Stanford at Oregon State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, November 13th 2021 (5:30 PM EST)
Oregon State -12.5 (56.5)
Oregon State 35 - Stanford: 14 (Pac-12)

Cardinal (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach David Shaw (92 - 37)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (13 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -12 (SP+ ORST -19)
Projected Score: STAN: 21 - ORST: 25 (46)
ORST Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
STAN Travel: 496 miles

Beavers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
STAN Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Stanford vs Kansas State	+3.0	54.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Stanford at USC	+17.0	53.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Stanford at Vanderbilt	-13.0	49.0	W 41 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Stanford vs UCLA	+4.0	60.5	L 24 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/2	Stanford vs Oregon	+8.5	57.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/8	Stanford at Arizona State	+13.5	53.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/16	Stanford at Washington State	+1.0	53.0	L 31 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Stanford vs Washington	-2.5	45.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/5	Stanford vs Utah	+10.0	52.0	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/13	Stanford at Oregon State	+12.5	56.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/20	Stanford vs California	+2.5	46.0	L 11 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/27	Stanford vs Notre Dame	+20.5	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Oregon State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon State at Purdue	+7.0	67.0	L 21 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon State vs Hawai'i	-11.0	65.0	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon State vs Idaho	-28.0	63.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oregon State at USC	+11.0	62.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oregon State vs Washington	-2.5	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Oregon State at Washington State	-4.0	59.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Oregon State vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon State at California	-2.5	56.5	L 25 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon State at Colorado	-11.5	55.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/13	Oregon State vs Stanford	-12.5	56.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon State vs Arizona State	+2.5	59.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oregon State at Oregon	+7.5	61.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/18	Oregon State vs Utah State	-7.0	68.0	L 13 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	.27	49%	18.8	47%	3.17	132	52%	288	3.28	.32	50%	29.2	53%	45%	3.94	56.8	0.7	1.2
ORST	.23	47%	17.6	55%	3.33	198	38%	211	4.26	.28	49%	29.4	50%	47%	3.9	55.3	1.1	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	6	18.8	12.5	49.4%	3.28	0.7	22	419	132	288	4.1	45%	55%	47%	52%	13%	.27
ORST Defense	7	29.4	25.3	48.8%	3.9	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	50%	47%	13%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	6	29.2	32.3	49.7%	3.94	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	53%	45%	13%	.32
ORST Offense	7	17.6	21.7	46.6%	4.26	1.1	22	409	198	211	5.4	51%	49%	55%	38%	14%	.23

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	6	31:34	21.7	48%	86%	5.8	56.8	0.7	1.2	4.8	1.3	0	28.4
Oregon State	7	27:57	22.1	40%	63%	6.1	55.3	1.1	0.7	3.9	1	1	32.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	6	45%	47%	32.3	131.7	4.1	15	.18	3.17	83%	7%	0.9
ORST Defense	7	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.06	72%	7%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	6	59%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.42	70%	9%	1
ORST Offense	7	51%	55%	36.9	197.6	5.4	15	.29	3.33	80%	8%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	6	55%	52%	23.8	36.7	287.7	7.9	12.1	7	3	.35	1.4	27%	43%	.65	6%	2
ORST Defense	7	43%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.32	1.4	25%	37%	.48	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	6	41%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.43	1.7	27%	41%	.61	4%	2
ORST Offense	7	49%	38%	19.1	33.3	211.3	6.4	11	11	5	.17	1.4	29%	25%	.16	7%	1.7

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stanford's 2021 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #106
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #105
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #108

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: Oregon State: 6.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -10.2 Oregon State: 8.9

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 6.95 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #44
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #16
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Stanford's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 25
Stanford 21

Projected Total Points: 46

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Oregon State	62	Stanford	17	Oregon State -21.5	Oregon State	51.5	Over
2022	10/08	Stanford	27	Oregon State	28	Oregon State -4.5	Stanford	53.0	Over
2021	11/13	Oregon State	35	Stanford	14	Oregon State -12.5	Oregon State	56.5	Under
2020	12/12	Oregon State	24	Stanford	27	Stanford -2.5	Stanford	55.0	Under
2019	09/28	Oregon State	28	Stanford	31	Stanford -3.5	Oregon State	56.0	Over
2018	11/10	Stanford	48	Oregon State	17	Stanford -23.5	Stanford	61.5	Over
2017	10/26	Oregon State	14	Stanford	15	Stanford -18	Oregon State	56.5	Under
2016	11/05	Stanford	26	Oregon State	15	Stanford -16.5	Oregon State	42.5	Under
2015	09/25	Oregon State	24	Stanford	42	Stanford -16.5	Stanford	47.0	Over
2014	10/25	Stanford	38	Oregon State	14	Stanford -13.5	Stanford	0
2013	10/26	Oregon State	12	Stanford	20	Stanford -6	Stanford	0
2012	11/10	Stanford	27	Oregon State	23
2011	11/05	Oregon State	13	Stanford	38
2010	11/27	Stanford	38	Oregon State	0
2009	10/10	Oregon State	38	Stanford	28
2008	08/28	Stanford	36	Oregon State	28
2007	10/27	Oregon State	23	Stanford	6
2006	11/18	Stanford	7	Oregon State	30
2005	11/12	Oregon State	17	Stanford	20
2004	11/13	Stanford	19	Oregon State	24
2003	11/15	Oregon State	43	Stanford	3
2000	10/13	Oregon State	38	Stanford	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	9	5	5 Overs
Stanford	13	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 10	7 - 4	4 - 1	3 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 12	4 - 7	3 - 3	1 - 4

(#) STAN at (#) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	ORST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#124	#37
OffenseOff	#108	#12
DefenseDef	#131	#93
Spec TeamsST	#39	#121
TalentTal	#24	#48
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Stanford Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#108	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#127	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#119

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#101	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#108
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#37	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#102

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	#100
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Oregon State -12.5 (56.5)
Oregon State won vs Stanford this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Stanford in 2023 (62-17)

STAN's OC Tavita Pritchard (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Lance Anderson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD