Oregon State at Washington State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Washington State Cougars

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -4 (59.0)
Washington State 31 - Oregon State: 24 (Pac-12)

Beavers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 26 (30 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU is playing their 6th straight game
ORST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ ORST -2)
Projected Score: ORST: 32 - WSU: 27 (59)
ORST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 331 miles

Cougars (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Rolovich (2 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
WSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon State at Purdue	+7.0	67.0	L 21 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon State vs Hawai'i	-11.0	65.0	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon State vs Idaho	-28.0	63.5	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oregon State at USC	+11.0	62.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oregon State vs Washington	-2.5	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Oregon State at Washington State	-4.0	59.0	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Oregon State vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon State at California	-2.5	56.5	L 25 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon State at Colorado	-11.5	55.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/13	Oregon State vs Stanford	-12.5	56.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon State vs Arizona State	+2.5	59.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oregon State at Oregon	+7.5	61.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/18	Oregon State vs Utah State	-7.0	68.0	L 13 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Washington State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Washington State vs Utah State	-17.5	66.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/11	Washington State vs Portland State	-31.0	65.5	W 44 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/18	Washington State vs USC	+7.0	61.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/25	Washington State at Utah	+15.0	53.5	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Washington State at California	+7.5	52.5	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Washington State vs Oregon State	+4.0	59.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Washington State vs Stanford	-1.0	53.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Washington State vs BYU	+3.5	56.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Washington State at Arizona State	+16.5	55.5	W 34 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Washington State at Oregon	+13.0	58.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/19	Washington State vs Arizona	-15.0	52.5	W 44 - 18	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Washington State at Washington	+1.0	45.0	W 40 - 13	O	Y
Fri 12/31	Washington State vs Central Michigan	-5.5	56.0	L 21 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	.33	50%	31.2	54%	3.65	212	46%	217	4.79	.21	43%	25.8	45%	42%	3.93	63.1	1.4	1.5
WSU	.23	43%	27.8	45%	2.99	122	43%	257	4.24	.2	44%	24.2	48%	42%	3.73	46.4	1.4	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	13	31.2	29.7	50.5%	4.79	1.4	23	429	212	217	5.3	57%	42%	54%	46%	13%	.33
WSU Defense	13	24.2	27	44.3%	3.73	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	48%	42%	17%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	13	25.8	33.7	42.9%	3.93	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	42%	16%	.21
WSU Offense	13	27.8	29.9	43.5%	4.24	1.4	20	379	122	257	3.9	43%	57%	45%	43%	18%	.23

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	13	30:29	23	50%	48%	6.8	63.1	1.4	1.5	4.9	1.5	1	28.4
Washington State	13	30:32	20.2	39%	38%	5.3	46.4	1.4	2.5	5.3	1.6	1	30.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	13	57%	54%	40.1	212.4	5.3	33	.3	3.65	89%	7%	0.94
WSU Defense	13	50%	48%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.25	74%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.08	80%	9%	0.92
WSU Offense	13	43%	45%	31	122.1	3.9	19	.19	2.99	64%	12%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	13	42%	46%	16.8	26.7	216.9	8.1	12.9	19	12	.39	1.6	29%	35%	.35	6%	1.8
WSU Defense	13	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.25	1.5	32%	29%	.34	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	13	52%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	32%	33%	.28	7%	1.9
WSU Offense	13	57%	43%	21.6	34.8	257.3	7.4	11.9	26	13	.27	1.4	31%	33%	.44	7%	2

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #44
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #16
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: Washington State: 5.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 8.9 Washington State: 6.7

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 5.85 NR
Washington State's Offense Rating: NR
Washington State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Washington State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Washington State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7 #57
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #49
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.7

Oregon State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 32
Washington State 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 36
Washington State 25

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Washington State 29
Oregon State 28

Total Points: 57

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.9
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Washington State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Oregon State	10	Washington State	7	Washington State -3.5	Oregon State	47.5	Under
2025	11/29	Washington State	32	Oregon State	8	Washington State -14.0	Washington State	42.5	Under
2024	11/23	Oregon State	41	Washington State	38	Washington State -11	Oregon State	57.0	Over
2023	09/23	Washington State	38	Oregon State	35	Oregon State -3	Washington State	58.5	Over
2022	10/15	Oregon State	24	Washington State	10	Oregon State -3	Oregon State	51.5	Under
2021	10/09	Washington State	31	Oregon State	24	Oregon State -4	Washington State	59.0	Under
2020	11/07	Oregon State	28	Washington State	38	Oregon State -3	Washington State	63.5	Over
2019	11/23	Washington State	54	Oregon State	53	Washington State -10.5	Oregon State	77.5	Over
2018	10/06	Oregon State	37	Washington State	56	Washington State -17	Washington State	64.5	Over
2017	09/16	Washington State	52	Oregon State	23	Washington State -19.5	Washington State	65.5	Over
2016	10/29	Oregon State	31	Washington State	35	Washington State -17.5	Oregon State	55.0	Over
2015	10/17	Washington State	52	Oregon State	31	Washington State -8	Washington State	62.0	Over
2014	11/08	Oregon State	32	Washington State	39	Oregon State -9.5	Washington State	0
2013	10/12	Washington State	24	Oregon State	52	Washington State -3	Oregon State	0
2012	10/06	Oregon State	19	Washington State	6
2011	10/22	Washington State	21	Oregon State	44
2010	11/13	Oregon State	14	Washington State	31
2009	11/21	Washington State	10	Oregon State	42
2008	10/11	Oregon State	66	Washington State	13
2007	11/17	Washington State	17	Oregon State	52
2006	10/07	Oregon State	6	Washington State	13
2005	10/01	Oregon State	44	Washington State	33
2004	10/23	Oregon State	38	Washington State	19
2003	10/25	Washington State	36	Oregon State	30
2001	10/06	Washington State	34	Oregon State	27
2000	10/27	Oregon State	38	Washington State	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington State	14	8	8 Overs
Oregon State	12	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	9 - 5	4 - 4	5 - 1
Road Teams	10 - 16	5 - 9	1 - 5	4 - 4

(#) ORST at (#) WSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	WSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#57
Perf GradeGrade	#37	#87
OffenseOff	#12	#87
DefenseDef	#93	#75
Spec TeamsST	#121	#97
TalentTal	#48	#61
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon State Injury Report

Washington State Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#75
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#37	#95
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#6	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#106

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#107	#97
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#41	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#119

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Oregon State 4.0 (59.0)
Washington State won vs Oregon State this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Washington State last year (41-38)
Washington State beat Oregon State in 2023 (38-35)
Oregon State beat Washington State in 2022 (24-10)

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jake Dickert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD