State	7	California -13.0	California	51.0	Push
2023	10/07	California	40	Oregon State	52	Oregon State -7.5	Oregon State	51.0	Over
2022	11/12	Oregon State	38	California	10	Oregon State -11.5	Oregon State	47.0	Over
2021	10/30	California	39	Oregon State	25	Oregon State -2.5	California	56.5	Over
2020	11/21	Oregon State	31	California	27	California -1.0	Oregon State	46.5	Over
2019	10/19	California	17	Oregon State	21	California -10	Oregon State	51.0	Under
2018	10/20	Oregon State	7	California	49	California -8.5	California	58.0	Under
2017	11/04	California	37	Oregon State	23	California -7	California	54.0	Over
2016	10/08	Oregon State	47	California	44	California -10	Oregon State	70.0	Over
2015	11/14	California	54	Oregon State	24	California -17.5	California	64.0	Over
2014	11/01	Oregon State	31	California	45	Oregon State -4.5	California	0
2013	10/19	California	17	Oregon State	49	Oregon State -7.5	Oregon State	0
2012	11/17	Oregon State	62	California	14
2011	11/12	California	23	Oregon State	6
2010	10/30	Oregon State	35	California	7
2009	11/07	California	14	Oregon State	31
2008	11/15	Oregon State	34	California	21
2007	10/13	California	28	Oregon State	31
2006	09/30	Oregon State	13	California	41
2005	10/15	California	20	Oregon State	23
2004	10/02	Oregon State	7	California	49
2003	10/04	California	21	Oregon State	35
2002	10/26	Oregon State	24	California	13
2001	10/27	Oregon State	19	California	10
2000	11/03	California	32	Oregon State	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
California	10	7	7 Overs
Oregon State	16	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 13	7 - 6	4 - 3	3 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 13	6 - 7	3 - 3	3 - 4

(#) ORST at (#) CAL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	CAL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#37	#72
OffenseOff	#12	#74
DefenseDef	#93	#68
Spec TeamsST	#121	#58
TalentTal	#48	#40
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon State Injury Report

California Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	#37	#102
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#100

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#107	#68
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#27	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#119

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Oregon State 2.5 (56.5)
California won vs Oregon State this year (39-25)

Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (34-15)
California beat Oregon State in 2024 (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD